Conflict in the Middle East, pt. 4

2501. jexster - 12/21/2003 1:19:38 PM

Our moralists compete in criticising the lies, distortions, and exaggerations of our Master Planners. But the majesty that certain spin doctors show in giving us nonexistent morsels to chew on should command our admiration....Plato permitted lying in only two occupations: doctors and statesmen...Yet it is reassuring to note that the same distortions that allow Washington to give credibility to its war will hasten its defeat in the end."

More directly, lies have consequences.

2502. jexster - 12/21/2003 1:21:09 PM

liars, incompetents
lies, consequences
flies, flypaper

2503. jexster - 12/21/2003 1:46:02 PM

Eddie here's anoth newsflash from Planet Earth....party hearty


WASHINGTON (AP) -- The government on Sunday raised the national threat level to orange, the second-highest, saying attacks were possible during the holiday season and that threat indicators are ``perhaps greater now than at any point'' since Sept. 11, 2001.

``Information indicates that extremists abroad are anticipating near-term attacks that they believe will rival or exceed the scope and impact of those we experienced in New York, at the Pentagon, and in Pennsylvania more than two years ago,'' Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge said in a statement released before his news conference on the announcement.

2504. jexster - 12/21/2003 1:46:20 PM

er

2505. robertjayb - 12/21/2003 2:06:47 PM

Condi reluctant to testify under oath...Oh. I wonder, wonder why...This could get interesting, methinks...

TIME---Poised to convene its first hard-hitting hearings in January, the federal commission investigating the 9/11 attacks continues to be at odds with the White House over access to key information and witnesses. Two government sources tell TIME that National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice is arguing over ground rules for her appearance in part because she does not want to testify under oath or, according to one source, in public. While national security advisers are presidential staff and generally don’t have to appear before Congress, the commission argues that its jurisdiction is broader—and it's been requiring fact witnesses in its massive investigation to testify under oath.

2506. Al D - 12/21/2003 3:45:44 PM


Judith
I suggest Al D read it and I will link it in as soon as it's available. He was asking a few months ago exactly what influence the people mentioned in the article had on the adminisatration; he'll know after reading that article.

Can you locate the post where I said that. There are times that what I say and what you understand are two different things. To be specific, certain people who were insisting that Bush fire people, at least one, that I don't believe worked directly for the government. That people have influence and input is another matter. I will indeed read the article you mention, in fact I'm sure I could get it from any # of my friends who are avid readers of MJ.

2507. judithathome - 12/21/2003 6:03:23 PM

Al, no, I cannot locate the post where you said something like what I paraphrased because I don't obsess over posts and hold them in reserve for later jabs and I don't pore over thousands of posts looking for one where someone might have said something in a certain way so that I can ridicule them later over their statements. That's a hobby others seem to enjoy. I don't.

I am not accusing you of anything nefarious in your statements...I merely thought you might like to read the article. It seems to be an excellent overview of waht led up to this war and how things were interpreted by many people close to the administration.

Speaking of reading into things what people might not have meant: I honestly thought you might find the article interesting; I in no way meant "Al had better read this because he is a confused old coot." But if you took it that way, it would seem I am not the only one understanding things differently than how they were meant.

2508. Al D - 12/21/2003 8:43:54 PM

As my dear old Dad uses to "Jesus H. Christ!" Why do you come on so strong over such a little point. I am aware that the neo-cons had Iraq in their sights. But when posters start talking about Bush fireing Richard Pearle when I was under the impression he was not in the administration, I question them. I am an old coot, I suppose, but maybe not as confused as you Liberals seem to believe.
Or is it just that age=addled. At one time, I imagine, they was respect for elders. We have come to sadder days, alas.


Lots of family arriving tomorrow, so I will wish you a very merry Christmas, dear Judith, and to all others also. We all know that it is love that makes the world go round.

2509. judithathome - 12/21/2003 8:48:31 PM

Merry Christmas to you, too, Al...I am thinking you mistook my tone or maybe I'm just stir crazy in this cast for three weeks now and overly verbose. Whatever, have a nice visit with your family.

(And as for age and respect for elders, I think I can put in a claim for that myself...I'm old enough to be everyone's mother on this board except for you...ha!)

2510. Al D - 12/21/2003 8:57:18 PM

Maybe so Juith, but aren't you glad you're not!

2511. jayackroyd - 12/22/2003 7:30:24 AM

Eddie,

I'm copying 2466 over to politics in order to respond to it, which is where I think the response belongs.

2512. jexster - 12/22/2003 9:54:15 AM

Jsy

There's very good reason behind Bush's blather about democracy - he has absolutely no intention of allowing it to Iraq any time soon. That's how he operates. That's what he does bes shuck, jive and lie.

The Imperial Regime is fully cognizant of the hard reality that democracy in Iraq would establish the rule of Shia clerics, who have the only organized political operation in the country and whose leaders are beginning to express their intention to take over in elected body whether it be the scam 3 caucus system or direct elections - one man one vote/

Secular forces in Iraq, to the extent that they had any numberical strength at all, were Baathist and mostly Sunni.

But as this article in today's Post discusses, the Sunnis are a people under seige with a major leadership problem. But that vacuum is being filled, not by secularists either

Once divided and discredited clergy have stepped forward to try to end a crisis of identity, bringing a message of political Islam to a community that once embraced secular Arab nationalism and tribal traditions.


No longer kingmakers, the community's leaders vow that they still hold the key to stability. But casting a shadow over conversations with men such as Quds is a sense of dispossession, of a minority searching for a voice in the contest to create a new state.

2513. jexster - 12/22/2003 9:57:05 AM


Now I have taken a typically American optimistic view (as best as reality permits me to!) many times having stated that the path to a stable Iraqi state runs through a very narrow gate ie a major initiative by Shia clerics to take the lead in an Iraqi nationalist movement from the Baathists and enter a religio-nationalist coalition with the Sunnis.

Against that, I posted Regis Debray's view that the longer the occupation lasts the more certain the prospect of a major fundamentalist civil war and disintegration of the country.

Debray knows more about Iraq than I for sure and more than any 10 Bush Neojacobin nutters that are this mess, and in the linked article you can see the outlines of his scenario taking shape.

I am not sure yet that it is inevitable. UNlike Bush's neocons, I am not nor have I ever been a fan of Marxist dialectical materialism....But I hadn't given a seconds thought to anything like Debray's view until recently and he is on to something.

One thing for sure though.....Bush's democracy isn't on a real world road map....They got their "course" from the Mad Hatter.

Party Hearty..

Wuz de nite befo Crimmus;
And all ower da hood;

ereybody wuz' sleepin';
Dey wuz sleepin' good

2514. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:07:52 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - A roadside bomb killed two U.S. soldiers in Baghdad Monday, hours after troops captured a former general in Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s once-feared security services on charges of recruiting ex-soldiers to attack Americans.



The blast that ripped through a military convoy in the late morning also killed an Iraqi interpreter and wounded two other soldiers, the U.S. military said in a statement.

2515. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:08:55 AM

Two more sacrificed for the "course" of liars and incompetents.

Anybody clue us on what course is?

2516. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:11:07 AM

I DO! I DO! ME! Call on me Dr. Poopstain!

The Debray Scenario

"If you lose and cannot get a place in the government, you have something to fight with," said Nadhim, wearing a white skullcap. . "It's something to create a balance of power."

The future, he predicted, was grim. He saw no end to the occupation. He saw sectarian strife only mounting.

"The seeds for civil war have been planted," he said, his tone matter of fact. "I really think so."

2517. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:18:07 AM

The Debary Scenario II

Thousands of Iraqi Kurds gathered in Kirkuk on Monday to demand inclusion of the northern oil centre in a future autonomous Kurdish region

Attack of the Killer Kurds!

2518. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:23:49 AM




Lessons of Libya: War isn't always Necessary

2519. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:25:53 AM

The real story with the Libya development is the light it's showing on where it likely got its nuclear starter kit: i.e., Pakistan.

New information from North Korea and particularly from Iran is starting to show us that, in essence, there really is no global weapons proliferation problem so much as there's a Pakistan problem.

We now know enough to say with increasing confidence that every state we're worrying about got either all of their help, or their most significant help, from the Pakistanis.

This raises so many questions and so many sharp-edged dilemmas that it is truly difficult to know where to start.

-- Josh Marshall

Eddie, refresh me please, what did the Queen of Hearts tell Alice Bush about making deals with dictators like Busharaff, that fella in Uzbekistan, and the neo-commie dictator Pootie Poot

Crock of shit

Open wide

2520. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:31:16 AM

>



2521. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:33:35 AM

For those who know anything at all about Libya, however, an entirely different interpretation is obvious. Libya proves that economic sanctions can work. Because of its involvement in the 1988 Lockerbie bombing and other acts of terrorism, Libya was subjected to an international embargo in 1992. The embargo from all accounts deeply hurt Libya's economy, and it produced a stark pull-back from support of terrorism on Qadhafi's part. The Libyan government estimated that the world boycott cost Libya $37 billion. The economy remains small at about GDP $40 bn. despite an oil income, but the potential for wealth is vast. A $6 bn investment could increase Libya's daily oil production from 1.2 million barrels a day to 2 million barrels a day. (The population at 5.5 million is so small that this increase would yield about $1600 per person per year, if the price of oil were about $28/b.) Western investors have been skittish (and US entrerpreneurs have severe legal limits on their Libyan activities), and that would have to change for oil and gas exploration to expand, e.g. There's black gold in them thar dunes.

(Again, the hawks have explained Qadhafi's abandonment of support for terrorism with reference to Ronald Reagan's 1986 bombing of Tripoli; not being good at math, they don't seem to realize that 1988 comes after 1986. One could more reasonably draw the conclusion that the US aerial strike encouraged Libya to commit more terrorism.)

The UN sanctions, but not the US ones, were eased in 1999. In the meantime, Qadhafi had become the target of the radical Islamist Anas al-Libi, a top al-Qaeda operative suspected of involvement in terrorism in East Africa, as well. After September 11, Qadhafi associated himself with the US war on terror, in hopes of seeing al-Libi killed and the Libyan branch of radical Islamism devastated.
Juan Cole

2522. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:35:14 AM

Hell Iraq shows sanctions work!

Take some good advice Dear ole Dr. Poop...believe the opposite of what Abu Dantes says..you'll get along jess fayhn

2523. jexster - 12/22/2003 11:43:35 AM

There's one thing guarandamntee ya Qadhafi didn't lose sleep over - invasion by our Dear Leader...unless of course he's totally out of touch with reality, living in Hope Village on another planet...

HELLO ABU ED!



Ahhhahhhahhahh

She came from Planet Claire
I knew she came from there
She drove a Plymouth Satellite
Faster than the speed of light

Planet Claire has pink air
All the trees are red
No one ever dies there
No one has a head

Ahhhahhhahhahh

Some say she's from Mars
Or one of the seven stars
That shine after 3:30 in the morning
WELL SHE ISN'T

She came from Planet Claire
She came from Planet Claire
She came from Planet Claire

Ahhhahhhahhahhahhahh

2524. jexster - 12/22/2003 12:56:06 PM

Welcome Back My Friends to the Show that Never Ends We're So Glad You Could Atend, Come Inside! Come Inside!
- Welcome to the Mother of All Trials


In 1990, Sen. Alan Simpson (R-Wyo.) told Saddam that he sympathized with his complaints that the Western media were exaggerating his mass murders.


The Mother of All Trials: How Reagan-Bush-Schultz-Rumsfeld Winked At Saddam's Chemical Weapons Use

Don Rumsfeld actually went to Iraq twice, once in
1983, and again in 1984. The work Rumsfeld did in 1983 of beginning a rapprochement between Reagan and Saddam was detracted from by a strong State Department condemnation of Iraqi use of chemical weapons in the Iran-Iraq war. Schultz told Rumsfeld to explain to Saddam that the Reagan
administration did not actually, really have any serious objections to, like, exterminating Iranian troops like cockroaches with poison gas. It was just a general, unspecific blanket condemnation of that sort of
thing, you know, to keep up appearances... So, Saddam should feel comfortable about Reagan's desire to continually improve bilateral Reagan-Saddam relations at a pace of Saddam's choosing, and not be put off by the
unfortunate but necessary pro forma condemnations of him as a war criminal issued at silly old Foggy Bottom."

__Despite Saddam's Use of Chemical Weapons, GHWB Invited Tariq Aziz to DC in 1984?


>Who Arranged the Sale of WMD to Saddam Hussein in the 1980's?


I bet cracker jack defense counsel worldwide will line up for this MUTHA

2525. marjoribanks - 12/22/2003 3:13:33 PM

I bet you, anything you want, that the right wingers (who still shamelessly claim humanitarian brownie-points for the ouster of Saddam) will say exactly nothing of import about these allegations about Pak's top nuclear scientist, and will instead bleat loudly and repetitively about something completely different in order to distract.

This is old news, just as it is old news now that the Bushites and the rightwingers have kept gob-shut about the fact that Daniel Pearl's killers also backed Mohammed Atta. Incovenient reminders of, you know, actual terrorism, actual weapons of mass destruction, actual threats to New York's security. War on Terror, my ass.

2526. rdbrewer - 12/22/2003 3:28:01 PM

I bet you, anything you want, that the right wingers . . .

Don't forget. You already have a $200.00 bet on the table with me re Bush winning next year. Might as well put that in the liability column and pay up.

Welcome, back, btw.

2527. rdbrewer - 12/22/2003 3:29:19 PM

who still shamelessly claim humanitarian brownie-points for the ouster of Saddam

And why would that be shameless? You prefer a mass murderer in power?

2528. marjoribanks - 12/22/2003 3:50:48 PM

Brewer,

Briefly:

It is shameless to claim that Hussein's removal, the War on Iraq, had anything but highly tangential ties to a humanitarian impulse.

1) This was not the case made.

2) This is not the reality, at the Azores summit a few days before hostilities were launched it was re-iterated that even the departure of Hussein would not be enough to call off the invasion/occupation.

3) The USA, the Republicans in fact, had absolutely no problems doing business and cozying up to Hussein even as the mass murderer was mass murdering. In fact, many of the same people who now retreat to the "humanitarian war" claim did business and cozied up to Hussein after he'd used these WMD on his own people.

4) The USA, the Republicans in fact, stood by - with troops actually on the ground inside Iraq - and allowed Hussein the mass murderer to mass murder his Shi-ite opposition, an opposition the USA - A Republican president named Bush actually - egged on to open insurrection in the first place.

5) The USA has a very fine, and understandable, record of cozying up to and doing business with mass murderers. Yes, I suggest you read up on the Bush buddy in Uzbekistan who has been reliably fingered - by the recalled Brit ambassador no less - as boiling opponents alive.

Hence, Brewer, no one is fooled by the shamelessness of the humanitarian war angle and even less by the laughable idiocies contained in the latter question in #2527.

2529. rdbrewer - 12/22/2003 7:40:42 PM

You're talking about the intent of the invasion, about which part of the justification was the way Hussein treated his people. I'm talking about the practical effect of his ouster. I care less what the intent was; thus, I say "so" to each of your points. Practically speaking, capturing Hussein means fewer Iraqis will be tortured and killed. That's a win in the Republican column.

2530. rdbrewer - 12/22/2003 7:43:07 PM

Please, Marj, we're friends now. You can call me "Mr. Brewer."

2531. Edmund Dantes - 12/22/2003 9:09:45 PM

This was not the case made.

Certainly it was part of the case made, as I have demonstrated repeatedly in this thread via the most significant speeches leading up to the conflict.

This is not the reality, at the Azores summit a few days before hostilities were launched it was re-iterated that even the departure of Hussein would not be enough to call off the invasion/occupation.

Not a very good hook on which to hang such a hat. From the Azores statement:

Iraq’s talented people, rich culture, and tremendous potential have been hijacked by Saddam Hussein. His brutal regime has reduced a country with a long and proud history to an international pariah that oppresses its citizens...

We would undertake a solemn obligation to help the Iraqi people build a new Iraq at peace with itself and its neighbors. The Iraqi people deserve to be lifted from insecurity and tyranny, and freed to determine for themselves the future of their country. We envisage a unified Iraq with its territorial integrity respected. All the Iraqi people -- its rich mix of Sunni and Shiite Arabs, Kurds, Turkomen, Assyrians, Chaldeans, and all others -- should enjoy freedom, prosperity, and equality in a united country. We will support the Iraqi people’s aspirations for a representative government that upholds human rights and the rule of law as cornerstones of democracy....

Our commitment to support the people of Iraq will be for the long term.

We call upon the international community to join with us in helping to realize a better future for the Iraqi people.


Margarinebank cites this as evidence against humanitarian liberation? I wonder if he'd even read it.

2532. Edmund Dantes - 12/22/2003 9:16:08 PM

As for this, again, I wonder what on earth he is talking about:

...even the departure of Hussein would not be enough to call off the invasion/occupation.

...unless he's obfuscating and hiding behind the sometimes-additional condition that Saddam's sons leave as well.

Again, from the time of the Azores summit:

In the Azores and on Washington talk shows, President Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and Secretary of State Colin Powell made clear that it was too late for Iraq to disarm, too late for further weapons inspections and too late for more diplomacy to get the world to support the U.S. case for war. Although giving the United Nations another day to agree with the U.S. position, Bush and his lieutenants made clear that was mere symbolism. The only means to avoid war, they said, was Saddam's exile.

Again, this is evidence for the WMD, non-humanitarian position? No, it bolsters the argument that the war was about regime change.

As it was.

2533. Edmund Dantes - 12/22/2003 9:18:55 PM

Regarding points three through five, margie is just being silly. His argument is as fallacious as saying because the United States helped Stalin against Hitler we cannot possibly have been serious in our opposition to communism.

2534. jexster - 12/22/2003 9:33:01 PM

The total number of wounded soldiers and medical evacuations by the U.S. military in Iraq is nearing 11,000, according to new Pentagon data, and 457 troops have died. But as Aseneth Blackwell, a Vietnam War widow, says, the casualty figures can't capture the pain and suffering she has seen during visits to D.C.'s Walter Reed Army Medical Center this year. "To see these guys walking around up there with an arm missing, a leg missing, that is when it hits you in the face," said Blackwell.

Lies Have Consquences
Welcome to the Real World

2535. rdbrewer - 12/22/2003 9:33:55 PM

That was the argument for neutering the CIA back in the '70s. Crats felt is was wrong to work with the world's creeps, even it helped us. So CIA activity was restricted. That kind of unrealistic thinking ignores the reality that we occasionally with have to deal with one madman in order to crack the skull of another.

F/x, we helped Bin Laden against the USSR. Expanding Soviet influence was regarded as a worse alternative. Likewise, we helped Hussein against Iran which was on our shit-list at the time. That does not mean we (including Jimmy Carter) cozied up to Hussein because we approved of his ways. He was merely of use to us at the time.

2536. rdbrewer - 12/22/2003 9:34:28 PM

2535 was re 2533

2537. Edmund Dantes - 12/22/2003 9:55:46 PM

PUTIN PLAYS BALL: RUSSIA WILL REDUCE IRAQ DEBT BY 65 PERCENT

2538. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:38:52 PM

If Bushiewooshie gives PootyWooty a slice of the pie....

2539. jexster - 12/22/2003 10:41:37 PM

Of course, since there is no state, no course and a substantial likelihood that Iraq will decompse.....sounds like Emperor Moron was given the sleeve out a KGB vest.

2540. concerned - 12/23/2003 12:37:10 AM

Re. 2528 -

Truth is the first casualty when marjoribanks goes on an anti-GWB rampage. You could almost say that the more good George W. Bush accomplishes, the greater lengths marjoribanks will go to to claim the exact opposite.

Thus, it is no longer France, Germany and Russia which sold Saddam his weapons and means to produce the WMD he gassed his own countrymen and his neighbors in Kuwait and Iran with that should be condemned. It's the Bush Administration and Republicans in general, who freed Iraq from this menace, who is censured instead. Thus, in marjoribanks' world, it may be allowable to indulge in hypocritical Xlowntoonian talk of deposing Saddam, as long as it remains only that, but woe to any Republican who sees it through. I think it's safe to say that the majority of Iraqis would be most unhappy with Marjoribanks' attitude.

2541. concerned - 12/23/2003 1:13:01 AM

We were kept in the dark over American Unilateral deal with Libya, says France

Just call it 'additional justification' for deposing Saddam, Dominique.

2542. alistairconnor - 12/23/2003 9:48:04 AM

Clearly, the Libya deal is a triumph for the UK. More specifically, a triumph for Robin Cook, who initiated constructive engagement with Gaddafi in 1999.

Now Blair wants the EU powers to pursue this approach with Syria. After the success of the UK/France/Germany trio getting Iran aboard for nuclear inspections, he looks like he's on a roll...

But Syria is unlikely to disarm unilaterally unless there's a breakthrough with Israel.

2543. alistairconnor - 12/23/2003 9:53:34 AM

Objectively, it looks a lot like the nice cop/nasty cop archetype...

(Europe to Iran) - Here, have a cigarette.
(to partner) No Sam, calm down! Just let me talk to him.
(to Iran) Did you see what he did to the guy in the next cell? Oh, I hate it when he does that. Now listen, we can get you out of here. Why don't you just tell me what really happened?

2544. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:12:45 AM

The Mutha of All Trials:
Your Honor, The Defendant Saddam Hussein Calls Donald Rumsfeld


WASHINGTON, Dec. 22 — As a special envoy for the Reagan administration in 1984, Donald H. Rumsfeld, now the defense secretary, traveled to Iraq to persuade officials there that the United States was eager to improve ties with President Saddam Hussein despite his use of chemical weapons, newly declassified documents show.

2545. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:15:49 AM

The Saddam Hussein Sourcebook
Declassified Secrets from the U.S.-Iraq Relationship - The National Security Archive


2546. concerned - 12/23/2003 11:16:33 AM

AC -

So far, France has been completely MIA on all of this progress in disarmament being made in Iraq, Iran, Syria and Libya. Much like a spoiled child who refuses to play because she cannot change the rules at whim. Shameful, no?

2547. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:17:58 AM

2548. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:19:10 AM

In a related development, Emperor George Bush directed the CIA to speed production of its top secret trained trial kangaroos.

2549. concerned - 12/23/2003 11:21:30 AM

jexster's sympathy for the devil is far worse than anything he accuses Rumsfeld of.

2550. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:22:42 AM

In February, Iraq warned Iranian "invaders" that "for every harmful insect there is an insecticide capable of annihilating it." Within weeks, the American authorities intercepted precursor chemicals that were bound for Iraq. Finally, on March 5, the United States issued a public condemnation of Iraq.

But days later, Mr. Shultz and his deputy met with an Iraqi diplomat, Ismet Kittani, to soften the blow. The American relationship with Iraq was too important — involving business interests, Middle East diplomacy and a shared determination to thwart Iran — to sacrifice. Mr. Kittani left the meeting "unpersuaded," documents show.

Mr. Shultz then turned to Mr. Rumsfeld. In a March 24 briefing document, Mr. Rumsfeld was asked to present America's bottom line. At first, the memo recapitulated Mr. Shultz's message to Mr. Kittani, saying it "clarified that our CW [chemical weapons] condemnation was made strictly out of our strong opposition to the use of lethal and incapacitating CW, wherever it occurs." The American officials had "emphasized that our interests in 1) preventing an Iranian victory and 2) continuing to improve bilateral relations with Iraq, at a pace of Iraq's choosing, remain undiminished," it said.

2551. concerned - 12/23/2003 11:26:11 AM

This proves that jexster is in league with Islamist whackjobs.

2552. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:26:57 AM

Stay the Course? What Course?
A Will on Iraq, Not a Way - Talks With Leaders on Power Transfer Moving Slowly, Viceroy Bremmer Says

2553. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:29:56 AM

Anthony C. Zinni's opposition to U.S. policy on Iraq began on the monsoon-ridden afternoon of Nov. 3, 1970. He was lying on a Vietnamese mountainside west of Da Nang, three rounds from an AK-47 assault rifle in his side and back. He could feel his lifeblood seeping into the ground as he slipped in and out of consciousness.



He had plenty of time to think in the following months while recuperating in a military hospital in Hawaii. Among other things, he promised himself that, "If I'm ever in a position to say what I think is right, I will. . . . I don't care what happens to my career."

That time has arrived.


2554. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:31:07 AM

TD you best sit down, take a deep breath, and I'll call an ambulance

2555. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:32:00 AM

Meanwhile Uncle Saddam has some insecticide that may help. Its MADE IN USA so there's no need for you to worry..just take a deep breath.

2556. concerned - 12/23/2003 11:35:50 AM

Re. 2553 -

The time when Zinni commits professional suicide?

2557. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:36:05 AM

Over the past year, the retired Marine Corps general (and chief of US Central Command) has become one of the most prominent opponents of Bush administration policy on Iraq, which he now fears is drifting toward disaster.

Damned leftist Marine Corps Generals!

2558. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:36:49 AM

God knows speaking the truth to the Liar is a dangerous business!

2559. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:38:34 AM

Aahh the Regis Debray Scenario:

"I think a weakened, fragmented, chaotic Iraq, which could happen if this isn't done carefully, is more dangerous in the long run than a contained Saddam is now," he told reporters in 1998. "I don't think these questions have been thought through or answered." It was a warning for which Iraq hawks such as Paul D. Wolfowitz, then an academic and now the No. 2 official at the Pentagon, attacked him in print at the time.

Now, five years later, Zinni fears it is an outcome toward which U.S.-occupied Iraq may be drifting. Nor does he think the capture of Hussein is likely to make much difference, beyond boosting U.S. troop morale and providing closure for his victims. "Since we've failed thus far to capitalize" on opportunities in Iraq, he says, "I don't have confidence we will do it now. I believe the only way it will work now is for the Iraqis themselves to somehow take charge and turn things around. Our policy, strategy, tactics, et cetera, are still screwed up."


This party's going to a run a looong loooong time Eddie, long time

2560. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:40:36 AM

Lies have consequences:

He had endorsed Bush and Cheney two years earlier, just after he retired from his last military post, as chief of the U.S. Central Command, which oversees operations in Iraq.

"I think he ran on a moderate ticket, and that's my leaning -- I'm kind of a Lugar-Hagel-Powell guy," he says, listing three Republicans associated with centrist foreign policy positions.

He was alarmed that day to hear Cheney make the argument for attacking Iraq on grounds that Zinni found questionable at best:

"Simply stated, there is no doubt that Saddam Hussein now has weapons of mass destruction," Cheney said. "There is no doubt that he is amassing them to use against our friends, against our allies, and against us."

Cheney's certitude bewildered Zinni. As chief of the Central Command, Zinni had been immersed in U.S. intelligence about Iraq. He was all too familiar with the intelligence analysts' doubts about Iraq's programs to acquire weapons of mass destruction, or WMD. "In my time at Centcom, I watched the intelligence, and never -- not once -- did it say, 'He has WMD.' "

2561. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:45:33 AM

The more he listened to Wolfowitz and other administration officials talk about Iraq, the more Zinni became convinced that interventionist "neoconservative" ideologues were plunging the nation into a war in a part of the world they didn't understand. "The more I saw, the more I thought that this was the product of the neocons who didn't understand the region and were going to create havoc there. These were dilettantes from Washington think tanks who never had an idea that worked on the ground."


Liars and incompetents...party long time

2562. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:47:08 AM

Zinni vows that he has learned a lesson. Reminded that he endorsed Bush in 2000, he says, "I'm not going to do anything political again -- ever. I made that mistake one time."

2563. jexster - 12/23/2003 11:50:40 AM

>Saddam-Atta Memo is a Fraud


Newsweek reports,"A widely publicized Iraqi document that purports to show that 9-11 hijacker Mohammed Atta visited Baghdad in the summer of 2001 is probably a fabrication that is contradicted by U.S. law-enforcement records showing Atta was staying at cheap motels and apartments in
the US when the trip would have taken place... 'Terrorist Behind September 11 Strike Was Trained By Saddam,' ran the headline on the story written by Con Coughlin, a Telegraph correspondent and the author of the book 'Saddam: The Secret Life.' Coughlin's account was picked up by
newspapers around the world and was cited the next day by NY Times [propagandist] William Safire. But U.S. officials and a leading Iraqi document expert tell NEWSWEEK that the document is most likely a forgery - part of a thriving new trade in dubious Iraqi documents." Even Ahmed Chalabi's group called the memo "clearly nonsense", and Coughlin said he had "no way of verifying it."


Aaah that London Daily Telegraph again...sister publication - Jerusalem Post...Both owned by Conrad Black financier of Richard Perle, William Buckley, George Will...

Get the picture?

2564. jexster - 12/23/2003 12:01:31 PM

Bush has thrown open Pandora's box in a paradise for international terrorists

Major League Imbecile..We party long time ..you me...Bring it on

2565. concerned - 12/23/2003 12:11:50 PM

Re. 2542 -

Actually, the Libya deal is another triumph for the Bush Administration.

Rack 'em up. Ka-ching!

This is because the offer from Moammar dates from the time of Operation Iraqi Freedom, not 1999.

2566. robertjayb - 12/23/2003 12:56:52 PM

The rooster crows and the sun rises...

2567. robertjayb - 12/23/2003 1:20:42 PM

Riverbend is tense...

These last few days have been truly frightening. The air in Baghdad feels charged in a way that scares me. Everyone can feel the tension and it has been a strain on the nerves. It's not so much what's been going on in the streets- riots, shootings, bombings and raids- but it's the possibility of what may lie ahead. We've been keeping the kids home from school, and my cousin's wife learned that many parents were doing the same- especially the parents who need to drive their kids to school.

We've been avoiding discussing the possibilities of this last week's developments… the rioting and violence. We don't often talk about the possibility of civil war because conferring about it somehow makes it more of a reality. When we do talk about it, it's usually done in hushed tones with an overhanging air of consternation. Is it possible? Will it happen?

2568. wonkers2 - 12/23/2003 4:07:22 PM

The Conrad Black connection with George Will, Richard Perle, William Buckley, et al, was detailed by Paul Krugman in his op-ed in the NYT today, linked in the politics thread. (#1852) The right-wing conspiracy has gone international.

2569. alistairConnor - 12/23/2003 7:24:02 PM

Message # 2546. concerned

AC -
So far, France has been completely MIA on all of this progress in disarmament being made in Iraq, Iran, Syria and Libya. Much like a spoiled child who refuses to play because she cannot change the rules at whim. Shameful, no?


I guess you missed where the foreign ministers of France, Germany and the UK flew to Iran to sign the nuclear inspection deal.

That's OK, keep those blinkers on, Con. Never back down or apologise for errors. Clearly, the only way you can keep your mind focused is to keep it narrow.

2570. concerned - 12/23/2003 7:39:47 PM

Oh, so sorry to miss France's mosquito-like contribution in Iran. Very important to Gallic ego, I know.

2571. rdbrewer - 12/23/2003 8:08:24 PM

Le Figaro wails:
French diplomacy finishes the year on a morose note. Not only must it watch American trains passing, in Iraq as in Libya, but it must also applaud. The success obtained by George W. Bush in his fight against 'rogue states,' with the arrest of Saddam Hussein and then Qaddafi's renouncing of weapons of mass destruction, have placed Paris in a delicate position.


--"via Andrew Sullivan"

2572. rdbrewer - 12/23/2003 8:09:30 PM

Le Parisien:
"If a glorious solitude is the price of greatness, no one can doubt that France lives the highest hours of its civilization."


--ditto

2573. jexster - 12/23/2003 9:47:24 PM

The Lies Are Getting Deeper, the Liars More Desperate:
New theory for Iraq's missing WMD: Saddam was fooled into thinking he had them



December 24: British officials are circulating a story that Saddam Hussein may have been hoodwinked into believing that Iraq really did possess weapons of mass destruction.

Damned winking hoods everywhere!

2574. jexster - 12/23/2003 9:48:30 PM

Now all they have to do is figure out another reason for our being there and a way out.

2575. concerned - 12/24/2003 12:33:09 AM

Re. 2571 -

France has to learn to expand its diplomatic playbook wrt dictatorships and terrorist states to include something besides coddling.

2576. concerned - 12/24/2003 1:39:26 AM

This one's for Alistair Connor:

Has France shot itself in the foot?

Hey, AC -

Amir Taheri compiles a truly remarkable list of French unilateralist diplomatic arrogance and incompetence. Upon reading this, the most ignorant snail licker would have to admit that the French clearly neither play well with their neighbors in Europe or the United States, nor benefit from the results.

Taheri writes:

The French have seen Saddam Hussein’s capture on television and found him not worthy of the efforts that their government deployed to prolong his rule. They have also seen the Iranian mullahs agreeing to curtail their nuclear programme under the threat of US military action. And just this week they saw Muammar al-Kaddhafi, possibly the most egocentric windbag among despots, crawl into a humiliating surrender to the “ Anglo-Saxons”.

Yet the French diplomatic community still tries to somehow inculpate the US with hilariously revealing quotes like: “ Vengeance is a hamburger that is eaten cold,”

Taheri does not pull his punches wrt the abject failures of French policy wrt Iraq and Africa either, stating:

France’s policy in the Middle East and Africa is also in a mess.

France’s passionate campaign to keep Saddam in power won no plaudits from the Arabs.

Many Arab leaders regard France as a maverick power that could get them involved in an unnecessary, and ultimately self-defeating, conflict with the United States.

“I cannot imagine what Chirac was thinking,” says a senior Saudi official on condition of anonymity. “How could he expect us to join him in preventing the Americans from solving our biggest problem which was the presence of Saddam Hussein in power in Baghdad?”

Another senior Arab diplomat, from Egypt, echoes the sentiment.

2577. concerned - 12/24/2003 1:39:41 AM

“The French did not understand that the Arabs desired the end of Saddam, although they had to pretend that this was not the case,” he says.

In Africa, the recent Libyan accord with Britain and the US deals a severe blow to French prestige. Libya is the most active member of the African Union and its exclusion of France, also from talks on compensation for victims of Libyan terrorism, sets an example for other African nations.


So, tell us, AC. What delusions or overweening fatuosities could have compelled the French to have have been so self defeatingly shortsighted?

2578. concerned - 12/24/2003 1:46:21 AM

Could it be that the notorious Inspector Clouseau is steering the French ship of state? The symptoms are certainly evident.

2579. concerned - 12/24/2003 1:50:49 AM

Of course, there is one huge difference. The movie scripts were written so that events sometimes contrived to eventually allow Clouseau to reach his objective, despite his almost inconceivable incompetence. Such a 'guardian angel' does not exist for France in the world today.

2580. jexster - 12/24/2003 9:50:58 AM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - Three US soldiers were killed in a roadside bombing near the restive city of Samarra, north of Baghdad, a US military spokesman said.

2581. jexster - 12/24/2003 10:11:10 AM

Yellow Cake Lie Born of Bush Desperation for War Scowcroft Report Charges

2582. jexster - 12/24/2003 10:13:12 AM

Occupation Forces Bomb Baghdad

2583. jexster - 12/24/2003 10:37:28 AM

The Second End to Major Hostilities? - Defense and the National Interest

In telling us his thoughts on the capture of Saddam Hussein, President George W. Bush did not err by re-announcing the “end of major hostilities” in Iraq. He didn’t have to; others have been making that mistake for him.

Commanders in Iraq, National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice, and others tell us Saddam’s loyalists will still take their toll of violence against our forces and Iraqis who serve them. Dr. Rice and others have learned from their past mistake of advising the President to declare the worst of the fighting and dying to be over. However, from occupation chief Paul Bremer’s ebullient “We got him” to the Army officer who declared “a tremendous negative impact on the Baathist insurgency” to a virtual horde of
domestic prognosticators, we also hear a major corner has been turned. With Saddam behind bars, they imply or state outright the path now clear for a happy ending for the American adventure in Iraq.

That is not the case. The tipping point – that is, the Bush crowd’s version of the Indochinese “light at the end of the tunnel” -- is no where in sight. This sign-post in their linear vision of the war will remain invisible, indeed non-existent, as long as Washington D.C. continues fundamentally to misunderstand the nature of the conflict in Iraq.


Winslow T. Wheeler is a Visiting Senior Fellow at the Center for Defense Information.

After working on Capitol Hill on national security issues for 31 years, he is writing a book about Congress and defense policy, “The Wastrels of Defense.”

2584. jexster - 12/24/2003 10:38:53 AM

Our soldiers have been fighting bravely as they are
trained, equipped, and ordered, but Washington was and remains caught in a cultural warp fighting a war beyond its comprehension.

2585. jexster - 12/24/2003 12:48:46 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - A huge explosion rocked central Baghdad on Wednesday night, quickly followed by a firefight.



The blast appeared to come from the area around the Sheraton Hotel, on Abu Nawas Street near the east bank of the Tigris River. U.S. military officials could not immediately be reached for comment.

2586. jexster - 12/24/2003 2:03:52 PM


Above: U.S. soldiers instruct an Iraqi to tell Santa what he wants for Christmas

BAGHDAD, IRAQ—On almost every corner in Iraq's capital city, carolers are singing, trees are being trimmed, and shoppers are rushing home with their packages—all under the watchful eye of U.S. troops dedicated to bringing the magic of Christmas to Iraq by force.



"It's important that life in liberated Iraq get back to normal as soon as possible," said Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz at a press conference Monday. "That's why we're making sure that Iraqis have the best Christmas ever—something they certainly wouldn't have had under Saddam Hussein's regime."

To that end, 25,000 troops from the 3rd Armored Cavalry Regiment and 82nd Airborne Division have been deployed. Their missions include the distribution of cookies and eggnog at major Iraqi city centers, the conscription of bell-ringers from among the Iraqi citizenry, and the enforcement of a new policy in which every man, woman, and child in Baghdad pays at least one visit to 'Twas The Night... On Ice.

2587. jexster - 12/24/2003 2:04:57 PM



Above: A mosque in Baghdad decorated by U.S. troops

2588. jexster - 12/24/2003 2:08:56 PM

Still, Iraqis report that they are unable to get into the Christmas spirit.

"Why am I supposed to feel joy for the world?" said 34-year-old Baghdad mechanic Hassan al-Ajili as he stood in line for his mandatory visit with Santa. "My country is still at war. I need an American identification card to get anywhere in my own city. Now, for some reason, men with machine guns have placed two rows of jingling antlered pigs on the roof of our house. This is insane.

2589. jexster - 12/24/2003 8:52:40 PM

Lies Have Consequences: Iraqis rocked by mayhem and bloodshed on Christmas Eve

2590. concerned - 12/25/2003 1:16:35 AM

Re. 2588 -

jexster -

What is the point you're trying to make here? That religious intolerance is a good thing in your opinion? Or that Iraqis are ignorant?

2591. jexster - 12/25/2003 11:04:45 AM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - Rockets and mortars pounded Baghdad on Christmas morning as guerrillas launched their most serious offensive in Iraq (news - web sites) since the capture of former dictator Saddam Hussein (news - web sites).


The city was awakened by thunderous booms and gunfire as guerrillas roamed the city, causing mayhem as they struck a major hotel and three foreign embassies.


Four rockets struck the citadel-like main US compound in the capital and an oil ministry guardpost was sprayed with bullets.


A woman was slightly wounded when a rocket tore into her family's apartment, while a policeman's hand was blown off as he attempted to defuse a roadside bomb on a busy commercial street.


After a lull, with the arrest of Saddam Hussein on December 13, violence has spiked upwards, with multiple attacks around the country.

2592. jexster - 12/25/2003 11:06:11 AM

Aaah isn't that what fine art is all about, meaning...what is the meaning? What is the intention of the artist?

The true artist never tells!

A Merry Christmas to all and to all ....

2593. jexster - 12/25/2003 11:07:21 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Anti-American guerrillas sent more than a dozen rockets and mortar rounds slamming into Baghdad on Christmas Day, hitting hotels, embassies and the vicinity of the U.S.-led occupation authority in Iraq (news - web sites).

2594. jexster - 12/25/2003 11:13:42 AM

Since we've failed thus far to capitalize,I don't have confidence we will do it now. I believe the only way it will work now is for the Iraqis themselves to somehow take charge and turn things around. Our policy, strategy, tactics, et cetera, are still screwed up..... These guys don't understand what they are getting into.The more I saw, the more I thought that this was the product of the neocons who didn't understand the region and were going to create havoc there. These were dilettantes from Washington think tanks who never had an idea that worked on the ground....

The bill of goods the neocons sold him has been proven false, yet heads haven't rolled. Where is the accountability?
Anthony M. Zinni
"

2595. robertjayb - 12/25/2003 3:12:15 PM

Riverbend seeks votes---Fills water tank...

2596. jexster - 12/26/2003 11:10:52 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Guerrillas extended the biggest insurgent attacks in Iraq (news - web sites) since Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s capture, killing four U.S. soldiers in mortar and bomb attacks, the U.S. military said on Friday.


Reuters Photo


Reuters
Slideshow: Iraq

Guerillas Hit Baghdad Targets
(Reuters Video)




Latest headlines:
· Eight US soldiers killed in Iraq Christmas violence, Japan sends troops
AFP - 30 minutes ago
· Japanese Troops Leave for Iraq Deployment
AP - 36 minutes ago
· Iraq Ambush, Explosions Kill 3 U.S. GIs
AP - 1 hour, 37 minutes ago
Special Coverage





A roadside bomb killed one soldier and wounded another when it exploded by a convoy near Baquba, about 65 km (40 miles) north of Baghdad, early on Friday. A second soldier was killed the same day trying to defuse a bomb outside the town, a U.S. military spokesman said.


Two other U.S. soldiers were killed in a mortar attack on a U.S. camp near Baquba on Thursday.

2597. robertjayb - 12/26/2003 8:16:31 PM

Christmas in Baghdad with Riverbend...

2598. wonkers2 - 12/27/2003 1:25:20 PM

It seems apparent that we have ignited a civil war in Iraq. And we are in the middle of it, unloved by either side. Not to mention an unknown number of outsider fanatical, suicidal Islamists who are even unfriendlier to coalition forces, NGOs, the UN, et al. What a fiasco!

2599. concerned - 12/27/2003 1:35:17 PM

Guess LWers don't know how to close an html flag.

2600. concerned - 12/27/2003 1:46:15 PM

Re. 2598 -

If it's a 'civil war', how come you can't name the opposing factions?

2601. judithathome - 12/27/2003 3:51:11 PM

Guess LWers don't know how to close an html flag.

God knows centrists NEVER forget to do so!

Give it a rest...it isn't only LWers who make mistakes and rape and plunder and kill and cheat and steal...your fingerpointing is getting very old.

2602. jexster - 12/27/2003 5:03:47 PM

KARBALA, Iraq (AFP) - Six coalition soldiers and seven Iraqis were killed and at least 129 people wounded as insurgents terrorised the Shiite Muslim holy city of Karbala with four suicide car bombs, machine guns and mortar fire.



The guerrillas launched attacks on Karbala's city hall and two military bases, a Bulgarian one located near a university and a Polish one out of town.

2603. wonkers2 - 12/27/2003 5:45:52 PM

Well, from what I've heard and read the opposing factions are the majority Shias and the minority Sunnis/Baathists. The Kurds would be a third faction, but I haven't read anything indicating they are involved in the guerilla activities.

2604. jexster - 12/28/2003 6:50:53 AM

Sistani Stands Ground on Demand for Real Democracy & General Elections

IGC agreed with US civil administrator Paul Bremer on November 15 that caucus-type elections, by hand- picked pro-American local councils, would be held by the end of May. Sistani objected that such an election would not adequately reflect the will of the Iraqi people, and insists on one-person, one-vote general elections.

He also wanted an up-front guarantee that the Iraqi legislature would not pass laws at variance with Islam. The IGC has ever since been negotiating with him in an attempt to find a compromise. AFP said, ' "Despite obstacles that have been raised, he would only renounce elections if a UN technical team reaches the conclusion that it is impossible to hold them and proposes another solution that would guarantee a better representation of the Iraqi people," Sistani's spokesman said. ' Sistani therefore stood his ground about the need for general elections.

Sistani's refusal to budge poses a severe problem for the US, which wants now to move quickly to an "Afghanistan" model, hold an American-invented Iraqi "Loya Jirga" or council of hand-picked notables, "elect" a transitional government, and turn over sovereignty to it, as they did to Karzai in Afghanistan. This plan appears to derive from despair that the US will actually be able to administer Iraq for very much longer, given Iraqi sullenness about the occupation, and from a desire of the Bush administration to bring home the reporters, if not the troops, well before the November 2004 elections. Karl Rove probably figures that the US press simply won't cover Iraq as intensively if the US isn't running it, just as they don't cover Afghanistan ... Sistani is therefore standing in the way of a smooth political progression that has enormous import for the next US election.
Juan Cole

2605. jexster - 12/28/2003 6:51:01 AM


OK so Bush doesn't know what course he's on but it looks more and more like the road runs through the town Bail, Iraq.

The Regime has dumped a raft of pet econ projects its neocon wacks had scoped as part of their "Democrtic revolution" ....

And good for Sistani for exposing Bush's "democratic revolution" as just more stupefyingly vapid rhetorical gas.

2606. jexster - 12/28/2003 7:15:55 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - One U.S. soldier and two Iraqi children were killed in a roadside bomb blast in central Baghdad on Sunday, a U.S. military spokesman said.

Capt. Jason Beck, a spokesman for the 1st Armored Division, said the explosion in a busy shopping district also wounded 14 people.

They included five U.S. soldiers, eight members of the Iraqi Civil Defense Corps and an Iraqi interpreter. Beck said he did not know how serious their injuries were.

``A soldier from the 2nd Armored Cavalry Regiment and two Iraqi children standing nearby were killed when the IED (improvised explosive device) detonated as a convoy was passing,'' Beck said.




2607. robertjayb - 12/28/2003 3:27:35 PM

bushies back away from Iraq schemes...(WashPost)

BAGHDAD, Dec. 27 -- The United States has backed away from several of its more ambitious initiatives to transform Iraq's economy, political system and security forces as attacks on U.S. troops have escalated and the timetable for ending the civil occupation has accelerated.



Plans to privatize state-owned businesses -- a key part of a larger Bush administration goal to replace the socialist economy of deposed president Saddam Hussein with a free-market system -- have been dropped over the past few months. So too has a demand that Iraqis write a constitution before a transfer of sovereignty.


2608. jexster - 12/28/2003 9:23:44 PM

Robert, only steers and queers grow in Tejan. You sproutin horns lately have ya?

Post the link I was goin ta..damn your eyes...

But you did all a service I grant ya...


The insurgeents now have hnnded the neoJacobin Trotskyite cum free range fraud Bushie incompetents what I rate ss the Fourth Major Defeat for Wars Without Shame, Aim or End:


4. Defeated Neo-social engineers fantasies of creating their very own Krony Kapitalist Tejas on the Tigris

3. That capturing th6or Demon Saddam would have any more effect on Iraq or much less US than killing any garden variety brown recluse spider in a hole

2. That Bush had a clue what he was doing in Iraq.


1. Yhat Yellow Cake is fit for human consumption..

So continue to "bring it on"...Bush is lookin to bail and we are all lookin to Eddie to tell us


Why in hell did America waste billions of dollars and tens of thousandd of bodies for a crock of Tejas steer shit?

And what is the course you want us to ttay?


And why are you so friggin fat? Some sort of sexual substiiute?

Case closed.

2609. Edmund Dantes - 12/28/2003 9:36:49 PM

In the morning, I shall be skinny. And whether drunk or sober, you'll still be an illiterate, historically ignorant loon.

For the first time in more than a decade, four American military aircraft landed in Iran Sunday in a gesture between two countries more noted for acrimony than mutual aid.

2610. jexster - 12/28/2003 9:41:03 PM

And add to pending questions about Bush's insipid "tip-toe through-My-Little-Hanging-Garden-of-Democracy/No Deals With Scuzzbag Dictators" Flower Garden, remind us again of how a cowardly and cowering Q'adaffyi gave up a WMD program that had produced NOTHING because he was pissin his pants in fear that George Bush's Imperial Legions would take to the Shores of Tripoli?

I have problems recallin the short term, the wacked. the insignificant or the scent of any number of your brain farts

Thanks.

2611. jexster - 12/28/2003 9:47:21 PM

French diplomacy finishes the year on a morose note. Not only must it watch American trains passing, in Iraq as in Libya, but it must also applaud. The success obtained by George W. Bush in his fight against 'rogue states,' with the arrest of Saddam Hussein and then Qaddafi's renouncing of weapons of mass destruction, have placed Paris in a delicate position.

WOW out of the Mouths of Morons!


Now why would anyone in his right mind trade one used up sorry satrap in a spider hole with no WMD's and a pathetic, has been of Moslem secularism whose ass is threatened by Jihadists whose WMD program could kill a cockroach, for $200-400 Billion bucks, thousands of casualties, and unprecedented hemorraghe of power/influence?


Make mine with brie on a baguette thank you very much.

Vive La France!

2612. jexster - 12/28/2003 9:49:58 PM

Look what they get for holding out against easy sleazy deals with Qadaffi...Andrew Sullivan carrying a big bag of wounded French pride.

And only a few billions of dollars..bargain at twice the price

2613. Edmund Dantes - 12/28/2003 9:53:11 PM

Not fat:

2614. jexster - 12/28/2003 9:56:58 PM

God damn Eddie ...if that's you, I how much you chargin!

Are you the stud of my wet dreams or just another caked yeller crust on my sheets?

2615. jexster - 12/28/2003 10:04:14 PM

This is funny....Bremmer was asked to comment on Blair's claims that David Kay had uncovered as a massive hidden net of Saddma WMD labes...kicker being that the reporter who asked the questtion didn't attibute source...So Bremmer, mind sharp as a tack, smelled a rat, suspected he was being set up.... Ain't no such thing...why you've been conned...Sone shady fuck of a Saddmite done set you up with a Red Herring just to discredit the Emperor...


Damn but it wasn't some dickless prevert like Noam Chomsky it was Tony Blair, you'd think that after a couple of years at the end of Bush's leash, he'd have learnt a thing or two about Lyin...

2616. wonkers2 - 12/28/2003 10:32:46 PM

There's a lot to be said for the unvarnished truth.

2617. wonkers2 - 12/29/2003 11:01:00 AM

Last night in a preview of Fog of War Robert McNamara said that one of our mistakes in Vietnam was to regard the conflict as a war against communism when in reality it was a Vietnamese civil war. The analogy between Vietnam and Iraq can easily be overdone, but it seems to me that we have ignited a civil war there. And we are in the middle of it, increasingly disliked by all sides. It's also analogous to Yugoslavia and Saddam to Tito. Saddam is no longer around to keep the lid on the feuding factions, and we are unable to do it.

2618. robertjayb - 12/29/2003 11:40:05 AM

Speaking of keeping lids on:(LATimes---registration required)

BAGHDAD — Seen by a distrustful public as a tool of the occupying powers, Iraq's Governing Council is coming of age on the job as it tries to define a leadership to take over from the United States and its allies.

But as the 25-member body steers Iraq toward sovereignty, promised in a mere six months, it is acting like a defiant adolescent, challenging the authority and wisdom of those who gave it life. And its bargaining position has been strengthened by the Bush administration's apparent eagerness to declare its mission accomplished before the U.S. presidential election.

2619. jexster - 12/29/2003 12:01:44 PM

IGC Has Little Georgie By the Short Hairs!

That'll teach him to open that big dumb pie hole of his -
yappin about democracy!

Liar,Liar Pants on Fire...got em caught on the telephone wire

2620. jexster - 12/29/2003 12:11:44 PM

L'audace, toujours l'audace!

The council began flexing its muscles last month when it undertook a review of Bremer's gubernatorial appointments ... Council members are challenging such regional appointments by Bremer, insisting they are better acquainted with the needs and values of Iraqis than an American making personnel choices under deadline pressure.


While the council appears ready to accept Bremer's conclusion that direct elections for the next leadership bodies are impossible due to time constraints, the proposed caucus system continues to be looked at askance by Iraq's most powerful religious leader, Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani. His threat to denounce the caucus method as illegitimate would probably dissuade many Shiites, who constitute more than 60% of the Iraqi population, from participating in the process...


Looks like the Debray scenario is really beginning to take shape ie the longer we stay the worse things be when we leave...

2621. jexster - 12/29/2003 1:19:30 PM

Republican Apologetics for Occupation Failures Hit Astounding Lows

Josh Marshall writes: "This is an unfortunate passage. It comes from David Brooks' column in tomorrow's Times:

'But ours is the one revolution that worked, and it did precisely because our founders were epistemologically modest too, and didn't pretend to know what is the good life,only that people should be free to figure it out for themselves. Because of that legacy, we stink at social engineering. Our government couldn't even come up with a plan for postwar Iraq - thank goodness, too, because any 'plan' hatched by technocrats in Washington would have been unfit for Iraqi reality.'

I don't know where to start. The failure to do
proper planning for post-war Iraq, it turns out, wasn't a matter of hidebound ideologues who ignored and attacked expertise and experience. It was the happy result of America's tradition of non-ideological pragmatism.

This is screw-up laundering with a spritz of history tossed on."

On the very day that i8t was reported the Wackos dumped a half a ton of ideological social engineering blueprints for their New World Order!

2622. jexster - 12/29/2003 1:29:32 PM

Bad enough that liars are runnings but incompetent liars, a are armadillos of a different color entirely...

Guardian UK -
George W. Bush - Highly Toxic Weapon of Mass Political Destruction:
Bremmer Humiliates Blair Over WMD Lies


"In a Christmas message to British troops, Tony Blair claimed there was 'massive evidence of a huge system of clandestine laboratories'.

The Iraq Survey Group (ISG) had unearthed compelling evidence that showed Saddam Hussein had attempted to 'conceal weapons', the Prime Minister said. But in an interview yesterday, Paul Bremer flatly dismissed the claim as untrue -without realising its source was Blair...

'I don't know where those words come from but that is not what [ISG chief] David Kay has said,' he told ITV1 ...

Liberal Democrat foreign affairs spokesman Menzies Campbell said he would be pressing Ministers when Parliament returned in the New Year on what precisely the Government knew. 'It is high time the Prime Minister cleared this matter up once and for all,' he said...

In recent days, senior Whitehall officials have raised the extraordinary possibility that Saddam did not have weapons of mass destruction after all - but believed he did after being misled by his own advisors."

2623. jexster - 12/29/2003 2:05:59 PM

And from today's paper, Houston we have a little firestorm in here in old London town...

Blair WMD claim a 'red herring', says Bremer

America's top man in Iraq heaps scorn on PM's allegation


Tony Blair faced fresh allegations yesterday that he had "sexed up" an official report into Saddam Hussein's ability to produce weapons of mass destruction after the US official running Iraq dismissed out of hand his latest controversial claim.


The Conservatives said Mr Blair's assertion, made to British troops in mid-December, that there was "massive evidence of a huge system of clandestine laboratories" was a piece of "sexed-up information" uttered "to save his skin".


Irrelevant eh?

Bush better get his ass out of that TarPit ASAP..

2624. jexster - 12/29/2003 2:10:58 PM

Robin Cook, who has become a formidable backbench critic on the war, said: "If there is massive evidence of clandestine laboratories it does seem rather curious that Paul Bremer, who is running Iraq, doesn't know about it. The truth is the Iraq Survey Group found no evidence of weapons, no delivery systems, no chemical or biological weapons and found no laboratories to produce them.

"This is unquestionably embarrassing for those who try and claim there is a chemical and biological arsenal and if they can't convince Paul Bremer, who is remarkably on-message, how can they convince anyone outside?"


2625. jexster - 12/29/2003 2:15:15 PM

Yesterday the Labour backbencher Diane Abbott said the prime minister risked further rebellions after alienating loyal MPs after using this argument. "I never believed this thing about missiles being ready for fire in 45 minutes but sadly some of my colleagues did, and they are the ones that are most bitter, she told Sky's Sunday with Adam Boulton.

"They went and had private chats with Tony, went back to their local parties and said 'the prime minister has told me... ', and they feel like pillocks."


Yo Eddie how does that feel exactly, like a "pillock"?

What the fuck is a pillock anyway?

2626. rdbrewer - 12/29/2003 4:05:35 PM

NYT Concludes No Profiteering by Halliburton. In a related story, Jexter and WoW, conclude there is no god.

An examination of what has grown into a multibillion-dollar contract to restore Iraq's oil infrastructure shows no evidence of profiteering by Halliburton, the Houston-based oil services company, but it does demonstrate a struggle between price controls and the uncertainties of war, with price controls frequently losing.

--linked by Andrew Sullivan

2627. OhioSTOPAS - 12/29/2003 6:58:11 PM

Remember that "top secret memo" that documented how Abu Nidal supposedly trained Mohamed Atta in Baghdad? Haven't heard anything about it since Newsweek established it was a fake (see my Message # 2394).

I didn't realize until reading "Altercation" (http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3710880) today that the London Telegraph "reporter" who broke the "story", Con Coughlin (yes, his first name is "Con" - should've been a clue there) was interviewed by Tom Brokaw on "Meet the Press" the day the Telegraph reported the story (December 14, also the day Saddam's capture was reported).

Here it is:

"Brokaw: . . . [T]ell us about the article that you have today in the Sunday Telegraph about Mohamed Atta and any connections that he may have had to the Iraqi regime of Saddam Hussein.

"Coughlin: Well, this is an intriguing story, Tom. I mean, basically, when I was in Baghdad, I picked up a document that was given to me by a senior member of the Iraqi interim government. It's an intelligence document written by the then-head of Iraqi intelligence, Habush to Saddam. It's dated the 1st of July, 2001, and it's basically a memo saying that Mohamed Atta has successfully completed a training course at the house of Abu Nidal, the infamous Palestinian terrorist . . ."

(continued)

2628. OhioSTOPAS - 12/29/2003 6:59:01 PM

"Coughlin (continued): Now, this is the first really concrete proof that al-Qaeda was working with Saddam. I saw your interview with James Woolsey earlier and he was talking about the article in The Weekly Standard. And there is a lot of detail there. But this is a document, and I've had it authenticated. This is the handwriting of the head of Iraqi intelligence, Habush, is one of the few people still at large who is in the pack of cards. And it basically says that Atta was in Baghdad being trained under Saddam's guidance prior to the 9/11 attack. It's a very explosive development, Tom.

"Brokaw: Thank you very much, Con Coughlin in London this morning. His article is in The London Sunday Telegraph. You can access it on the Internet, of course. Now, back to my colleague, the moderator of Meet the Press, Tim Russert. Tim."

Jeeez. Real probing interview there, Tom. Does fear of being accused of "liberal bias" require giving air time to anyone peddling pro-war, pro-Bush misinformation, no matter how incredible?


2629. robertjayb - 12/29/2003 7:19:41 PM

Step away from that Old Farmer's Almanac and keep your hands up...

WASHINGTON -- The FBI has warned police nationwide to be alert for people carrying almanacs, cautioning that the popular reference books covering everything from abbreviations to weather trends could be used for terrorist planning.


In a bulletin sent Christmas Eve to about 18,000 police organizations, the FBI said terrorists may use almanacs "to assist with target selection and pre-operational planning.

2630. jexster - 12/29/2003 7:56:05 PM

One headline says it all in the Mother of All Battles - The Two Ayatollahs!

'Great Satan' Sends 'Axis of Evil' Member Iran Aid

2631. jexster - 12/29/2003 7:58:09 PM

The NyT recycled a Halliburton press release RD...you really must work on that critical thinking...let's see what the Pentagon auditors have to say, not Andrew Sullivan or the NyT reporter...

2632. jexster - 12/29/2003 8:00:39 PM

Does fear of being accused of "liberal bias" require giving air time to anyone peddling pro-war, pro-Bush misinformation, no matter how incredible?


You may be on to something here Ohio...

Do you think Eddie's mom accused him of liberal bias when he was just a little fat baby boy????

Case closed.

2633. jexster - 12/29/2003 8:21:01 PM

RD - some good advice from a Loosiana man...

1. Don't take no wooden nickels
2. Don't give a multi billion dollar no bid contract to Texan

You'll do just fine.

2634. jexster - 12/29/2003 8:48:43 PM

Meet Hezzobolah - Iraq's Newest Shiite Political Party


Thank you George W. Bush, Holy Crusader for Democracy & Moron Annointed of the Lord!

2635. jexster - 12/29/2003 8:49:11 PM

Watch those Shiites....just watch

2636. wonkers2 - 12/29/2003 9:53:31 PM

The London Telegraph is one of the less reliable papers there. Even worse than the Times.

2637. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 6:00:17 AM

AP Belgrade, Serbia-Montenegro--Slobodan Milosevic, in custody and on trial for genocide before a UN court, has been elected to Serbia's parliament, according to weekend ballot results released Monday.

The Serbian RAdical Party, which supported Milosevic's Balkan war campaigns in the 1990s, won 81 seats in the 250-seat parliament--FAR MORE THAN THE PRO-WESTERN GROUPS THAT TOPPLED MILOSEVIC THREE YEARS AGO, the government electoral commission said.

I wonder if the Iraqis will let Saddam Hussein run for election from jail? And I wonder how many votes he would get?

2638. PelleNilsson - 12/30/2003 10:41:33 AM

That news item is misleading on two accounts. First, it implies that Milosevic is associated with the Radical Prty which he is not. The party is led by Vojislav Seselj who is also a guest of the Hague tribunal although his trial has not yet started. Milosevic's party, the Socialists received 7% of the vote, barely making it into parliament.

Second, the Radical Party got 28% of the vote against 42% for the three so called "pro-western groups".

Another example of slanted reporting uncritically accepted.

2639. TheWizardOfWhimsy - 12/30/2003 12:07:58 PM

2640. jexster - 12/30/2003 12:14:21 PM

The Latest Bush Con Job: Iraqi Police

Here's a employment test even TD could pass:

What do you think of human rights?" Mehdi asked.

"It's good and helps humans," Abbas answered.

"What do you think of the other sex?"

"They are half or so of society and help men serve the community."

Mehdi nodded and scribbled some notes in the young man's file. Abbas was in.


Need work TD????

2641. jexster - 12/30/2003 12:15:16 PM

Why even Bush might be able to pass

2642. jexster - 12/30/2003 12:29:31 PM

Twighlight of Bush's Neocons?

2643. jexster - 12/30/2003 12:30:53 PM

Like most domestic disputes, much of the fighting has been done behind locked doors, leaving us to interpret the results based on the muffled sound of screaming voices and the occasional smash of broken porcelain. But the signs that the neocons are on the losing end of the battle have become fairly evident in recent weeks:


The administration has welcomed Libya back into the community of "civilized" nations, on terms that can only help solidify Col. Ghadafi's dictatorial regime. The deal is about as textbook a case of realpolitik as you will find outside the archives of the Kissinger NSC.

Jim Baker has returned to the diplomatic circuit, with the speculation being that his assignment is to liquidate not only Iraq's debt but also the neocon illusion of remaking the Middle East into the Community of Israel-Recognizing Nations.

The rumor mill also has uber-neocon Paul Wolfowitz departing the Pentagon in February. Can Doug Feith -- the other half of the necon Laural & Hardy act, be far behind?

Bush rolled out the red carpet -- with a 19-gun salute no less -- for Chinese prime minister Wen Jiabao, then explicitly warned Taiwan not to ditch its allegiance to the increasingly fictional notion of "one China." So doing, he completely ignored the howls of protest from neocon punditry that he was selling Taiwanese democracy down the river.

The public sniping at the administration by said punditry has become distinctly more direct, with both Newt Gringrich and Bill Kristol harshly criticizing the White House -- if not yet the president who lives and sometimes even works there..

2644. jexster - 12/30/2003 12:46:57 PM

In the Middle East, on the other hand, the policy differences between the neocons and the realists were vast, and the personal animosities intense. To the realists, the Middle East was simply another theatre in the Cold War, in which the moderate Arab regimes were necessary evils and the state of Israel an unwelcome distraction. America, they believed, had little choice but to rely on its "deputy sheriffs" in the region -- Iran and Saudi Arabia -- to keep the Soviets out and the oil flowing.

But the collapse of the Shah knocked that policy into crisis. Saudi Arabia, everybody understood, simply wasn't strong enough to be America's sole watchdog in the Persian Gulf. The Iranian revolution was a match poised over the dynamite dump of Shi'a aspirations throughout the region. The Soviets were watching closely. What was to be done?

It's an interesting coincidence that at this particular moment in history, in September 1980, Saddam Hussein launched his war of aggression against Iran. The war presented a irresistable opportunity for the realists: By tilting towards Saddam, they could contain Iran, protect Saudia Arabia and -- just perhaps -- wean Baathist Iraq away from its Soviet arms supplier.

The neocons despised this policy, which ran exactly counter to their own desire to turn Israel into America's primary ally and deputy sheriff in the Middle East. By cuddling up to Iraq, the realists were actually strengthening one of the Jewish state's most powerful enemies. This was intolerable.


And here we are stuck in a Tar Pit because the Bush Regime needs an enemy to replace the good ole Commies and his neoJacobins haven't a clue how to run a foreign policy.

2645. jexster - 12/30/2003 12:54:47 PM

Figuring out who's minding the store is always a problem with an administration this secretive, especially since it never admits to a mistake and rarely tosses people overboard. Or, as General Zinni told the Washington Post:

"What I don't understand is that the bill of goods the neocons sold him has been proven false, yet heads haven't rolled," he says. "Where is the accountability? I think some fairly senior people at the Pentagon ought to go." Who? "That's up to the president."


The problem, I think, is that while the neocons may be in the dog house, it's very much in the administration's interests to obscure that fact. Firing them would draw too much attention to the people who allowed them to crap all over the carpet -- again.

2646. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 3:04:16 PM

Well, according to today's NYT "The Radical Party, led by indicted war crimes suspect Vojislav Seselj is estimated to have won 82 of 250 seats in Sunday's vote, making it the largest single party in the Assembly by a clear margin. Full text here

2647. PelleNilsson - 12/30/2003 3:13:58 PM

That's what I said, isn't it? You have a point?

2648. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 3:22:29 PM

Votes for the Radical Party (32%)and the Socialist Party (7%) total 39 percent, by any reckoning a large percentage of the vote for the parties of two accused war criminals. If there is any similarity to Iraq, it's not unreasonable to assume that Saddam Hussein supporters remain a significant percentage of the population and are likely to continue their reisitance for some time and as well are likely to be a factor in future elections. The "good guys" appear to me to be a smaller percentage of the population in Iraq than in Serbia-Montenegro.

2649. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 3:27:18 PM

Correction: The accused war criminals' parties won 41 percent of the seats in the Serbian parliament, 81 Radical Party seats and 22 Socialist. This would appear to indicate significant public sentiment against the pro-western Serbian leaders.

2650. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 3:38:06 PM

Interesting link on the Twilight of the Neocons. I wonder who billmon is. Bright guy.

2651. PelleNilsson - 12/30/2003 3:38:38 PM

That's very true but I doubt that the parallel with Iraq is illuminating. Of course Saddam would get votes from some of the Sunni but very few from the Shia and Kurds which together make up (I think) 70% of the electorate. Say 10-15%? Could be a good thing as far as I'm concerned.

2652. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 3:41:16 PM

Well, the Shia and the Kurds aren't exactly house broken democrats any more than the Baathist/Sunnis.

2653. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 4:03:52 PM

Somebody pointed out recently that when the Turks were in charge of what is now Iraq they ruled the area as three separate states, each with its own governor--Kurds in the north, Sunnis in the middle and Shia in the south. Forging these groups into a single, unified democratic country is problematical.

2654. rdbrewer - 12/30/2003 7:21:47 PM

The NyT recycled a Halliburton press release RD.

Right.

2655. rdbrewer - 12/30/2003 7:22:05 PM

Oh, yeah: In your dreams.

2656. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:25:51 PM

That's exactly what it was and it was obvious from the third paragraph that the reporter had not read the contract; ASPR and didn't know squat about cost accounting and procurement fraud...that's a tough subject...the prelim Pentagon audit report and the Halliburton auditors ..they know their ASPR from a hole in the ground..

Stick to football..its the only thing OKIES do well...


2657. rdbrewer - 12/30/2003 7:34:20 PM

You didn't read the article, Hex. "An examination of what has grown into a multibillion-dollar contract . . . ." Leave out the prepositional phrase, and you have, "An examination . . . ." IOW, the NYT examined the contract.

If that's not enough, the article also says:

So far this year, Halliburton's profits from Iraq have been minimal. The company's latest report to the Securities and Exchange Commission shows $1.3 billion in revenues from work in Iraq and $46 million in pretax profits for the first nine months of 2003. But its profit may grow once the Pentagon completes a formal evaluation of the work. If the government is satisfied, Halliburton is entitled to a performance fee of up to 5 percent of the contract's entire value, which could mean additional payments of $100 million or more.

2658. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:42:58 PM

You pillock, look what you've done!

2659. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:44:14 PM

In a pig's eye!


They sat down with Haliburton flaks.

2660. rdbrewer - 12/30/2003 7:45:15 PM

IOW, "I've made up my mind. Don't bother me with facts."

2661. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:46:18 PM

Did they look at the contract documents? Did they look at the payment applications?

Sheeeet no they didn't. They've neither the competence nor the time nor the patience, let me tell ya. I've defended one or two federal contractors

2662. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:46:46 PM

In my callow, mispent youth.

2663. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:47:00 PM

Before I ate Bush beef

2664. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:48:54 PM

IOW...you pay me the bucks give me the documents, check back in a few months, I give you the answer or we can wait for the feds...or maybe call the Halliburton auditors who spoke before the PR folks at the Dallas Head Shed took a giant dump on em.

2665. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:50:08 PM

This is heavy shit...the cases are complicated as hell and Halliburton could be debarred.


Believe none of what you read, half of what you see.

2666. jexster - 12/30/2003 7:52:06 PM

2667. jexster - 12/30/2003 8:05:29 PM

War Criminals: Blair acted like a 'white vigilante' by invading Iraq, says bishop

Tony Blair came under attack from two of the Church of England's most senior figures yesterday for acting "like a white vigilante" and for lacking humility in forging ahead with the war on Iraq.

In the most outspoken outburst, the Bishop of Durham, Tom Wright, accused religious conservatives surrounding the US president, George Bush, of espousing "a very strange distortion of Christianity" - particularly since, through Iraq's reconstruction, many would gain financially.

"For Bush and Blair to go into Iraq together was like a bunch of white vigilantes going into Brixton to stop drug dealing. This is not to deny there's a problem to be sorted, just that they are not credible people to deal with it," he said

2668. jexster - 12/30/2003 8:09:00 PM

2309 The strict conditions for legitimate defense by military force require rigorous consideration. The gravity of such a decision makes it subject to rigorous conditions of moral legitimacy. At one and the same time:

1. the damage inflicted by the aggressor on the nation or community of nations must be lasting, grave, and certain;
2.all other means of putting an end to it must have been shown to be impractical or ineffective;
3. there must be serious prospects of success;
4. the use of arms must not produce evils and disorders graver than the evil to be eliminated. The power of modem means of destruction weighs very heavily in evaluating this condition.
These are the traditional elements enumerated in what is called the "just war" doctrine


That's what they call an O-FER in baseball...

0 for 4

That's not even counting the times they "bore false witness"

2669. jexster - 12/30/2003 8:21:51 PM

For crimes against humanity....

In a separate rebuke, the Archbishop of York, David Hope, questioned the legitimacy of the war and said Mr Blair would have to answer to God - a "higher authority" - for his decision to forge ahead with the conflict.

He called on people to pray for Mr Blair and called on him to show more humility rather than exercising power in an authoritarian way. Referring to Iraq, he said: "One of the qualities of a good leader is that they have to be really attentive to the views of the people. It seemed at one stage that that was not happening."

The conflict, and the events leading up to it, had raised questions of leadership and trust.



Dr Hope went on to call on Britons to "spend more time praying for Tony Blair", who should exercise a "calm, quiet authority".

The coalition leaders would have to give an account to a "a higher authority," he added, in an echo of the warning by the Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, at the Iraq war remembrance service, that Mr Blair would be "called to account."

2670. OhioSTOPAS - 12/30/2003 8:32:10 PM

Some good news from Iraq:

"TIKRIT, Iraq - Influential spiritual leaders from Saddam Hussein's hometown — a bastion of anti-American sentiment — are joining forces to persuade Iraqis to abandon the violent insurgency, one of the leaders said Monday.

"The effort marks a new, open willingness to cooperate with U.S. forces — a shift in the thinking of at least some key members of Iraq's Sunni Muslim minority . . ."

This is a positive development which I'm guessing would not be occurring if Saddam were still at large. Let's hope we can start turning the corner now.

2671. wonkers2 - 12/30/2003 9:18:26 PM

The RNC is probably spreading a little of Bush's money around among the mullahs. I hope it works.

2672. jexster - 12/30/2003 10:31:52 PM

We'll see what the Shia think

2673. Edmund Dantes - 12/30/2003 10:41:03 PM

AL QAEDA VIDEOS FOUND IN IRAQ WEAPONS RAID

From CNN:

In addition to the al Qaeda literature and videos, the troops found nearly 8,000 rounds of ammunition; 160 mortar rounds and six mortar tubes; 43 rocket-propelled grenade launchers and 79 rocket-propelled grenades (RPGs); and 19 AK-47 assault rifles, as well as dozens of other weapons.


2674. jexster - 12/31/2003 8:44:56 AM

Pentagon Terminates Halliburton Contract

Guess they don't read the NyTimes RD

And correction wonk..if Bush is giving money to the mullahs you can bet your bottom dinar it doesn't come from RNC slush funds..

Your Taxpayer Dollars at Work!

2675. jexster - 12/31/2003 8:47:29 AM

Pentagon to Defer Billions in Iraq Reconstruction Work - Too Many RPG's ED

2676. jexster - 12/31/2003 8:49:24 AM

The Debray Scenario - The Longer the Bungling Bacillus of Babylon Stays, the Worse Things Will Get

KIRKUK, Iraq - Gunfire erupted Wednesday during a protest march in Kirkuk and at least two people were killed in this northern city where plans for a democratic Iraq (news - web sites) are dividing Kurd, Arab and Turkmen residents.

2677. jexster - 12/31/2003 8:50:28 AM

"What I don't understand is that the bill of goods the neocons sold him has been proven false, yet heads haven't rolled."

Yea Ed, wassup wit dat?

2678. jexster - 12/31/2003 9:45:58 AM

In Sunni Bastion, They Are Ready for a Fight
Even with Hussein in custody, anti-American sentiment fuels Iraqi midsection's insurgency


Better get more moolah to the mullahs quick!

2679. jexster - 12/31/2003 12:38:09 PM



Iraqi Kurds hold up banners during an earlier demonstration in Kirkuk. Three people were killed and dozens more wounded when Kurdish gunmen opened fire on a demonstration by Arabs and Turkmen in this northern Iraqi city

2680. Edmund Dantes - 12/31/2003 12:42:09 PM

THE SUICIDAL CULTISTS

The so-called Arab street and its phony intellectuals sense that influential progressive Westerners will never censure Middle Eastern felonies if there is a chance to rage about Western misdemeanors. It is precisely this parasitic relationship between the foreign and domestic critics of the West that explains much of the strange confidence of those who planned September 11. It was the genius of bin Laden, after all, that he suspected after he had incinerated 3,000 Westerners an elite would be more likely to blame itself for the calamity — searching for “root causes” than marshalling its legions to defeat a tribe that embraced theocracy, autocracy, gender apartheid, polygamy, anti-Semitism, and religious intolerance. And why not after Lebanon, the first World Trade Center bombing, the embassies in Africa, murder in Saudi Arabia, and the USS Cole? It was the folly of bin Laden only that he assumed the United States was as far gone as Europe and that a minority of its ashamed elites had completely assumed control of American political, cultural, and spiritual life.

Hatred of Israel is the most striking symptom of the Western disease. On the face of it the dilemma there is a no-brainer for any classic liberal: A consensual government is besieged by fanatical suicide killers who are subsidized and cheered on by many dictators in the Arab world. The bombers share the same barbaric methods as Chechens, the 9/11 murderers, al Qaedists in Turkey, and what we now see in Iraq.

2681. Edmund Dantes - 12/31/2003 12:42:32 PM

(cont.)


Indeed, the liberal Europeans should love Israel, whose social and cultural institutions — universities, the fine arts, concern for the “other” — so reflect its own. Gays are in the Israeli military, whose soldiers rarely salute, but usually address each other by their first names and accept a gender equity that any feminist would love. And while Arabs once may have been exterminated by Syrians, gassed in Yemen by Egypt, ethnically cleansed in Kuwait, lynched without trial in Palestine, burned alive in Saudi Arabia, inside Israel proper they vote and enjoy human rights not found elsewhere in the Arab Middle East.

2682. PelleNilsson - 12/31/2003 12:53:03 PM

This imbecilic Euro-hatred is as deplorable as the unreflected anti-Americanism displayed by the folks whose political views were set in stone in the 70s.

2683. Edmund Dantes - 12/31/2003 12:58:22 PM

I wouldn't call it "Euro-hatred." Plenty of Hansen's examples come from within America's borders.

Also, many Europeans aren't ready to watch Western ideals garrotted by this most recent reactionary barbarism.

That percentage appears smaller, however, in Western Europe than in the US.

2684. jexster - 12/31/2003 1:52:16 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - A large explosion was heard in central Baghdad on New Year's Eve. Ambulances converged on the area near the former U.S. Embassy.



Gunfire was heard after the explosion. U.S. soldiers were seen heading to the site of the blast, and U.S. military helicopters hovered overhead.


Earlier in Baghdad, a car bomb exploded as a U.S. convoy passed on a street full of shops, destroying a Humvee, Iraqi police Sgt. Thabet Talib said. An 8-year-old Iraqi boy was killed and 21 other people were wounded, including five U.S. soldiers and five Iraqi civil defense personnel, authorities said.


Brig. Gen. Martin Dempsey, commander of the 1st Armored Division, said it was not clear what kind of bomb caused the blast.


Later in the evening, a bomb hidden in shrubs outside a restaurant in Baghdad went off as a U.S. military convoy passed, wounding three American soldiers and three Iraqi civilians.

2685. jexster - 1/1/2004 12:23:59 PM

Bush Lies, People Die
Iraq WMD Hunt Has Still Found Nothing
Kay Blasts "Fiasco"


"The teams have closed their chemical and nuclear files and David Kay is considering stepping down. The remaining hope for the operation is in the biological area, a field U.N. inspectors were all suspicious of.

Kay's teams have found no evidence Iraq had smallpox but has continued questioning Iraqi biologists and were pursuing information about anthrax and aflatoxin. Of the handful of Iraqi weapons scientists remaining in U.S. custody, two are missile experts, and seven worked on past biological programs, according to Iraqi officials now working for the American occupation. All continue to claim that Iraq hasn't worked on weapons of mass destruction for years... To date, Congress has approved $700 million for the weapons hunt... [Kay's] most notable determination to date has been that two mobile trailers found in April and May were not biological laboratories as senior administration officials had claimed. In a BBC interview Kay called the trailers 'a fiasco.'"



2686. jexster - 1/1/2004 12:26:00 PM

Sunday Times: Britain's MI6 Planted Propaganda Stories in the Media to Sell Iraq War

2687. jexster - 1/1/2004 12:29:21 PM

Bush Lies, Americans Die - Iraq Occupation Force Suicide Rate "alarmingly high"

2688. wonkers2 - 1/1/2004 12:57:06 PM

Wow! The London Times story should prove to be dynamite! The White House was apparently re-cycling some of M16's lies and adding a few of their own.

2689. jexster - 1/1/2004 1:01:11 PM

Who the fuck in her right mind even half a right working mind could possibly believe anything these dirtballs say about anything?

2690. jexster - 1/2/2004 11:46:47 AM

FALLUJA, Iraq (Reuters) - Guerrillas shot down a U.S. military helicopter in central Iraq (news - web sites) Friday, killing one pilot and injuring another, officials and witnesses said.

2691. jexster - 1/2/2004 1:20:45 PM

Its Always Been About the Oil - British Memo Reveals Nixon Plan to Seize Oil Fields

Nothing to be necessarily ashamed of but nothing worth lying about either.

2692. jexster - 1/2/2004 9:33:38 PM

US soldiers ransack Sunni mosque

Iraq's minority faith targeted in hunt for weapons


Gonna take more than a photo op and a little moolah for mullahs.


Its going to take...works of great substance!





Rebranding Bush as man of peace
White House retreats from doctrine of regime change and returns to traditional diplomacy


2693. jexster - 1/2/2004 9:36:37 PM

"They blindfolded all the worshippers and took them away. You don't see Muslims attacking the holy places of other people," Abu Hassan, a worshipper at the mosque, said.

Mr Kaisey acknowledged that most of the resistance was being directed by disgruntled Sunnis but pointed out that Shias were involved as well.The coalition also failed to appreciate that Sunnis had suffered under Saddam, he said.

"All of us on the shura council have spent time in prison," he said. "We suffered under Saddam. But at the end of the day this is our country.

"If someone invaded Britain what would you do? You would probably go and fight.
"

2694. Al D - 1/2/2004 10:14:08 PM

After 9/11 UBL put out a tape and talked about how people seeing two horses would naturaly choose the strong horse. He made an astute observation which is proving true. Libia's leader is a bit of a mad man, but he knows where the strong horse is. Also, Baath Party members are turning in weapons in Iraq; they are also discovering who the strong horse is.


Islam grew because Mohammed was the strong horse, ergo, must have the strong god on his side. Perhaps Islamic fundamentalists will start to see the folly of taking on the west.

2695. Edmund Dantes - 1/3/2004 11:12:56 AM

GAY AND PALESTINIAN

For these gay men, life in the seedy parts of central Israel is far better than the virtual death sentences they fled in the West Bank and Gaza Strip.

Sani — not his real name — grew up outside Gaza City, in a refugee camp whose clan networks and congestion made privacy practically impossible. He said he realized he was homosexual at age 16, in an encounter with another youth.

Sani’s secret was safe from his father, a local sheik, but eventually it leaked out to the Palestinian Authority police.

“They brought me in, held me for hours,” he told JTA. “During one round of questioning, they made me strip and sit on a Coke bottle. It hurt. And all the time I was more worried my family would learn why.”

Torture by Palestinian Authority security services or vigilante attacks by relatives is a fate suffered by countless gays in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, where sodomy carries a jail term of three to 10 years.

Islam prescribes capital punishment for homosexual activity.

Those who survive torture and attacks either fade into meek self-abnegation or, like Sani, break away. But it’s an unlikely scenario, given the efforts Israel has made to tighten its borders over the last three years to keep out terrorists.

2696. jexster - 1/3/2004 11:51:08 PM

TIKRIT, Iraq (AFP) - Four Iraqis were killed when a US convoy opened fire on their car in northern Iraq (news - web sites) as three US soldiers were confirmed dead in separate insurgency attacks.

Local police said the Iraqis, including a woman and a child, were killed when a US convoy opened fire on their car in the northern town of Tikrit, birthplace of captured former dictator Saddam Hussein (news - web sites), but US troops in the area denied involvement.


"The car, a grey Chevrolet Caprice, was hit by 27 shots and skidded, resulting in the death of four people, including a woman and a nine year-old child," Tikrit police chief Colonel Ussama Adham Abdel Ghaffer told AFP.

2697. jexster - 1/4/2004 12:21:47 AM

'The Soldiers Took Him Away. We Haven't Seen Him Since'

The UK Guardian reports: "Mohammad al-Faysal pointed to a picture of his father hanging in their darkened living room. 'They arrested him on May 24. He didn't surrender. After the war he stayed in this house for two weeks. Nobody came. He then moved to the house of one of our relatives. US soldiers burst in suddenly, ordered everyone to lie on the floor, and handcuffed him and the other men in the room, and took them away.' He added: 'We haven't seen him since.' Dr Faysal's father - Sa'ad Abdul Majid al-Faysal - is a former Iraqi ambassador to Russia. But he is
also the three of spades: number 55 in Washington's pack of playing cards of the 55 'most wanted' members of Saddam Hussein's regime... The Americans are believed to be holding several hundred prominent figures at
their military base at Baghdad international airport... With some of the detainees in prison for eight months without charge, the airport base is rapidly turning into an Iraqi version of Guantanamo Bay, they say."

2698. wonkers2 - 1/4/2004 12:27:30 AM

Ugly.

2699. jexster - 1/4/2004 12:29:34 AM

Like that do ya Al?

Hey then you'll just love this fella.....maybe invite him for a round or two at Princeville????





2700. jexster - 1/4/2004 12:53:33 AM

Message # 2695

Touching Ed. Why I get all misty over your new found concern for gay rights.

Ooh but they tell me you are a sneaky bastard Ed, a real clever sort. Gee wonder if I missed the point of the post...what could it be...


Oh I know! You sly little passive aggressive devil you.
Why you really have got me by my identity politics short hairs now don't you!

I get it now.

Kill the bastards. Kill every last stinkin Moslem. Clean & disinfect the mosques with Sarin. Why how about a queer auto-da-fe???? Make em suck cock or die. Show em a thing or two about real Western values and strong horses.



2701. jexster - 1/4/2004 7:27:17 AM

Maybe they want their women to be women Ed. Ever stop to think of things from their point of view? Perhaps your average red blooded towel head has a point. {erhaps they do don't like it very much when the US invades their nation, its troops but the vangaurd of the latest and greatest in culture fad chic - "Lesbian bisexual chic now all the rage with US Teens"

Maybe the Muslim faithful don't want to be forced to watch Madonna laying lip locks on Brittany? Maybe they perfer to keep their women barefoot, burhka'ed and pregnant.

A US Army Jackboot on the neck - maybe that isn't such a terrific way to win friends and influence people after all?




The Ultimate Straight Male Fantasy Comes True - Bisexual Lesbian Love All the Rage Among the Nearly Legal Set

Some see it as the latest cool trend among girls in America's high schools. Others claim it is just teenagers doing what they do best - being rebellious. Either way, a wave of 'bisexual chic' is sweeping the United States.
Emboldened by such images as Madonna kissing Britney Spears and Christina Aguilera on a TV awards show, girls are proudly declaring their alternative sexualities at a younger age than ever before.

'It's a countrywide thing,' said Jessie Gilliam, a project manager for the Washington-based gay and lesbian support group Youth Resource.


2702. jexster - 1/4/2004 7:27:46 AM

Lesby love...what will they think of next!

2703. jexster - 1/4/2004 8:25:40 AM

Message # 2650

Aaah the woosey elites! God daman let's not bother with the "root causes"...let's just send in our glorious legions and kick some butt.

That this sort of mindless chest thumping drivel could pass for thoughtful much less insightful commentary tells all that need be told about the neocon dilletante. The Arab street's intellectuals are the only phoney baloney being sliced these days.


2704. jexster - 1/4/2004 8:33:04 AM

aren't the only phoney baloney..

Have a slice...

Osama Bin Laded and his jihadists thrive precisely because secular government in the Arab world has failed its population and Israel, why sure its a fine place to be, but not to the Arabs you see. To them, Israel and US policy in the region represent yet another failure of secular government. That is precisely what Bin Laden counted on. He doesn't sit around "hating freedom". He doesn't much care whether we live or die. He just wants to discredit and humiliate the secular states in the Muslim world so that he can advance his agenda.

Content? Forget content for any who can prose like this seriously:

"parasitic relationship between the foreign and domestic critics of the West"

(I wonder what the "West" this guy has in mind!)

"an elite would be more likely to blame itself for the calamity"

(there's no rage like that of a phoney intellectual priss scorned)

"than marshalling its legions to defeat a tribe"
(or more precisely marshalling THEIR tribes . Sort of foreign legion I suppose - of course it was the West, with a big assist from the USA who gave OBL his start and of course, we have left a shitload of broken promises, a failing state, record opium production to keep the self ashamed elites of europe well numbed the pain of that self loathing!)



2705. jexster - 1/4/2004 8:37:01 AM


ashamed elites had completely assumed control of American political, cultural, and spiritual life

The effete elites - got that from Mein Kampf or perhaps one of the more masculine NASDP intellectuals?

Thank God for our Manly NeoJacobin Prisses at the National Review - a regular Army of God - an elite that knows no shame (just look at their writing!). We need more fine Likud family values for an Israel we can all be proud of.

Nice to know though that gays in the military are the hallmark of an advanced culture.

I haven't read such overwrought pretentious drivel since the last time I tried to finish a Said or Chomsky piece - years. These idiots are winning the race to the bottom.

2706. jexster - 1/4/2004 8:48:35 AM

Of mighty legions and mighty mice droppings for my phoney baloney...WARNING Ashamed Elite Self-Flagellation Zone

Wanna know why OBL is so sucvessful...National Review & Weakly Standard are standard equipment in WH crappers.

Think Again: A Forgotten War

Americans hear about Iraq, but almost nothing about the war that, had it been better funded, planned and executed, might actually have done something to arrest the threat of terrorism.



2707. wonkers2 - 1/4/2004 9:08:17 AM

Making Compromises to Keep Iraq Whole

2708. arkymalarky - 1/4/2004 12:19:04 PM

Jex?

2709. jexster - 1/4/2004 12:59:58 PM

Not me I swear. Its all just a vast conspiracy of NeoJacobin psuedo-intellectual crackpots to silence the voice of Truth, Sound Morals, Clarity of Thought, and Purity of Essence.

2710. jexster - 1/4/2004 1:01:10 PM

A Zombie at Large in the Middle East


Current US strategy in the "war on terrorism" is a kind of zombie. It has been killed, slowly and painfully, by the Iraqi Sunni Arab insurgency of recent months. Its rotting corpse still walks around as if alive but as time goes by more and more bits are going to fall off. The question for uncommitted European governments, such as Gerhard Schroder's in Germany, is whether they should join this spectacle.

It is their duty to their citizens to be very careful in this matter. As the Istanbul bombings showed, close support for US strategy brings with it an increased risk of terrorist attack. Governments can legitimately ask their citizens to undergo this risk only if they themselves have genuine confidence in US strategy. At present, it is impossible to have such confidence.

2711. jexster - 1/4/2004 1:04:03 PM

It is not just in Iraq that US strategy is bankrupt. Despite tactical successes such as Sunday's battle in Samarra, the fighting there, and the number of US troops needed to contain it, have also in effect killed off the entire "Bush doctrine" of pre-emptive war. As US soldiers and officials acknowledge in private, the US simply does not have the troops or will for another war elsewhere. If Washington were crazy enough to launch another war without having itself been attacked, the result would be political revolt not just among US allies but also within the US itself.

This is therefore a good moment for European and other governments to insist that in return for help in Iraq and the Middle East, the US must develop a new overall strategy. ...

the conflict between Israel and the Palestinians, the issue that tends to unite the Muslim world in hostility to the US and its allies. This is the best moment for a long time to press for a genuine, two-state solution to this conflict. As prominent figures in both Israel and the US have begun to warn, it may also be the last possible moment.

If Israel continues on its present course, what will emerge will in effect be a single state between the Jordan and the Mediterranean in which a future Palestinian majority will be held down by apartheid methods. Those making such a warning have included four former heads of Israel's Shin Bet security service; one of their number, Ami Ayalon, has declared that Israeli policy is "taking sure, steady steps to a place where the state of Israel will no longer be a democracy and a home for the Jewish people". Meanwhile Ariel Sharon, the Israeli prime minister, is looking increasingly weak and isolated at home.


That explains the sudden rash of Likudite propaganda in the National Review, breaking like a bad case of genital herpes.

Gay rights gay schmights

2712. jexster - 1/4/2004 1:33:24 PM

The Democratic Revolutionary: Policy or Slogan, Real or Faith Based?

The advance e-mail notice to reporters from the White House said that President Bush's Nov. 6 speech proclaiming a "forward strategy of freedom in the Middle East" ....

Given that buildup, it's fair to ask: Has anything changed? Articulating a philosophy is one thing; making policy is another.

Yo succeed, Bush's vision must be backed by more than a near religious belief in the universality of democracy and in what he termed America's "calling" to bring it about. After all, it was just such faith that led the White House to minimize the obstacles to democracy in Iraq.

Having set our sights beyond Iraq's borders, the Bush administration must translate a philosophy into a long-term regional strategy suited to the complexities of Arab politics. He must find a way to promote democratic institutions there, not just assert his faith in them from here.


How can the administration help Arab reformers escape the trap of liberalized autocracy? ..Neoconservatives favor a policy of shaking up the region in the hope that a shock to the system will empower democratic forces. Neo-realists favor a decidedly less optimistic policy of incremental change, a strategy in keeping with years of American efforts to promote democracy in the Arab world.

Although Bush's heart is certainly with the first camp, a close reading of his Nov. 6 speech reveals that his head may be partly with the second.

Such caution is born of an ... anxiety about the growing influence of illiberal Islamists who are waiting to hijack liberal reforms.

The most telling aspect of Bush's speech, and of the policies being pursued by State's MEPI, is the absence of any discussion of fundamental constitutional reforms.

2713. jexster - 1/4/2004 2:35:07 PM

Democracy Snake Oil: Uncertain Antidote or Neocon Miracle Cure for the "Root Causes" of Terrorism?

From latest issue of Current History, CEIP Democracy & Rule of Law Project Director Thomas Carothers:

In the rush to embrace a new line, the US government and the broader US need to recognize the substantial
obstacles on the path to democratization.

One obstacle is the facile assumption that a straight line exists between progress on democratization and the elimination of the roots of Islamic terrorism. The sources of Islamic radicalism and the embrace of anti-American terrorism by some radicals are multifaceted and cannot be reduced to the simple proposition that the lack of democracy in the Arab world is the main cause.

Second, although many people in Washington may have decided that the Middle East’s democratic moment has arrived, a discernible democratic trend in the region itself is not evident.

Third, the United States faces a tremendous problem of credibility in asserting itself as a prodemocratic actor in the Middle East. Confronted with the notion that the Bush administration is now committed to democracy in the region, many Arabs react with incredulity, resentment, and outright
anger. They have a very hard time taking the idea seriously...

As the USAdvisory Group on Public Diplomacy in the Arab and Muslim World highlighted in its October 2003 report, “hostility toward America [in the Muslim world] has reached shocking levels.”





2714. Edmund Dantes - 1/4/2004 2:44:26 PM

Why I get all misty over your new found concern for gay rights.

Eh. I have concern for human rights, Jasper.

Why you really have got me by my identity politics short hairs now don't you!

Now, now, it's not all about you. Lots of bleeding-heart liberals are on the wrong side of history--and even their supposed beliefs.

2715. jexster - 1/4/2004 3:06:21 PM

In the two years since, the US policy establishment has come to believe that promoting democracy in the Middle East should be a component of the war on terrorism—part of a broader effort to go beyond the active pursuit of terrorist
groups to address the underlying roots of terrorism.


Don't you just hate phoney intellectuals Ed, pathetic hucksters for some worn out old ideology or other who forever root about like so many fat sows for root causes to feed The Cause?

2716. jexster - 1/4/2004 3:20:43 PM

Why damn Ed you sure had me fooled !

Here I thought you were just taking another poke at bleeding heart liberals and all the while there you were bleeding like a stuck compassinate conservative pig!



2717. concerned - 1/4/2004 5:03:31 PM

Palestinian refugees: championed by Arab world yet treated like outcasts

A clear-eyed look at the true sources of discrimination against the so-called 'Palestinian refugees', most of whom have never lived a day of their lives within the territory of Israel.

It's time to end the charade and for countries like Egypt, Syria and Jordan to naturalize their 'Palestinians'.

2718. jexster - 1/5/2004 10:53:06 AM

Its time to end the illegal occupation of stolen land and throw the Israelites into the sea.

2719. jexster - 1/5/2004 10:56:35 AM

WOW the Poodle speaks!

British Troops to Remain in Iraq for Several Years


What's wrong with His Master's Voice?

DemoCat got his tongue?

2720. Edmund Dantes - 1/5/2004 11:17:41 AM

IRAQIS BACKING STRONG HORSE

A dozen former leaders of Saddam Hussein's Baath Party have handed in weapons caches in northern Iraq to curry favor with the U.S. military and claim a role in a new Iraqi leadership, the commander of the Army's 101st Airborne Division said.

"They're coming to us, saying they want to be part of the new Iraq," Maj. Gen. David H. Petraeus said Thursday in an interview with The Associated Press. "It has slowly sunk in that Saddam isn't coming back."

2721. jexster - 1/5/2004 11:43:09 AM

Ahh the root cause is found where..the Horse's Ass....


TIGER BAIT



TIGER BAIT



Zombie = Dead Man Walkin

See Message # 2710

2722. jexster - 1/5/2004 11:55:16 AM

Lies have consequences and the truth will out..

target=new>State Department Official Says We Didn't Need To Invade Iraq


Lawrence Korb, Asst Secty of Defense to St. Ronald Raygun writes:

"Eight months after the Bush administration got us involved in a bloody war in Iraq, we are now told by one of Secretary of State Colin L. Powell's closest advisers that Iraq was a war of choice after all. According to Richard Haass, director of policy planning at the State Department until June 2003 and still the Bush administration's special envoy to Northern Ireland, the administration 'did not have to go to war against Iraq, certainly not when we did. There were other options."

Really? This is not what the administration told us before
the war and continues to tell us to this day."

2723. jexster - 1/5/2004 1:15:43 PM

Envoy predicts 'bigger bangs'


Britain's top envoy to Iraq last night admitted that the Iraqi resistance was getting "more sophisticated" in its attacks and predicted even "bigger" attacks in future against coalition forces.


Speaking in Basra before meeting Tony Blair, Sir Jeremy Greenstock said he believed fighters loyal to Saddam Hussein were responsible for up to 80% of recent attacks in Iraq, with foreign Islamist militants carrying out the rest.

"The opposition is getting more sophisticated, using bigger bombs and more sophisticated controls. We will go on seeing bigger bangs," Sir Jeremy said.

The unusually candid remarks appear to confirm that Iraq's resistance has not melted away following Saddam's capture last month. Eight people were killed and more than 30 injured in a car bomb suicide attack on a restaurant in central Baghdad on New Year's Eve.


I guess that just goes to show ya Ed...you can lead a horse's ass to water but you gotta give it an enema if you wanna make it drink.

2724. robertjayb - 1/5/2004 3:49:50 PM

Riverbend reviews 2003...

It's strange what you can get used to hearing or seeing. The first time is always the worst: the first time you experience cluster bombs, the first time you feel the earth shudder beneath you with the impact of an explosion, the first tanks firing at houses in your neighborhood, the first check-point... the first broken windows, crumbling walls, unhinged doors… the first embassy being bombed, the first restaurant… It's not that you no longer feel rage or sadness, it just becomes a part of life and you grow to expect it like you expect rain in March and sun in July.

May 2004 be better than 2003.

2725. jexster - 1/5/2004 4:15:26 PM

Sharon booed by party members after warning settlements will have to go

TEL AVIV (AFP) - Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon (news - web sites) was given a bruising ride by members of his own party when he reiterated his support for a Palestinian state, warning it would mean dismantling Jewish settlements in the occupied territories


Write YOUR member of the Knesset today...tell em boos ain't on the Bush roadmap

2726. jexster - 1/5/2004 4:16:38 PM

Get used to it riverbend..a new horse is in town

2727. jexster - 1/5/2004 7:48:58 PM

Millions Left Homeless in Iraq: Mud Housing Proposed
Kurds Begin Neighborhood Community Development Efforts - Confiscate Arab Homes


and back in the Mother Country Bush is slashing Section 8 grants to our homeless even as their numbers swell.


The Iraqis should count themselves luck to have mud, cause here, they wouldn't have squat.

2728. jexster - 1/5/2004 7:51:41 PM

The First Step to National Disintegration: IGC Set to Choose Federalism
Debray Scenario Advances Apace


2729. jexster - 1/5/2004 7:52:51 PM

The 3 time failed CEO can safely add failed nationbuilder to his resume

2730. jexster - 1/6/2004 6:48:50 AM

JERUSALEM - No action will be taken against Israeli soldiers who shot and wounded a Jewish-Israeli protester during a demonstration over a controversial West Bank barrier, the army said Tuesday.

Sauce for the matzos not sauce for the pita

2733. jayackroyd - 1/6/2004 11:57:05 AM

test

2734. jexster - 1/6/2004 12:34:56 PM

Uniter Not a Divider: Syria-Turkey Mark High Point" of Relations During Assad Visit to Ankara

ANKARA (AFP) - Turkey and Syria pledged to work together to bring peace to their long-troubled region at the start of a three-day landmark visit by Bashar al-Assad, the first Syrian president to visit Ankara. "My visit comes at a time when Turkish-Syrian relations are reaching towards a peak, but our region is going through a bad period," Assad told an official welcoming ceremony at the presidential palace.


"We have moved together from an atmosphere of distrust to one of trust. We now have to change the atmosphere of instability in the region to one of stability," Assad said before talks with his Turkish counterpart Ahmet Necdet Sezer.


Assad's visit follows a marked improvement in ties between the two neighbours which nearly went to war in 1998.


Sezer said talks would focus on improving bilateral cooperation, but also touch on regional issues, including the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, peace in the Middle East and the situation in Iraq (news - web sites), their common neighbour.

2735. jexster - 1/6/2004 1:43:03 PM

The Debray Disintegration Scenario:
Trouble looms after coalition tells Kurds self-rule can stay

2736. jexster - 1/7/2004 11:59:58 AM

Saddam captured by Kurds?
Case Closed.

One of the persistent rumors trailing Saddam's capture is that it was the Kurds and not U.S. forces who were responsible for tracking down Public Enemy Numero Uno. According to this Sunday Herald story, Kurds will be amply compensated for their services not just in terms of cold hard cash, but also U.S. support for their rights within a future Iraqi federation

2737. jexster - 1/7/2004 12:01:20 PM

Saddam’s capture: was a deal brokered behind the scenes?
When it emerged that the Kurds had captured the Iraqi dictator, the US celebrations evaporated. David Pratt asks whether a secret political trade-off has been engineered


Convenient headline!

2738. jexster - 1/7/2004 12:03:18 PM

Tales of derring do spun out of Centcom whole cloth.

2739. KuligintheHooligan - 1/7/2004 1:07:03 PM

Here's a very long, thorough article on Iraq and its weapons arsenal before Saddam was deposed. This article, at least for me, provides enough clarity on the intelligence question, what we knew and didn't know, and how thorny such intelligence can be. Again, we had every reason to believe that Saddam still had WMDs before March 2003.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1802&ncid=1802&e=1&u=/washpost/20040107/ts_washpost/a60340_2004jan6

2740. Edmund Dantes - 1/7/2004 1:17:56 PM

Very nice link, Kul.

Clickable and to WP original

2741. jexster - 1/7/2004 1:41:12 PM

Thanks Ed...But that was just more of my message flotsam.

The link is in AP...guess what?

Saddam told the truth and Bush lied.

Alice in wonderland eh?

2742. Magoseph - 1/7/2004 2:10:53 PM

Today's Washington Post

Iraq's Arsenal Was Only on Paper
Since Gulf War, Nonconventional Weapons Never Got Past the Planning Stage

2743. angel-five - 1/7/2004 2:25:49 PM

Earthquake reveals seismic shift in Iranian view of US

This is a pretty simple read and worth the time even if you don't agree with its statements.

2744. marjoribanks - 1/7/2004 2:55:07 PM

That's an interesting article.

I don't agree with the rosy scenario for future relations, not because there isn't great potential for it - and if Powell were let loose it would happen rapidly. But because the ideologues (starting with Cheney) who have largely held sway over the meat of US foreign plolicy are fixated on pressuring Iran with a hard stance on a number of issues.

If the administration changes, yes, you will rapidly see the US move to similar relations as that country maintains with most of Western Europe, to the mutual benefit of both countries.

2745. Wombat - 1/7/2004 3:17:19 PM

It's kind of ironic. Saddam lied and evaded and was caught out until no one believed him, even when he was--apparently--telling the truth about the status of Iraq's WMD.

It's something the Bush administration should also bear in mind, since it seems prone to the same pattern of denying, lying, and covering up.

2746. Wombat - 1/7/2004 3:19:26 PM

It's kind of ironic. Saddam lied and evaded and was caught out until no one believed him, even when he was--apparently--telling the truth about the status of Iraq's WMD.

It's something the Bush administration should also bear in mind, since it seems prone to the same pattern of denying, lying, and covering up.

2747. wonkers2 - 1/7/2004 3:55:29 PM

There's an interesting defense of neocon artistry op-ed in today's Wall Street Journal by none other than Richard Perle and David Frum.

2748. rdbrewer - 1/7/2004 4:29:05 PM

Thanks for the link, A-5. That is encouraging.

2749. angel-five - 1/7/2004 5:06:56 PM

Say you're an independent businessman with 10k of pocket money to invest, and your analyst, whom you trust, says, 'Give me the money, I know what needs to be done with it' so you do. And he dumps it into something tolerable and in one year you have made 1.2k on it. There is no denying that a 12% return in one year will beat a lot of investments. If you'd just stuck the money in the bank you might have made, what, 5%? So you might feel good about yourself.

And then you find out that your brother had 10k and your brother, being much better informed than you, knew that Raytheon was poised to blow straight through the roof, and put his money on Raytheon and watched it double and then double again in the same year. You might not be quite so happy about the twelve hundred bucks you made, you know?

That's how I think the average person should feel about the foreign policy of our current administration. Going into Iraq will eventually pay dividends, that is not the question. The question is whether or not it was a responsible thing to do in the name of protecting Americans. If we had taken the money we had to spend invading Iraq and placed it against homeland security and improving intelligence and improving predictive and computative power and working with our allies and establishing better controls on the international trade and development of WMD, how much safer (and less in debt) would we now be? How many fine young Americans bled to death in Iraq to earn us our 12% interest?

***************************************

2750. angel-five - 1/7/2004 5:07:35 PM

I, like most people, like to think of myself as being more fairminded than partisan, but unlike most politically minded fora participants I can acknowledge that good has come out of what some of my opponents have done. That is to say in this instance, although I am horribly opposed to Pax Americana as an unworkable plan which the American people aren't even willing to support themselves, has cost us too much, consumed too many of our resources, destroyed our international goodwill and reputation, weakened the UN and NATO, pinned us down, corrupted our administration and killed far too many people, it's obvious that there is a benefit to what we have done.

It's now on the table that we're to be taken a little bit more seriously or we might show up in force. And that clearly has value in international relations with formerly uncooperative states. The cat is now out of the bag, so the very least we can do while we're burning Wolfowitz in effigy is point out that his program had at least one good consequence.

Now what we have to do is ask if that was worth stripping our nation-building in Afghanistan, for starters. When was the last time any of you paid any attention to Afghanistan? You know Karzai is sinking in the quagmire right now, right? What could have been our very best example of what good can come of US intervention is now something that we don't want to talk about, at all.

2751. angel-five - 1/7/2004 5:10:46 PM

The sad thing is that what happened in Afghanistan is what is likely going to happen in Iraq. We can't rotate forces out of Iraq without a significant callup of the National Guard or stripping our troops from Europe or SE Asia. We surely do not want to keep paying hundreds of billions of dollars there. Those people who got on board the administration plan because of nation building -- the same people that conservative commentators have dogged about their Iraq criticism saying that 'I thought you were in favor of nation building and human rights' -- have been taken for a ride, and they should have known, much better, how this was going to turn out. Some of us were telling them all along.

2752. jexster - 1/7/2004 6:47:24 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - Anti-American insurgents fired mortar rounds at a U.S. military camp Wednesday night, wounding 35 U.S. soldiers, the U.S. command said.


Six mortar rounds exploded about 6:45 p.m. at Logistical Base Seitz west of Baghdad, a U.S. military spokesman said in a statement. The camp is located in the so-called Sunni Muslim triangle that is a stronghold of resistance to the U.S. occupation of Iraq (news - web sites).

investigators have found no support for the two main fears expressed in London and Washington before the war: that Iraq had a hidden arsenal of old weapons and built advanced programs for new ones. In public statements and unauthorized interviews, investigators said they have discovered no work on former germ-warfare agents such as anthrax bacteria, and no work on a new designer pathogen -- combining pox virus and snake venom -- that led U.S. scientists on a highly classified hunt for several months. The investigators assess that Iraq did not, as charged in London and Washington, resume production of its most lethal nerve agent, VX, or learn to make it last longer in storage. And they have found the former nuclear weapons program, described as a "grave and gathering danger" by President Bush and a "mortal threat" by Vice President Cheney, in much the same shattered state left by U.N. inspectors in the 1990s.



"The wounded soldiers were given first aid and have been evacuated from the site for further medical treatment," the statement said. The Pentagon (news - web sites) added that the soldiers were from the Army's 541st Maintenance Battalion, based in Fort Riley, Kan., and part of the 3rd Corps Support Command.


The mortars hit "a living area where they have their sleeping quarters," the spokesman said.


A Pentagon spokesman said that some of those wounded returned to duty shortly after the attack, while others were hospitalized.

2753. jexster - 1/7/2004 6:49:48 PM

Tar pit - elephant
Flypaper - fly
crawfish - bush

we're fucked

That place is going to fall apart like a Bush oil venture

2754. jexster - 1/7/2004 10:18:50 PM

Aktola OK Not Staying the Course - AP

along the road leading north from Baghdad and into the "Sunni Triangle," the heartland of Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s support and the center of anti-American resistance, a sergeant from the 1st Armored Division said he's not interested in the money because he has been shot at a "few times" and "I don't want to die here."


According to the Defense Department, 332 soldiers have been killed by hostile fire since the Iraq war began March 20.


"Every car, every person are potential weapons. We can't trust anything," said the sergeant, who has been in Iraq since May and is due to leave in two or three months. He spoke on the condition of anonymity.


The increased bonus program is part of an effort to avoid a manpower crunch. It's aimed at soldiers like Spc. Justin Brown of the 4th Infantry Division. "I don't want to be in the Army forever and just keep fighting wars," said the 22-year-old from Atoka, Okla.


Back-to-back wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have stretched the Army thin. Nearly two-thirds of its active duty brigade-sized units are deployed in Iraq and Afghanistan.
T
At the checkpoint outside Baqouba, the 23-year-old specialist, who refused to give his name saying he feared retribution from military higher-ups, stubbed out a cigarette on the side of a Humvee. As he began to speak, he was interrupted by the blast of a Kalashnikov rifle a few yards up the road. An Iraqi policeman fired the rounds in a mound of dirt for no apparent reason.

"You see what I have to put up with?" asked the soldier. With two months left in a 12-month tour, "there's not enough money in the world to make me stay a month longer."

2755. wonkers2 - 1/8/2004 8:31:07 AM

U.S. Withdraws Team of Weapons Hunters from Iraq. The task force has been used to collect suspicious material "although none has proved to be part of any illicit weapons program."

2756. wonkers2 - 1/8/2004 8:38:52 AM

A report published Wed. in the WP cited a previously undisclosed document that suggested that Iraq might have destroyed its biological weapons as early as 1991. The report said investigators had otherwise found no evidence to support American beliefs that Iraq had maintained illicit weapons dating from the Persian Gulf war of 1991 or that it had advanced programs to build new ones.

The report also documented a pattern of deceit that was found in every field of special weaponry. It said that according to Iraqi designers and foreign investigators, program managers exaggerated the results they could achieve, or even promised results they knew they could not accomplish--all in an effort to appease Saddam Hussein. In some cases, though, they simply did it to advance their careers, the report said, or preserve jobs or even conduct intritues against their rivals.

Senior intelligence officials acknowledged in recent deays that the weapons hunters still had not found weapons or active programs, but in interviews, they said the search must continue to ensure that no hidden Iraqi weapons surfaced in a future attack. (What future attack?)

(From NYT article linked above.)

2757. jexster - 1/8/2004 9:57:12 AM

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AFP) - All nine people on board died when a US military UH-60 Blackhawk helicopter was forced to make an emergency landing near the restive Iraqi town of Fallujah, US Brigadier General Mark Kimmit said.



"There were no survivors," Kimmit, the coalition's deputy director of operations, told reporters.

2758. JRoth - 1/8/2004 11:54:17 AM

I had several interesting conversations with active duty personnel over the Holidays. One I can share was with an engineering officer who told me that the bases his battalion are constructing are being spec'ed for 10-15 year occupancy. Guess we're going to stay awhile. Corroborating discussion with a planning type at the Pentagon; 30-50K troops long term. One idea being floated is to have a brigade each from several divisions in theater at a time. Rotation would be staggered so that all the brigades would not be 'fresh' at the same time. Also mentioned were concerns about the big troop rotation; the units being rotated out are top tier outfits; the succesor formations may have morale issues coming in.

Other news: The first classes of newly trained Arabic speakers are coming out of the military and intelligence schools. Due to time constraints training emphasized aural and written skills at expense of conversation skills. Another issue is concentration skills; seems our post-literate generation has difficulty with lengthy written documents.

2759. vonKreedon - 1/8/2004 12:05:57 PM

JR - Interesting stuff. Are you familian with Lt. Van Steenwyk's blog from Al Ramadi? Very interesting impressions from a junior infantry officer on the ground in Iraq.

2760. JRoth - 1/8/2004 12:24:37 PM

VK,

Interesting link. Has the ring of authenticity. One point was very relevant: He said the troops are finally getting acculturated and are making fewer mistakes in dealing with the locals. They are also getting more battle savvy. All that is to be expected, but it looks like we are going to do the same thing as in Vietnam; rotate the troops out just as they get efficient.

2761. concerned - 1/8/2004 1:32:23 PM

re. 2743 -

Incidentally, I'm reading 'Whirlwind' by James Clavell right now - a semi - fictional novel set in Iran at about the time Jimmuh Cahtuh godfathered Islamic Fundamentalism there. It's bemusing to read about the Marxist and Islamic elements murdering hundreds of thousands while essentially destroying centuries of Iranian societal progress in mere months.

2762. wonkers2 - 1/8/2004 2:53:20 PM

Carnegie Foundation Report on Iraq WMD released this morning:

1. WMD--no immediate threat

2. Inspections were working

3. Intelligence failed

4. War was not the best or only option

2763. vonKreedon - 1/8/2004 3:13:44 PM

Wonk - [Irony mode]The report is obviously slanted, I mean look at the subjects they covered. This report by an egregiously liberal organization (it is after all the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, simply attempts to reinforce a tautology and should be ignored by all right thinking people.[/Irony mode]

2764. JRoth - 1/8/2004 4:42:45 PM

Anybody else notice the fortuitous timing of the several news reports on the lack of WMD progress?

2765. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:32:07 PM



And its one two three what are we fightin for...

WMD Search Teams Pull Out

2766. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:33:20 PM

Egregiously liberal organization?
Or egregiously ignorant post?

2767. concerned - 1/8/2004 7:34:18 PM

For me, having removed Saddam's boot from the Iraqis' necks will always be more than enough justification.

Aren't you glad to know that, jexster?

2768. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:37:03 PM

Time's up

Tendentious horseshit vK.

Robert Kagan specializes in U.S. leadership and foreign policy. Currently based in Brussels, he writes extensively on U.S. strategy and diplomacy in the post–Cold War era, U.S. domestic politics and foreign policy, U.S. relations with Europe, U.S. policy toward China, and military strategy and the defense budget. He also writes on U.S. diplomatic history and the historical traditions that shape U.S. foreign policy today. He is cofounder, with William Kristol, of the Project for a New American Century. Kagan is also a contributing editor to the Weekly Standard and the New Republic and a monthly columnist for the Washington Post.
Prior to joining the Carnegie Endowment, he worked in the Department of State as a deputy for policy in the Bureau of Inter-American Affairs and was a member of the policy planning staff as principal speechwriter to the secretary of state.

Education: B.A., Yale University; M.P.P., John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University

Selected Publications: Present Dangers: Crisis and Opportunity in American Foreign and Defense Policy, edited with William Kristol (Encounter Books, 2000); A Twilight Struggle: American Power and Nicaragua, 1977–1990 (Free Press, 1996)

2769. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:40:07 PM

vK missed ya lately..

Tell me has your brain been marinating in some primordial goo or have you been eating Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathic sweetmeats during your absence?

2770. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:43:48 PM

TD
Now you tell us.

How convenient!

I can't wait for tommorow's load of crap.

Why you give me a reason to get up every morning.

2771. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:45:55 PM


Robert Kagan
Senior Associate

2772. jexster - 1/8/2004 7:47:21 PM

OOOPss

Sorry vk...

Its that macular degeneration actin up.

2773. jexster - 1/8/2004 8:02:15 PM

CNN Quick Vote Final Results


Do you believe the Bush administration misrepresented the threat from Iraq to justify a war?

Yes 89%

No 11%

2774. jexster - 1/8/2004 8:02:45 PM

Fox

Yes 13
No 87

2775. wonkers2 - 1/8/2004 9:19:00 PM

All that proves is that morons watch Fox and intelligent Americans watch CNN.

2776. jexster - 1/8/2004 9:19:16 PM

Iraqis Are Bitter Over U.S.-Held Prisoners

Has a familiar ring....

ABU GHRAIB, Iraq (news - web sites) — Visitors hold scraps of paper bearing identification numbers as they pass coils of razor wire and walk across a muddy field toward the prison, where sons, husbands, cousins and other suspected insurgents have been held for months by U.S. forces.





Fathers fidget with prayer beads and curse the soldiers who snatched their boys. Mothers pull their abayas tight against the wind, checking lists of names posted on plywood. Imams come with Korans. Those who can afford to, bring lawyers. Brothers carry food and plastic bags of clothing and wait amid the roar of Humvees.


Iraqis resent many things about the U.S. occupation, but the detention of roughly 13,000 prisoners — most of whom have not been formally charged — has triggered intense disgust. The U.S. contends that the detainees have links to the Saddam Hussein (news - web sites) loyalists and insurgents attacking coalition forces. Families say many prisoners are innocent and were unjustly handcuffed, blindfolded and led from their villages in humiliation.

2777. jexster - 1/8/2004 9:19:45 PM

one jackboot looks the same as the next when you're lookin up

2778. wonkers2 - 1/8/2004 9:21:19 PM

VK, of course any organization that endorses international peace is suspect.

2779. jexster - 1/8/2004 9:52:22 PM

Eddie says they're irrelevant...

I say Eddie is irrelevant

Lies Have Consequences
WMD IN IRAQ
Evidence and Implications


Summary of New Carnegie Report


WMD in IRAQ: Evidence and Implications, a new study from the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, details what the U.S. and international intelligence communities understood about Iraq's weapons programs before the war and outlines policy reforms to improve threat assessments, deter transfer of WMD to terrorists, strengthen the UN weapons inspection process, and avoid politicization of the intelligence process.

The report distills a massive amount of data into side-by-side comparisons of pre-war intelligence, the official presentation of that intelligence, and what is now known about Iraq's programs.

The authors of the report are: Jessica T. Mathews, president; George Perkovich, vice president for studies, and Joseph Cirincione, senior associate and non-proliferation project director of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS
1. Changes to U.S. Policy
· Revise the National Security Strategy to eliminate a U.S. policy of unilateral preventive war, i.e., preemptive war in absence of imminent threat....


Full Report

2780. rdbrewer - 1/8/2004 9:59:45 PM

Your favorite conservative is gone, Jex. ED hit the road today.

2781. jexster - 1/8/2004 10:01:41 PM

Eddie your case is closed.


SUMMARY OF KEY FINDINGS

2782. jexster - 1/8/2004 10:02:23 PM

Well I guess his case got closed.

RIP

2783. rdbrewer - 1/8/2004 10:04:41 PM

He hit the road, not the grave.

2784. jexster - 1/8/2004 10:06:21 PM

I think at a time like this, a little scripture is in order.

The Holy Gospel According to John

31To the Jews who had believed him, Jesus said, "If you hold to my teaching, you are really my disciples. 32Then you will know the truth, and the truth will set you free."

2785. jexster - 1/8/2004 10:08:17 PM

Not to worry RD..he'll be back...
This has been going on since about 1998 or so
He can't resist me.

2786. rdbrewer - 1/8/2004 10:09:40 PM

Good. I look forward to future cameo appearances.

2787. jexster - 1/8/2004 10:19:39 PM

JR...

I think the timing was inevitable or made so by Kay's decision that he wasn't going to serve as a prop for Bush any longer.

Remember that Bush rejected calls to include UNMOVIC staff on Kay's team. He always intended to use Kay for his propaganda value as much as anything. As long as kay played along, Bush could claim as he and others did throughout, that the crafty Saddam had buried his goodies in a crawfish hole.

2788. jexster - 1/8/2004 11:01:35 PM

WARNING

The Carnegie Indictment is 111 pages long...

2789. rdbrewer - 1/9/2004 10:38:48 AM

Clinton believes Iraq had weapons of mass destruction: Portugal PM

Former US president Bill Clinton said in October during a visit to Portugal that he was convinced Iraq had weapons of mass destruction up until the fall of Saddam Hussein, Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Manuel Durao Barroso said.

"When Clinton was here recently he told me he was absolutely convinced, given his years in the White House and the access to privileged information which he had, that Iraq possessed weapons of mass destruction until the end of the Saddam regime," he said in an interview with Portuguese cable news channel SIC Noticias.


I guess Clinton would have scored "very misinformed" on the PIPA study recently clobbered in American Politics.

2790. vonKreedon - 1/9/2004 10:58:09 AM

Rd - No, because the PIPA study asks about the perception after the fall of the Saddam regime. The PIPA study is very limited in what it covers.

The PIPA study does NOT show the following:



The only thing that the study shows is that depending on where one consumes ones news has an impact on how correctly one is informed regarding three facts about Saddam. Now one can extrapolate from this base, but I do not believe that is what the study is doing.

2791. rdbrewer - 1/9/2004 11:03:30 AM

No, because the PIPA study asks about the perception after the fall of the Saddam regime. The PIPA study is very limited in what it covers.

And that, vk, is how they managed to target a specific result.

2792. vonKreedon - 1/9/2004 11:24:56 AM

Rd - So a broader, less rigorous and specifically defined study would have been better? The title of the study is Misperceptions, the Media and the Iraq War, and so that is what is covered.

2793. rdbrewer - 1/9/2004 12:06:04 PM

You're contorting what I said, vk.

We know an Iraqi officer met with an Al-Queda representative in Prague, for example. This would be regarded by many as a clear link. The survey, however, is restricted to a value judgment about the quality of the link, not whether there was a link. How clear was this clear link? We might answer the question differently. The survey authors regard this as an "unclear" link. The fact that Bush haters will appear answer to answer "correctly" that the link was unclear, in the case of many of them, has nothing to do with their level of knowlege about the facts of the war. So, restricting the question in such a fashion picks up the "errors" of Bush supporters more often and, thereby, renders the survey unreliable. It also reveals how the potential biases of the survey writers can meld into the results of the poll.

Another example: We know Iraq had WMD. We saw the UNSCOM video of vials of anthrax, for example. A straight forward question would have inquired whether Iraq had WMDs. But the question on the suvery concerns additional WMDs. Bush supporters are naturally going to miss this question at a higher rate than Bush haters in part because Bush haters who don't know the answer will naturally be inclined to answer that there were no WMD's, while Bush supporters who don't know the answer will guess that there were.

2794. rdbrewer - 1/9/2004 12:06:17 PM

(cont.)

Another example of how restricting the survey questions leads to particular result: Instead of asking whether the majority of Iraqis support the efforts of the U.S. and allies, it asks whether world opinion supports the effort. First, there hasn't been a world-wide poll published on the nightly news. More importantly, obviously war haters are going to appear to get this "right" regardless of whether they are aware of such polling data. Their guesses are going to be in one direction only. War supporters who don't know the answer are going to guess the other way, the "wrong" way. If the survery had asked about Iraqi support for the war, an opposite result would have been achieved. It would have appeared that PBS watching correlates with being "misinformed" about war facts.

2795. vonKreedon - 1/9/2004 12:31:39 PM

Rd - The study controls for partisanship by, for example, breaking out Repub consumers of Fox and Repub consumers of PBS.

Overall consumers of Fox were misinformed 80% of the time; consumers of PBS were misinformed 23% of the time. Among Repubs, those who consumed Fox 54% were misinformed and those who consumed PBS 32% were misinformed. This indicates that the news source was a significant factor in forming misperceptions about the three facts in question.

Now let me give you your quals:

The first of the three questions (has the US found clear evidence of strong links...) is not as solid as the second and third, requiring a judgement on the clarity of evidence and strength of links. You are also correct that the study would have been better if they had also asked a question about a pre-war justification that has since been found to be true, but I can't think of one as unassailably true as two of the three they used.

2796. rdbrewer - 1/9/2004 1:03:57 PM

The study controls for partisanship by, for example, breaking out Repub consumers of Fox and Repub consumers of PBS.

I think this is where Dantes criticism kicks in, vk, that these groups are self selecting:

Suppose most people watch whichever news show comes on after or before their favorite TV show. Suppose network A shows "Al Bundy's Favorite Fart Jokes--Enacted" and network B shows "History for Lovers of the Obscure and Arcane."

Regardless of how relatively accurate network A's news show versus network B's news show, it's a good bet that viewers of network A are going to be a different demographic than the demographic for network B.


The better route would have been to force 500 to watch PBS and 500 to watch Fox, as ED suggested, and them quiz them about their knowlege of war facts.

2797. rdbrewer - 1/9/2004 1:04:39 PM

"Then," as it were.

2798. vonKreedon - 1/9/2004 1:17:30 PM

Rd - I don't understand this line of argument. Yes the groups are self-selecting, both where one chooses to consume news and ones political affiliation are choices. What I don't understand is how this invalidates the study, particularly given that the study cross-references political affiliation with news source. If the results were simply the result of self-selection then one would expect that the Repubs would score in similar areas regardless of news source, and the same for Dems, but this is not what the study shows:

The Effect of Demographic Variations in Audience

Variations in misperceptions according to news source cannot simply be explained as a result of differences in the characteristics of each audience. ... controlling for these demographic differences by examining the variations in misperception within demographic groups reveals persisting variations in the level of misperceptions according to news source, consisten with the analysis above.

Looking just at Republicans, the average rate for the three key misperceptions was 43%. For Republican Fox viewers, however, the average rate was 54% while for Republicans who get their news from PBS-NPR the averae rate is 32%. This same pattern obtains with Democrats and independents.

2799. angel-five - 1/9/2004 1:32:58 PM

It's just that they don't understand what self selecting means.

By the criterion being used -- they checked a box on an answer sheet to indicate their primary source of news -- they are shouting 'Self selection!' because once they heard that was bad for accurate data.

Self selection is when all your sample are volunteers, like when you mail out a survey sheet with a SASE. What you get back is self-selected, they're choosing to get into it with you. Traditionally these aren't representative people, they're more activist, and you can't poll them and then say they're representative of America.

However what we're talking about when someone checks a preference box isn't self selection. It's answering a question. By what they're going on about, every answer in every poll is self-selection at work. 'Sorry, we can't say that this 70% of Americans like tacos is accurate.' 'Why?' 'Because it was self selective.' 'What?' 'Yes.' 'How?' 'Well, we asked them and they answered that they like tacos, it's self selection, they're selecting themselves as taco lovers, self selection is bad.' 'What?'

That's precisely what it's like, and I'm best pleased to have another example at hand to demonstrate that neither of these guys knows much about polling.

2800. vonKreedon - 1/9/2004 1:40:09 PM

A5 - I think that the argument is that those who support the war, and so would be expected to believe that the justifications have been proved, self-select Fox as their news source, while those who oppose the war, and so would be expected to believe that the justifications have not been proved, self-select PBS/NPR. Rd and Ed then use this claim to attempt to invalidate the study. But the study controls for this by cross-referencing political affiliation with news source.

2801. angel-five - 1/9/2004 1:44:59 PM

A5 - I think that the argument is that those who support the war, and so would be expected to believe that the justifications have been proved, self-select Fox as their news source, while those who oppose the war, and so would be expected to believe that the justifications have not been proved, self-select PBS/NPR. Rd and Ed then use this claim to attempt to invalidate the study.

If so, that's not just a misunderstanding of what self selection means, it's completely wrong and worthy of mockery. Self selection doesn't mean 'making one's own choices' either. That's called free will.

2802. angel-five - 1/9/2004 1:51:17 PM

"My god, man, can't you see it? They went to the store on their own and bought the tacos. How can you compare them to people who do not buy tacos? It's self selection!"

Once again, self selection means that the respondent went out of their way to answer the polling questions.

Web polls are self selecting -- if someone is browsing www.tacosaregood.com and there's a poll 'Do you like tacos?' then you have self selection, twice over. First off your entire pool of possible subjects consists of all those who would go to tacosaregood.com in the first place, which would be a group already interested in tacos and prone to like them, in the aggregate. Then you have the survey and the people responding to it are all volunteers. They tend to have stronger opinions than average. This is why most web poll data you see is labeled 'unscientific' etc.

The Nielsen people don't call you in the middle of Law & Order to find out what you're watching because they like bothering strangers. They cold call people because that's the method which gives them the most representative base for their polling.

2803. robertjayb - 1/9/2004 1:57:09 PM

....a handoff from Daily Kos:

Fri Jan 9th, 2004 at 17:00:06 GMT

NOW

"I have not seen smoking-gun, concrete evidence about the connection" between Iraq and al Qaida.

- Secretary of State Colin Powell, 1/9/04

THEN

"I want to bring to your attention today [to] the potentially much more sinister nexus between Iraq and the al-Qaida terrorist network...al-Qaida affiliates based in Baghdad now coordinate the movement of people, money and supplies into and throughout Iraq for Saddam's network, and they have now been operating freely in [Baghdad]."

- Secretary of State Colin Powell, 2/5/03

(Courtest of the Center for American Progress.)

2804. robertjayb - 1/9/2004 2:27:56 PM

US gives Saddam enemy POW status...

BBC---The United States has formally declared the ousted Iraqi leader, Saddam Hussein, an "enemy prisoner of war".
A Pentagon spokesman said Saddam was given the status as he was the leader of the "old regime's military forces".

The spokesman, Major Michael Shavers, said Saddam, captured by US troops in December, was entitled to all the rights under the Geneva Convention.

But it did not change the conditions under which he was being held, the spokesman added.


2805. robertjayb - 1/9/2004 3:01:31 PM

Riverbend says Iraqi federalism a bad idea...

2806. concerned - 1/9/2004 3:03:14 PM

Re. 2803 -

'Curious' Robert discovers nuance.

2807. robertjayb - 1/9/2004 6:31:20 PM

Nuance, eh?

And here I was thinking contemptible flimflammery and possibly-treasonous misfeasance.

In any case. for me it is sad to see the understandably-overrated career of General Powell winding down in such pathetic fashion. But he must dance with who brung him.

2808. wonkers2 - 1/9/2004 9:43:35 PM

Powell is a weasel, to put it politely.

2809. wonkers2 - 1/9/2004 9:44:06 PM

A bird who very skillfully feathers his nest.

2810. arkymalarky - 1/9/2004 9:47:59 PM

I decided that when I was told it's his son who's head of the FCC. I didn't know that.

2811. angel-five - 1/9/2004 11:54:59 PM

I don't think Powell is a weasel.

He's caught in a conflict between his own experience (this is the guy who came up with the Powell Doctrine and understands the need for coalition building) and the fact that the man who gives him orders is Dubya Bush. It's the job of the Secretary of State to work for the President, it's the job of Colin Powell the man to stand up for what he believes is right. I don't think you can really call him a weasel for what he's done, although it's certainly worthy of criticism.

2812. jexster - 1/10/2004 10:21:30 AM

He's a Buffalo Soldier.

2813. jexster - 1/10/2004 10:23:00 AM

Debray Decompostion - Iraq Attacks May Signal Religious Strife

2814. jexster - 1/10/2004 10:23:57 AM

Stolen from Africa
Brought to America
Fightin on arrival
Fightin for survival

2815. jexster - 1/10/2004 10:44:08 AM

RD...

Actually running a panel experiment is not a very good idea. The results would be very unreliable. Yhe test itself virtually impossible to design, implement, and finance.

You'd get "test effect" in spades. The respondents knowing that they were being tested on content recall would pay special, non-normal attention.

The PIPRA research was quite good for reasons I will leave to the Slow Thread.

2816. wonkers2 - 1/10/2004 11:42:30 AM

Powell is known for being very skillful at playing the bureaucracy in Washington, not for standing on principle. Now he's trying to weasel out of the lies in his speech to the UN on Iraq. He's been a supporter of affirmative action in the military but opposed to gay rights in the armed forces. A very smooth talker. I'm not saying he's always been wrong.

2817. justears - 1/10/2004 1:49:32 PM

Harry Belafonte got in a lot of trouble for calling him a "house negro".

2818. jexster - 1/10/2004 2:11:58 PM

A-5 ...self referencing or self selection is used in every public opinion survey questio and quite often experimental designs...
Eddie just learned a new term and was throwing it about without more...


Examples..

1 What is your age? (even women!)
2. What is your income
3. DO you think GWB is a Moron?
4. How many football games did you watch on New Year's eve. start to finish?
5. The French are foul aren't they?
6 Because God annointed Bush to lead this nation all Bush bashing is really God-hatred?
7. Eddie Dantes is - grossly obese; moderately chubby; a rail; a fuckin hunk of junk
8. RD has not read the PIPA study yet {y/N)

2819. jexster - 1/10/2004 2:21:41 PM

The study controls for partisanship by, for example, breaking out Repub consumers of Fox and Repub consumers of PBS.

Not even close.

They first count misperceptions. They run separate and composite cross-tabs to control for party registration; plan to vote for Bush or democrat; support for the war and 7 different media sources.

The results all move in same direction....

2820. jexster - 1/10/2004 2:27:58 PM

I think Eddie is confused...he means self referencing..

How do you really know that the respondent watches all seven hours of NewsHour or is he just tryin to make an impression?

Does R really only watch 20 minutes of FoxNews a month or is he avoid a making an impression (20 min/hr).

2821. jexster - 1/10/2004 2:37:16 PM

or is he avoiding an impression (20 min/hr).

2822. jexster - 1/10/2004 2:43:52 PM

What impresses me most about the debate is that there is a debate at all!

I thought it was a pretty sound study....could have used more questions techniques..Rockefeller Grant Money...and I told a number of friends....when I summarized the Fox finding...the reaction was identical

"So they wasted money to tell us that!"

Fox is the closest thing to Tass we've seen ....thus far

2823. jexster - 1/10/2004 2:52:47 PM

Yes house negro and porch monkey but Buffalo soldier better captures the sudden spinal failures.

Powell fights policies he loathes until told to be a good soldier...fightin for survival...

He is far closer in outlook to Albright, Kissinger, Shultz. Baker, Lugar, Nunn, Dean, Clark, Scowcroft, Poppy, Hagel, Clintons than to Bush's neocon crowd. Defense has usurped his department's lead on all major issues and for all this, he soldiers on...

Rummy/Cheney have emasculated the guy. But he

Said he was a Buffalo Soldier
Win the war for America
Buffalo Soldier, Dreadlock Rasta
Fighting on arrival, fighting for survival
Driven from the mainland
To the heart of the caribbean


2824. jexster - 1/10/2004 4:20:22 PM

Who knows what Eddie was talking about. I hate to speak ill of the dead but Ed left a conceptual train wreck, practically indecipherable.

rd: In polling you don't want your respondents to self-select because it skews the results. For example, if you ask questions about sex and mail out the survey to everyone in the phone book: 1) you'll get information only about people who have listed phone numbers; 2) since returning the survey is voluntary, you'll receive info only from those willing to talk about their sex lives. This crowd may not be representative of the entire population.

Above I'm not using the term precisely in this manner but rather saying that those who watch Fox have pre-selected themselves for the network and thus won't produce an accurate result of what effect watching Fox has. In a rigorous study that wanted to measure the effect of Fox News on an audience, they'd choose say, 1,000 people at random and make 500 of them watch Fox and 500 of them watch ABC.

2825. jexster - 1/10/2004 4:33:07 PM



Then they'd quiz the two groups on the week's past events to see who'd learned more.



These are sample design problems in a non-random sample, a voluntary sample - A-=5's Web poll. This crowd is represenetative of this crowd, those who actually responded. The Census uses this method which is why prohablity sampling would produce a more accurate count.

The PIPA poll was a probability sample, about 700 respondents. I am not sure whether they substitute or not but for all intents and purposes you can be 95% confident that the results are within 3.7% of the true population proportion. The non-response problem is generally insignificant and/or is handled by replenishing the sample. In this case, because Knowledge Networks uses an interview panel that they use several times a year, the results are even more reliable than the usual telephone opinion poll.

As for "self-referencing" that is exactly what you want! You certainly do not want to measure the impact of CBS exposure on a Tom Brokaw audience that never watches Rather.
How absurd should I go to make the obvious point more so? Republicans/Hillary, Bill? Democrats whether Bush is a menace? The study examined the impact of media (7 of em) on perceptions about key issues in the Iraq war Not French media's impact on US perceptions, not whether Bush supporters are more or less intelligent than other folks.

Eddie missed the point of the study entirely.

Eddie was lost. Now he is gone.

As I tried to explain in Slow, Eddie's experimental design is unworkable. The simple cross tabs that PiPA used is far more likely to yield generalizable results.

2826. rdbrewer - 1/10/2004 5:48:30 PM

Danish troops have found dozens of mortar shells in southern Iraq which could contain chemical weapons according to initial tests.

2827. jexster - 1/10/2004 6:05:08 PM

Well well, he wast right all along!

And you probably bought one of his oil wells.

Let's see hwat the Danes found...

'Chemical weapons' found in Iraq


Factfile: Blister agents
Danish troops have found dozens of mortar shells in southern Iraq which could contain chemical weapons according to initial tests.
The 36 120mm mortar rounds appeared to have been buried for at least 10 years, the army said.

All showed traces of blister gases, the army said, a group of chemical compounds which include mustard gas.

US officials confirmed the apparent find and said the weapons were probably left over from the 1980-88 war on Iran.


2828. jexster - 1/10/2004 6:06:58 PM

That would be the Saddam-Reagan Joint venture...traces in 3 doxen mnrtar rounds...

Next thing you know mushrooms clouds of em

I must admit even an old truth is better than a new lie.

2829. robertjayb - 1/10/2004 6:16:22 PM

Don't wet yourself, rdbrewer. Icelandic and Danish troops have indeed found dozens (three) of leaking 15-year-old mortar rounds once loaded with blister agent. And sure enough, those are chemical weapons.

Thirty-six decaying mustard gas shells.

Well, no wonder the bushies took the nation to war.


I do like the idea of Danes and Icelanders scouring the desert.

2830. rdbrewer - 1/10/2004 6:39:54 PM

Oh, I see. It's no longer that there aren't any WMDs in Iraq. Now there are not enough.

2831. wonkers2 - 1/10/2004 7:07:31 PM

Yeah, it sounds like Bush and Powell underestimated the threat!

2832. concerned - 1/10/2004 8:31:32 PM

rjb -

The point is that never again can a Lefty honestly say and believe that there Saddam had no WMD before he was deposed. And most will not be so stupid as to claim that what has been located was all he had at the time, either.

2833. rdbrewer - 1/10/2004 8:40:08 PM

And most will not be so stupid as to claim that what has been located was all he had at the time, either.

Don't count on it, Con'd.

2834. rdbrewer - 1/10/2004 8:51:47 PM

Wait a minute. Wait just a gosh darned minute.

Wasn't it RJB ... no it was Jay who vehemenently denied the existence of WMDs, any WMDs. It was Jay who was so very in-your-face cocksure. It might be worth looking back in the thread for the juiciest quotes.

Jay, this story looks like it's going to pan out. How do you like your crow? Baked, broiled, or fried?

2835. wonkers2 - 1/10/2004 11:26:48 PM

A few left-over mustard gas shells obviously don't come close to constituting the iminent threat to the U.S. required by Bush's own ill-conceived preemptive strike policy. It's not an either-or matter. It's a matter of what weapons did Iraq have and whether or not they constituted an iminent threat to the United States.

2836. rdbrewer - 1/10/2004 11:53:28 PM

It only takes one drop to refute the claims you guys were making.

2837. robertjayb - 1/11/2004 12:43:36 AM

Good grief! Mustard gas shells are not weapons of mass destruction. Mustard gas is a blister agent used to incapacitate ground troops. Really unpleasant and very useful in trench warfare.

2838. concerned - 1/11/2004 2:43:19 AM

Re. 2837 -

rjb -

Mustard Gas is a Chemical Weapon banned since 1925 by the Geneva Convention.

2839. concerned - 1/11/2004 2:44:39 AM

Mustard Gas is generally regarded as a WMD.

2840. jayackroyd - 1/11/2004 3:13:46 AM

RDB 2834

Pull the quotes. What I consistently said was "Time will tell" wrt to nonnuke wmd.

I did say that the claims for nukes, the claims for al qaeda links and the claims for threats to the US were transparently false. I said that in February, and stand by those claims. The Secretary of State and the President have agreed with me on the second. The UN agreed with me, prewar on the first. And the third, at this point, pretty clearly reflects facts on the ground.

On the latest claims on non-nuke wmd issues, time will tell.

2841. concerned - 1/11/2004 4:13:12 AM

Just to reiterate, and so that there can be no misunderstanding by anybody with at least a 2 digit IQ, the Bush administration never made claims that Saddam had nukes.

To tell the truth, I'm not quite sure who Jay is referring to, in this instance. He seems to have some intention of appearing to blame the Bush Administration for this without actually coming out with the lie.

Contrary to Jay's assertion, it has been shown beyond any reasonable doubt that Saddam's government did indeed have links to Al Qaeda.

2842. concerned - 1/11/2004 4:14:34 AM

Plus, I am not sure on what authority, other than wishful thinking, Jay believes that any given WMD imported from Iraq would have been less deadly than from elsewhere.

2843. concerned - 1/11/2004 4:31:35 AM

One reasonable definition, offered by the University of Arizona, is that a WMD is one that will not discriminate between combatants and noncombatants.

This definition is arrived at, presumably because the area over which a WMD exerts its effects tends to be larger and less predictable and is not as exactly, if at all, controllable in its results as compared to a bomb or a bullet.

2844. concerned - 1/11/2004 4:36:39 AM

the U of A reference gives the following characterization of Chemical WMD's:

Chemical Weapons

Definition:

"Extremely lethal man-made poisons that can be disseminated as gasses, liquids, or aerosols"

How they kill - 4 types

o Choking - damage lung tissue: chlorine gas
o Blood Agents - cut off flow of oxygen: hydrogen cyanide
o Vesicants - burn and blister soft tissue: mustard gas
o Nerve Agents - disable nervous system: sarin, VX

2 broad categories:

o Persistent - doesn't break down easily in the environment, can last for years
o Non-Persistent - break down quickly into non-lethal components

2845. concerned - 1/11/2004 5:12:50 AM

Wrt O'Neill's little tantrum about Bush's 'war plans for Iraq', probably somebody should have explained the meaning of the word 'contingency' to him and let this former Treasury Secretary know that the US has and has had such war plans for a number of countries since at least WWII, including the Soviet Union, China and North Korea, since O'Neill apparently believes the existence of such a plan is necessarily tantamount to an intention of executing it.

2846. concerned - 1/11/2004 5:17:07 AM

O'Neill contradicts himself when he calls GWB 'disengaged', then claims he hit the ground running on Iraq and Afghanistan upon assuming office .

2847. jexster - 1/11/2004 8:50:12 AM

If afte reading the book, that is all come up with, I'd pick up a copy myself.

As I read the teaser quote, disengaged does not refer to the Regime but to its leader. That vacamt stare, the empty ape like eyes, and beyond, the Void of a brain that died.

That's disengaged.

O'Neill's point is precisely what I have long maintained. The Moron couldn't find his way to the bathroon without a roadmap and cannot control decision making processes where the Script is silent nor can he sucessfully change the Script no matter desperate things get, not until, that is, the Austin Fun Bunch alarms go off.

Then we get a slogan and a lie

Predictable as brain death

2848. jexster - 1/11/2004 8:52:16 AM

Debray Decomposition: Tensions Flare in South Iraq; Mosul Kurds Shelled

AMARA, Iraq (Reuters) - Scores of angry protesters gathered Sunday in Amara in southern Iraq (news - web sites), demanding compensation for at least five Iraqis killed when police and British troops opened fire to quell a violent demonstration.




In the nearby city of Basra, an Iraqi-born U.S. citizen working for the civilian administration in southern Iraq was found shot dead, a spokesman for the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) said.


"An Iraqi-born American citizen working with CPA South was found shot dead in Basra Saturday," spokesman Dominic d'Angelo said. "His body was found together with that of another man, who was not associated with CPA South."


There were no further details on the killings. Guerrillas fighting the U.S.-led occupation in Iraq have often targeted Iraqis cooperating with the civilian administration.


Mainly Shi'ite southern Iraq has been far more peaceful than the restive Sunni Muslim areas around Baghdad, where most of the resistance to the occupation has been concentrated.


But tension flared Saturday in Amara, 365 km (230 miles) southeast of Baghdad, when a demonstration over unemployment turned violent.

2849. jexster - 1/11/2004 8:53:00 AM

Another example of what happens when you elect a liar who is also a "disengaged" incompetent.

2850. jexster - 1/11/2004 8:53:52 AM

Let's have a 60 Minute Mote Party tonight!

Big audience...big rating

2851. jexster - 1/11/2004 9:13:10 AM

Big Mess - Protesters Stone British Troops and Iraqi Colonial Guards

We're looking now I greatly fear at the beginnings of a huge meltdown in Iraq.

After all, there was a reason for Saddam and a reason we encouraged him as he "gassed his own people". I remember the debate well.

Do you?

2852. jexster - 1/11/2004 9:20:34 AM

And I looked into Pooty Poot's Soul with Through My Simean Eyes and With My Dead Brain

Big Whoop. Russia sold night vision goggles in violation of UN resolutions so that Iraq could defend itself against a war of aggression launched in violation of the UN Charter.

In pari delicto we leave Pooty Poot and Dead Brain Walkin..

WASHINGTON — U.S. officials have found evidence corroborating the Bush administration's allegations that Russian companies sold Saddam Hussein high-tech military equipment that threatened U.S. forces during the invasion of Iraq last March, a senior State Department official said Friday.

The United States has found proof that Russian firms exported night-vision goggles and radar-jamming equipment to Iraq, the official said. The evidence includes the equipment itself and proof that it was used during the war, said the official.







Such exports would violate the terms of United Nations sanctions against Baghdad.

"We have corroborated some of that evidence," the official told a group of reporters.

While insisting that the matter was "now in the past," he said that the Bush administration "never received entirely satisfactory explanations" to its charges, and acknowledged that the issue "is still a sensitive one in the relationship."

2853. jexster - 1/11/2004 9:25:23 AM

You Picked a Fine Time to Leave Me Lucille - Vocal, Kenny Rogers 1997

2854. wonkers2 - 1/11/2004 11:19:45 AM

What about the stuff the U.S. sold or gave to Iraq during the 1980s?

2855. robertjayb - 1/11/2004 11:37:28 AM

2839. concerned - 1/11/2004 1:44:39 AM

Mustard Gas is generally regarded as a WMD.


..........................

Ever faithful to standard bushie practice, concerned just makes shit up.

2856. wonkers2 - 1/11/2004 11:46:48 AM

Con'ned, Are you saying you feel imminently threatened by a few mustard gas shells buried in 1989? Give us a break!

2857. jexster - 1/11/2004 2:15:39 PM

Rotted with traces of mustard gas..a little insecticide for the Ayatollah....


Speaking of gas...you ever try Beano TD?

2858. jexster - 1/11/2004 2:20:55 PM

Lyin Monkees See, Lyin Monkees Do...



A Lie Is Born:
Bush Planned Invasion of Iraq from Day 1


Bush "began laying plans for an invasion of Iraq, including the use of American troops, within days of Bush's inauguration in January of 2001 - not eight months later after the 9/11 attacks as has been previously reported. That's what former Treasury Sec. Paul O'Neill says... on 60 Minutes, Sunday, Jan. 11 at 7 p.m. ET/PT. In the first three months of 2001, the administration was looking at military options for removing Saddam Hussein from power and planning for the aftermath of Saddam's downfall - including post-war contingencies like peacekeeping troops, war crimes tribunals and the future of Iraq's oil. 'There are memos,' Suskind tells Stahl, 'One of them marked 'secret' says 'Plan for Post-Saddam Iraq.'' A Pentagon document, says Suskind, titled 'Foreign Suitors For Iraqi Oilfield Contracts,' outlines areas of oil exploration. 'It talks about contractors around the world from...30, 40 countries and which ones have what intentions on oil in Iraq,' Suskind says."

Now why do you suppose Bush is stonewalling Congressional investigations of Iraq Intel???

Well hell that's a tough one ain't it.

2859. robertjayb - 1/11/2004 2:39:25 PM

Rose petals are scarce this time of year...

AMARAH, Iraq (AP) - Impatience with Iraq's occupying forces boiled over Sunday as unemployed Iraqis pelted British troops with stones and a top Shiite Muslim cleric demanded the country's next parliament be elected - not chosen by local caucuses, as foreseen by the Americans.

2860. jexster - 1/11/2004 3:05:24 PM

TD...Looks like the Talking Poodle needs some training wouldn't you agree?

BAGHDAD (AFP) - British Prime Minister Tony Blair (news - web sites) suggested that Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s alleged weapons of mass destruction may never be found in Iraq as unrest flared again in the British-run southern sector of the country.

US President George W. Bush (news - web sites)'s justification for the war on Iraq was also expected to come under the spotlight with revelations he was intent on ousting Saddam long before the September 11 attacks on the United States.


Guess he watched the BBC excloo those rusted mortar rounds

2861. jexster - 1/11/2004 3:06:58 PM

Go Ayatollah Sistani...but watch out for any trace of insectides labeled "US AID: Made-in-USA"

2862. robertjayb - 1/11/2004 3:26:50 PM

Professor Nagl's War...

Peter Maass has a lengthy encouraging/discouraging article in the NYTimes Magazine Its main player is Major John Nagl, a West Pointer, Rhodes Scholar, Ph. D counterinsurgency expert, and third in command of a tank battalion. The encouraging part is that the U.S. does have thoughtful people on the ground. The discouraging part is that it may not make any difference.

Nagl is a gifted officer with the common sense not to confuse hopes with facts. He says he believes he is winning his war, and his grasp of the present, as well as of the past and the future, is as sharp as anyone's. He knows, though, that the war will be messy and slow, as T.E. Lawrence warned, and he knows enough about wars to realize that the outcome is not assured. That is the nature of guerrilla wars, especially -- they are chaotic and confused and only fools predict their results.

Yet if predicting the future is a hopeless endeavor, learning from the past is not. The counterinsurgency books that Nagl studied do impart an important lesson. The goal the United States hopes to reach in Iraq -- a successful counterinsurgency that does not drag on for years and does not involve a large amount of killing -- has never been achieved by any army.





2863. jexster - 1/11/2004 3:34:53 PM

Saddam Hussein - A Friend in Need is a Friend Indeed

WASHINGTON - Now assigned the task of reducing Iraq (news - web sites)'s debt, presidential envoy James A. Baker III once gave crucial support for continuing a billion-dollar loan program to Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s government that accounts for most of the money Iraq still owes the United States.


As secretary of state in 1989, Baker urged the Agriculture Department to offer $1 billion in loan guarantees for Iraq to buy U.S. farm products after Iraq said it would reject a smaller deal.


"Documents indicate he intervened personally to make sure that Iraq continued to receive high levels of funding," said Joyce Battle, Middle East analyst for the National Security Archives, a foreign policy research center with a vast collection of declassified documents from the era.

2864. wonkers2 - 1/11/2004 7:22:03 PM

When Baker finishes taking care of Iraq's debt he can go to work on the U.S. debt, a much tougher and important problem!

2865. robertjayb - 1/12/2004 12:26:42 AM

War College report hits "unnecessary war"...(WashPost)

A scathing new report published by the Army War College broadly criticizes the Bush administration's handling of the war on terrorism, accusing it of taking a detour into an "unnecessary" war in Iraq and pursuing an "unrealistic" quest against terrorism that may lead to U.S. wars with states that pose no serious threat.

The report, by visiting professor Jeffrey Record, who is on the faculty of the Air War College at Maxwell Air Force Base in Alabama, warns that as a result of those mistakes, the Army is "near the breaking point."
.............................


Record's core criticism is that the administration is biting off more than it can chew. He likens the scale of U.S. ambitions in the war on terrorism to Adolf Hitler's overreach in World War II. "A cardinal rule of strategy is to keep your enemies to a manageable number," he writes. "The Germans were defeated in two world wars . . . because their strategic ends outran their available means."

He also scoffs at the administration's policy, laid out by Bush in a November speech, of seeking to transform and democratize the Middle East. "The potential policy payoff of a democratic and prosperous Middle East, if there is one, almost certainly lies in the very distant future," he writes. "The basis on which this democratic domino theory rests has never been explicated."

2866. jexster - 1/12/2004 12:52:24 AM

"From the very first instance, it was about Iraq," said O'Neill. "It was all about finding a way to do it. That was the tone of it. The President saying 'Go find me a way to do this." One of the documents shown on 60 Minutes was a scheme on a secret document for dividing Iraq's oil up among several top US oil companies. O'Neill said he was surprised nobody at National Security Council meetings ever asked: "Why Saddam?" or "Why now?" "For me," he added, "the notion of pre-emption, that the US has the unilateral right to do whatever we decide to do, is really a huge leap."

O'Neill revealed Bush to be a pathetically weak man unable to ask an intelligent question or make a single independent decision.

I believe that there is a market for the truth in America

How many units of truth do ya think I should put Eddie D. down for?

And how about my CU Law Alum PT10909 (MIA, RIP), what he good for?

Al D...at least the price of a round at Poipu surely.

2867. jexster - 1/12/2004 7:05:01 AM

A Public Service Message for Fox Viewers: Powell admits no al Qaeda-Saddam link

Colin Powell has finally admitted that he had no proof of a connection between Saddam and al Qaeda.

The New York Times reports, "'I have not seen smoking-gun, concrete evidence about the connection,' Mr. Powell said, in response to a question at a news conference. 'But I think the possibility of such connections did exist, and it was prudent to consider them at the time that we did.'"

Certainly. But how "prudent" was he to assert in front of the UN last February that there was a "sinister nexus "between Iraq and the Al Qaeda terrorist network, a nexus that combines classic terrorist organizations and modern methods of murder."


Trodding through San Juan
In the arms of America
Trodding through Jamaica, a Buffalo Soldier
Fighting on arrival, fighting for survival
Buffalo Soldier, Dreadlock Rasta


It is now safe for you to watch Bill O'Reilly....

2868. jexster - 1/12/2004 7:15:21 AM

The president decided he had to act because he believed that whatever the size of the stockpile, whatever one might think about it, he believed that the region was in danger, America was in danger/b> and he would act. And he did act.

The deaf, the blind, the mendacious, the brain dead, ....

2869. jexster - 1/12/2004 7:16:01 AM

tragic

2870. jexster - 1/12/2004 12:20:17 PM

Very tragic

US soldier dies in bombing, troops kill seven Iraqis stealing fuel

I hope he didn't watch Paul O'Neiil, principal member Bush NSC, before he expired.

And as for the Iraqis, it must be hard on their families and on big bleeding hearted Bushie humantarians

2871. jexster - 1/12/2004 2:19:24 PM

Neo-Colonialism - The Rape of Iraq
Iraqis Blast US Sponsored Trade Fair - Financial Times


A 250-strong delegation from the American-Iraqi Chamber of Commerce in Baghdad expressed anger at having to beat a path to Jordan to establish contacts with US-led administration ruling Iraq.

"It takes two months to see the Americans at the palace," said Adil al-Rawi, a Baghdad merchant, referring to the CPA headquarters in one of Saddam Hussein's former palaces in the Iraqi capital.Complaining he had failed to win any contracts under US-led rule, Mr Rawi said: "There's no information in Iraq."

The Iraqi delegates voiced their anger on the sidelines of the conference during a meeting with retired US admiral David Nash, the Baghdad-based director of the Iraq Infrastructure Reconstruction Organisation, who is responsible for disbursing more than $18bn (?15bn, £10bn) of US funding for reconstruction.

They denounced the conference organisers for failing to provide Arabic translators and for not including an Iraqi on the panel.

"They are speaking as if Iraqis are not there," said Ahmed al-Haider of Al Belouj company. "Iraqis must have a role."


Well boo-hoo. What did ya expect, liberation?

Suckers

2872. Al D - 1/12/2004 2:23:45 PM

http://slate.msn.com/id/2093620/entry/2093641/=#ContinueArticle
Slate has a discussion which will go on all week among liberals who supported the war. I found the link on TPW; perhaps, jexster, you would be so kind as to create a link here.


That is the nature of guerrilla wars, especially -- they are chaotic and confused and only fools predict their results.

I may have it wrong, but it seems to me several on the Mote predict the result as a negative result. Or is that just their wishful thinking?

2873. jexster - 1/12/2004 2:41:39 PM

Sure Al..but I am not functioning too well today (a binge drinking wake last night) what is TPW???

Should I just link the URL??? I do that and if that's not what you want...do something else

As for guerilla wars, speaking only for myself, I have predicted nothing.

I have linked and supported views of several experts including the CIA ops chief for the Afghan/Russian conflict to the effect that no occupying army in the 20th century has resisted a nationalist insurgency successfully; have said that the current one in Iraq, though extremely low level has already partially succeed (the rush for the exits take over scuttles democracy in June I think), and I have entertained as plausible views of Regis Debray that the longer the US stays the more likely a total disintegration of the country and rise of an virulent fundamentalist regime in one or more of its components. I had never thought of that before but began to. What you see depends on what you look for and I do love the counterinitutive.

2874. jexster - 1/12/2004 2:43:33 PM

Slate Link by Al Di Links of Poipu, Kauai (free Blue Hawaiis at Sheraton for first twenty motiers - tell bartender, its on Al

2875. jexster - 1/12/2004 2:56:07 PM

Correction...it occured to me that I forgot to mention one guy...

Defense and the National Interest, Center for Cultural Conservatism, Military Affairs expert William Lind --

As I said in an earlier column, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are already lost. Nothing the United States can do can yield an American victory in either placeAs I said in an earlier column, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan are already lost. Nothing the United States can do can yield an American victory in either place.

In all probability, both wars were lost before the first bomb was dropped or the first shot fired. They were lost because, in an era when the state is in decline, our wares on the Afghan and Iraqi states were doomed to be too successful. We fought to destroy two regimes, but what we ended up doing was destroying two states. Neither in Afghanistan nor in Iraq are we able to recreate the state, which means that Fourth Generation, non-state forces will come to dominate both places. And neither we nor any other state knows how to defeat Fourth Generation enemies.

To the degree America had a chance of real victory in either war, we lost that chance through early mistakes...

In Iraq, the two fatal early errors were outlawing the Baath Party and disbanding the Iraqi army. Washington is now making noises about reversing both of those early decisions, but it is simply too late. As von Moltke said, a mistake in initial dispositions can seldom be put right.


The Politics Of War

Not a prediction I suppose more a time now factual statement and conclusion.

2876. jexster - 1/12/2004 2:56:17 PM

By standards that Bush set, I suppose that if you asked Ayatollah Sistani that question he'd agree with Lind that the war is lost already. This being so given his recent statement that when the Cheney Regime (I do not speak ill of the Brain Dead) installs its frankenstein creation this summer, that regime will be neither democratic nor legitimate.

That sounds like a big 0 in the win column to me.

2877. Wombat - 1/12/2004 4:09:09 PM

As I understand it, UN inspectors found a few examples of elderly--and unusable--chemical munitions during their inspections before the war that the Iraqis had failed to destroy--or lost track of. Sounds like this find may be similar, and the military is correct to downplay it.

Let's remember the admistration's claims: active WMD programs, deployable in 45 minutes, and an imminent threat to the United States. This find does nothing to contradict the paucity of evidence to support these claims.

2878. jexster - 1/12/2004 4:23:45 PM

In the same vein as Al opened...bloody mess...

Anthony Cordesman et al Center for Strategic and International Suties...

Iraq Policy Critique: Trip Reports
Iraq: Too Uncertain to Call
Current Military Situation in Iraq


Over the course of his November 1-12 visit, Anthony Cordesman traveled to Baghdad, Babel, Tikrit, and Kirkuk, among other areas, meeting with combat commanders and staff in high-threat areas. One report, “Iraq: Too Uncertain to Call,” focuses on the strengths and weaknesses of the approaches taken by the Bush administration, the Coalition Provisional Authority and the Iraq Governing Council. The other report analyzes current combat activity and unit-by-unit developments. Cordesman traveled at the invitation of the U.S. government.

2879. wonkers2 - 1/12/2004 4:25:03 PM

And of course there was Riceroni's reference to "mushroom clouds." And Bush's breathless "enriched uranium from Africa." And Cheney's repeated linking of Hussein with 9-11. They are the crookedest administration since Harding.

2880. jexster - 1/12/2004 4:57:05 PM

Paul O'Neill exposes Bush mis-leadership

Delivering the single-most damaging indictment of the president, his former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill says the administration was drawing up plans to attack and occupy Iraq the moment it took office. He told "60 Minutes," "From the very beginning, there was a conviction that Saddam Hussein was a bad person and that he needed to go."

Let's past the crap and to the chase"

1. From Day 1 of the Cheney Regime there was no genuine debate about using the US military and our resources to invade Iraq.

2. From Day 1 of the Cheney Regime, WMD was a topic on the agedn of the NSC yet at no time did the authorities responsible for the security of this country have any substantial evidence that such a program esisted.

And that - BIG FAT LIE- is the name of that tune.

That is a real deal high crime and misdemeanor

2881. robertjayb - 1/12/2004 5:09:42 PM

Listen Up!

The scathing Army War College report, "Bounding the Global War on Terrorism," which is being tucked away deep inside the newspapers that carry it at all, is online Here. It is a pdf document of about 60 pages.

2882. jexster - 1/12/2004 9:29:33 PM

The Proof is the Pudding Not the Pigshit:
Bremmer Vows to Push Creation of Puppet State Against Demands for Democracy

2883. jexster - 1/12/2004 9:33:59 PM

Here's your Debray Decompostion Scenario item for the day.

From Newsweek..

Refereeing in Hell
GIs are dying. Rival factions are turning on each other. After freeing Iraq, can we keep it from coming apart?


2884. jexster - 1/12/2004 9:40:51 PM

Strictly speaking I suppose that Debray Secompostion Theory is more properly a corrollary to conservative William Lind's War Already Lost Postulate.

Debray makes essentially the same point and adds his "worsens hte longer we stay to the point of fundie blowback - ie get out whilst the gittin's good"

2885. jexster - 1/12/2004 9:52:15 PM

When the WMD searches came up empty, Bush aides began claiming that the invasion was actually a way of planting the seeds of democracy in Arab lands. Now the fear is that Iraq's collapse could destabilize the entire region

Such elegance, such economy of expression!

2886. jexster - 1/12/2004 10:03:02 PM

Thank YOU ROBERT!!! Hopefully JRoth will have time to read and share his thoughts.

I love to read military shit...most especially when Jeffrey Record, a veteran defense expert who serves as a visiting research professor at the Strategic Studies Institute of the Army War College says things I have been saying all along, a voice crying in the wilderness of the deaf, the dumb, the blind and the brain dead:


Record criticized the Bush administration for lumping together al Qaeda and President Saddam Hussein's Iraq "as a single, undifferentiated terrorist threat."

"This was a strategic error of the first order because it ignored critical differences between the two in character, threat level and susceptibility to U.S. deterrence and military action," Record wrote.

"The result has been an unnecessary preventive war of choice against a deterred Iraq that has created a new front in the Middle East for Islamic terrorism and diverted attention and resources away from securing the American homeland against further assault by an undeterrable al Qaeda," Record wrote

2887. jexster - 1/12/2004 10:09:27 PM

And a special thanks to Al Di Poipu for bring this topic to for discussion today.

2888. jexster - 1/12/2004 10:34:51 PM

All Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) monographs are available on the www.carlisle.army.mil/ssi/ target=new>SSI Homepage for electronic dissemination.

Sodden Thought for the Day:

Robert could it be that Crawford's Little Corporal is the most militarily incompetent Texican since Travis??

2889. jexster - 1/13/2004 4:16:20 AM

Bush Brings First Amendment to Fallujah: Troops Brutalize Reuters Crew

2890. jexster - 1/13/2004 4:19:26 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - A U.S. soldier was killed by a bomb in Baghdad on Monday and American forces shot dead seven armed looters, while Spain and the Iraqi Governing Council urged the United Nations (news - web sites) to return to help Iraq (news - web sites).

2891. Magoseph - 1/13/2004 7:56:44 AM

The response of the President to O'Neill falls far short so far as I am concerned. There is a considerable difference between having a policy of encouraging regime change as Bush's father did when he encouraged the opposition in Iraq to revolt and Clinton's attempts to mobilize international action against the Hussein regime. What O'Neill is saying is that from the moment of his inauguration Bush secretly, without the knowledge of the citizenry or its Congress, planned an invasion and occupation of a sovereign nation. If true this type of action is so unprecedented, so outrageous, and so unbeliable that it has not yet been defined in respect to whether or not it constitutes an impeachable offense.

2892. jexster - 1/13/2004 11:11:23 AM

Are we ahead of the curve around here or what?

We gots Wonks first to call for impeachment

Robert first link to the monograph exposing Bush as the worst Texican military figure in history and pre-history (feel the eyes of Tejas upon you)

Goooollay!

2893. jexster - 1/13/2004 11:11:34 AM

FALLUJA, Iraq (Reuters) - American soldiers killed at least four Iraqi civilians Tuesday in a town at the heart of the anti-U.S. insurgency while a U.S. Apache helicopter crashed nearby, probably after being hit by ground fire.

2894. concerned - 1/13/2004 11:19:42 AM

Re. 2891 -

No, it isn't. Where do you get the idea that the Pentagon must go or has in the past gone to Congress to get all its military contingency plans approved? And wouldn't doing so pretty much make it impossible to keep any strategic military information classified?

For that matter, Xlowntoon advocated removing Saddam and his administration had plans to that effect. And were not Kosovo/Serbia sovereign? Maybe he should have been impeached for these things instead, using your standards.

2895. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:26:35 PM

Bremmer: No Democracy for Iraq

2896. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:27:55 PM

TD...either you can defend the Cheney Regime's aggression on its own terms or you cannot.

2897. concerned - 1/13/2004 1:29:29 PM

I already have, you Saddam-lover.

2898. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:30:19 PM

The Clinton administration had no plans for the invasion, occupation and exploitation of Iraq.

And actually the Cheney Regime had none beyond the invasion that could be fairly called a plan nor did they America the truth about what they did plan, why they planned it, and when they did

2899. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:31:35 PM

We all know you have this obession with Clinton, but we're stuck in a Cheney mess....welcome to 2004

2900. concerned - 1/13/2004 1:32:04 PM

The Clinton administration had no plans for the invasion, occupation and exploitation of Iraq.

Doubtful, but signifies nothing even if true. The bum couldn't even keep from being impeached, so incompetence is not a defense.

2901. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:32:15 PM

they "tell"

whew...beat you to it Oozie

2902. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:33:24 PM

Earth to Planet Claire...

Time to engage in real time.

2903. jexster - 1/13/2004 1:33:47 PM

Real facts
Real time please

2904. Magoseph - 1/13/2004 2:04:15 PM

No, it isn't. Where do you get the idea that the Pentagon must go or has in the past gone to Congress to get all its military contingency plans approved? And wouldn't doing so pretty much make it impossible to keep any strategic military information classified?

For your information, I did not mention the Pentagon. I am talking about Bush. It is certainly a rare day when you use Clinton as a mean to justify the Bush administration's actions. The only thing I have to say about the whole matter is that O'Neill is a canny veteran of the mayhem that prevails on Wall Street. He has best of the best in that climate and may very well have derailed the Bush steamroller. He waited patiently and obviously lulled the Bush crowd to sleep. At this point, I don't think they can touch him and in my opinion, he has scored a punch that will do much to reduce the Bush effectiveness in Foreign affairs.

2905. Al D - 1/13/2004 10:01:33 PM

The only thing I have to say about the whole matter is that O'Neill is a canny veteran of the mayhem that prevails on Wall Street.


With all due respect to your feminine charms, what exactly does the above mean? It sounds just like the Communist claptrap I heard back in the '50's from my commie brother-in-law.


No matter what Clinton said or didn't say about the Saddam regime, Congress passed an Act in 1998 that called for regime change in Iraq. I was wathcing a Liberal think tank discussion on C-Span yesterday when a question from the audience was raised about O'Neill's comment and the reaction from the panel was, big deal, it was National Policy since '98. It is a non story if there ever was one, and Dems are silly to grab on to it, just as conservatives are silly to pounch on the dirty missiles found by the Danes.

2906. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 8:41:30 AM

There is a very interesting analysis in the current Atlantic by Kenneth Pollack on how he, and his colleagues in the intelligence and national security community could get the WMD situation in Iraq so completely wrong. No real news, but a comprehensive reading from an insider who had a key role in convincing democrats that the war was necessary.

Unfortunately, it is not on the web.

2907. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 8:44:44 AM

There is an interview with Pollack on line that covers much the same ground.

2908. Wombat - 1/14/2004 9:21:01 AM

The same issue of the Atlantic has an article that describes State Department, CIA and Military planning planning and preparations for postwar Iraq and how the Bush administration completely ignored them. Why Donald Rumsfeld still has a job after the role he played in this boggles my mind.

2909. Magoseph - 1/14/2004 9:37:27 AM

With all due respect to your feminine charms, what exactly does the above mean? It sounds just like the Communist claptrap I heard back in the '50's from my commie brother-in-law.

With all due respect to your advanced years and experience, I would expect you would recognize that a bout between an old tested warrior and a cub with not too much upstairs such as Bush is really no contest.

2910. PincherMartin - 1/14/2004 9:43:19 AM

"Spies, Lies, and Weapons: What Went Wrong", by Kenneth Pollack

Here's The Atlantic Monthly article Jay refers to above.

2911. Wombat - 1/14/2004 10:03:42 AM

The directive under the Clinton adminstration was to try an effect regime change through training and supporting Iraqi dissidents, and was funded accordingly.

For Republicans and their "centrist" defenders to claim this as an ex post facto justification for the Bush administration's actions is laughable, and shows the bankruptcy of the justifications given for their choice to wage war against Iraq.

2912. PincherMartin - 1/14/2004 10:09:26 AM

Some time ago, I promised some people here I would report back to comment on the U.S. search for WMD in Iraq. I said I would so in August, but I gave myself a few extra months to see if the interrogations of captured Iraqis would bear any fruit.

What do you think now?

I think the evidence points to Iraq having no significant and extant WMD program just prior to the U.S. invasion. Nothing dramatic has been found and I now feel reasonably confident nothing dramatic will be found.

Do you think there's still a chance WMD will be found in Iraq?

Anything's possible, but I doubt it. We've had a number of their scientists and core leadership in our hands for some time. We've now had Saddam for about a month. Interrogations have, I'm sure, been proceeding steadily and yet we have nothing to show for it except for a handful of minor violations and some ambiguous evidence.

Did the Bush administration lie about Iraq's WMD programs as a pretext for invasion?

No, I don't think so. There were a number of sources outside the Bush administration that thought Iraq had those weapons, including members of the Clinton administration and non-American analysts and intelligence agencies. The Bush administration did hype a few claims that were not true, but they seem to have done so in the belief that their general claims would be proven correct. They oversold a point they believed to be true rather than outright fabricate something they did not.

continued...

2913. PincherMartin - 1/14/2004 10:09:51 AM

Knowing what you know now, would you still support invading Iraq?

There's no way I could know then what I know now.

I do not support invading a country simply because its leader is an evil tyrant. Yet, that now appears to be what we have just done in Iraq, even if it was not our intention. I still support the invasion because I believe that was the best course of action we could take at the time, given what we knew at the time.

2914. Wombat - 1/14/2004 10:15:21 AM

A minor quibble, Pincher. It seems apparent to me that the Bush administration was unwilling to take no for an answer, and sought to exclude reputable assessments that showed Iraq's nuclear program was moribund and far from the imminent threat proclaimed by the administration. As to chemical weapons, the Bush administration erred in good company, yours and mine included.

Welcome back, by the way. I trust that you are wearing asbestos shorts.

2915. PincherMartin - 1/14/2004 10:33:17 AM

Wombat --

A minor quibble, Pincher. It seems apparent to me that the Bush administration was unwilling to take no for an answer, and sought to exclude reputable assessments that showed Iraq's nuclear program was moribund and far from the imminent threat proclaimed by the administration. As to chemical weapons, the Bush administration erred in good company, yours and mine included.

I don't deny the Bush administration cooked up some evidence to make its case, but it's not unusual for an administration to oversell its policy by exaggerating its good points and even suppressing or downplaying some reports that might set it back.

However, I think several members of the Bush administration, including the president himself, have been very surprised nothing has been found in Iraq, so I don't believe their slanted presentation of the case was a pretext to invade.

Welcome back, by the way. I trust that you are wearing asbestos shorts.

???

2916. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 10:39:44 AM

Welcome back Pincher. I like the honesty of your post. I agree with Wombat. I don't think anyone doubted that Iraq had chemical and, possibly, biological weapons. I didn't think they had the delivery systems to make them a threat to the West, but in contrast to you I supported the war because of the regime change. If I had known then what we know now I had been less sure about it, but I'm still guardedly optimistic of the outcome.

2917. jexster - 1/14/2004 10:49:40 AM

Carl von Clausewitz believed that the “first, the supreme, most far-reaching act of judgment that the statesman and the commander have to make is to establish the kind of war on which they are embarking, neither mistaking it for, not trying to turn it into, something that is alien to its true nature. This is the first of all strategic questions and the most comprehensive.”1


The nature and parameters of the GWOT, however, remain
frustratingly unclear. The administration has postulated a
multiplicity of enemies, including rogue states, weapons of mass destruction (WMD) proliferators, terrorist organizations, and terrorism itself. It has also, at least for the purposes of mobilizing and sustaining domestic political support for the war on Iraq and other
potential preventive military actions, confl ated them as a general,undifferentiated threat. In so doing, the administration has arguably subordinated strategic clarity to the moral clarity it seeks in foreign policy and may have set the United States on a path of open-ended and unnecessary confl ict with states and nonstate entities that pose no direct or imminent threat to the United States.
Sound strategy mandates threat discrimination Sound strategy mandates threat discrimination and reasonable
harmonization of ends and means. The GWOT falls short on both counts. "BOUNDING THE GLOBAL WAR ON TERRORISM"

2918. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 10:55:13 AM

However, I think several members of the Bush administration, including the president himself, have been very surprised nothing has been found in Iraq, so I don't believe their slanted presentation of the case was a pretext to invade.

Rose cololored glasses. The President and his advisers are clearly not reasonable men, on this topic. They hyped a certain set of cases for waging War, and still - despite all evidence to the contrary - stick to each case until forced to back away. It's shameless and the playing up of non-existent links between Hussein an Al-Qaeda is only the most egregious example.

2919. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 11:02:47 AM

jexstr doesn't read he only posts. I have known others who only care about output, but no Westerners.

2920. PincherMartin - 1/14/2004 11:06:32 AM

Pelle --

I don't think anyone doubted that Iraq had chemical and, possibly, biological weapons. I didn't think they had the delivery systems to make them a threat to the West, but in contrast to you I supported the war because of the regime change. If I had known then what we know now I had been less sure about it, but I'm still guardedly optimistic of the outcome.

I try to be optimistic, but I find it hard when I see no visible signs of progress in the security situation there. Even with the best of intentions, without security, what do we have? The Shias are starting to make noises and if they start actively resisting with the same intensity as the Sunnis have been resisting, we're fucked.

*****

The intelligence failure has really shaken my faith in the spooks. Before the invasion I would have said we knew Iraq had chemical and/or biological weapons with the sort of certainty we use when we talk about Israel having nukes. It seemed that certain. (Like you and Wombat, I never believed there was solid evidence Iraq had nukes -- although I thought it was plausible to believe, on no evidence whatsoever beyond Saddam's history, that Iraq had some secret nuclear program somewhere in the country that was in its first stages of development.)

To me, this intelligence failure hasn't been adequately discussed beyond it being used as a cudgel to beat Bush. But it needs to be addressed. How could we have been this wrong, again?

2921. PincherMartin - 1/14/2004 11:14:28 AM

Marj --

Rose [colored] glasses. The President and his advisers are clearly not reasonable men, on this topic. They hyped a certain set of cases for waging War, and still - despite all evidence to the contrary - stick to each case until forced to back away. It's shameless and the playing up of non-existent links between Hussein an Al-Qaeda is only the most egregious example.

Ex post facto judgements, Marj. The case seemed fairly convincing to you, in its generalities, before the invasion. You go hither and thither in your thinking more times than a person can keep track, but I know that at some points along the track you dug up, running between stands, you supported taking Saddam out.

I also thought the case tying Al Qaeda with Iraq before the invasion was weak and said so at the time.

2922. jexster - 1/14/2004 11:25:00 AM

Neither nation-building nor political stamina in
protracted conflicts with irregular enemies has been a hallmark of American statecraft since the 1960s. Indeed, the “primary problem at the core of American deficiencies in post-confl ict capabilities, resources, and commitment is a national aversion to nation-building, which was strengthened by failure in Vietnam,” concluded a widelyread
U.S. Army study on reconstructing Iraq published the month
before Operation IRAQI FREEDOM was launched.85

The study went on to predict and warn:

2923. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 11:26:01 AM

I think the Pollack interview goes a long way towards explaining the failure. As someone who dabbles in history I know that you have to have some preconceptions, euphemistically called a theory, before you go to the sources otherwise you are lost. The problem here was that the conclusions were not critiqued properly, or rather, the intelligence entity that came up with the critique had been thouroghly mistaken in 1991 and had lost credibility.

2924. vonKreedon - 1/14/2004 11:27:15 AM

PM writes: There were a number of sources outside the Bush administration that thought Iraq had those weapons,

Pelle writes: I don't think anyone doubted that Iraq had chemical and, possibly, biological weapons.

These statements are true up until the last set of UN inspections. By the time we invaded Iraq the inspectors, see 3/7/03 UNMOVIC Report and IAEA news release, it was becoming apparent that there were no WMD in Iraq.

If one combines the Bush administrations insistence on rushing to war with the UNMOVIC/IAEA reports, the recent O'Neill revelation that the administration was looking for excuses to invade Iraq from the get-go one can easily come up with a more sinister interpretation of PM's admission that the administration "...cooked up some evidence to make its case...." This should be a major issue, the administration lied, or at the very least spun information out of reasonable recognition of the truth, to induce the US Congress and electorate to support an elective war that appears to have been planned from the very beginning of the administration as a vengeance and looting expedition.

2925. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:29:07 AM

I'm glad to see Pincher back in the context of the Atlantic articles and the post-mortem discussion on Slate, because it makes apparent the consensus views that are coming around.

The only thing I would add to the Pollack pieces and Pincher's comments is that they all seem to include information up to the some point last year, and do not incorporate what was learned by the inspectors. Yes, before the inspectors went back in, there was widespread belief in Iraq holding CBW stocks and/or prodution facilities. Yes, there was widespread belief that Iraq had an interest in acquiring nuclear weapons, but few believed that this threat was imminent. There was no widespread belief that there were links to al qaeda or 9/11, nor that Iraq threatened the US in any imminent way.

However, if you add the results of the return of the inspectors to the case, I think that the case for invading in March because of WMD had been greatly weakened. It was evident at that time that, as AlBaraedi said, there was no active nuclear program. It was also evident at the time that, as Blix said, there may be no CBW, but that further inspections would be required to prove or disprove that claim. I think it is worth noting that a central part of Pollack's argument for why the assessments were so far off is that there was way to confirm or deny defector reports reports on the ground.

2926. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:31:42 AM

This excerpt from Pollack supporting my claim in the crosspost with VK that Pollack makes this argument.

When the inspectors suddenly left, the various intelligence agencies were caught psychologically and organizationally off balance. Desperate for information on Iraq, they began to trust sources that they would previously have had UNSCOM vet. If a defector came out of Iraq after 1998, the CIA had to gauge his credibility by comparing his account with those of other defectors—who might be unreliable or just unproven—or by checking it against whatever they could glean from satellites and other indirect sources. With so little to go on, intelligence agencies believed many reports that now seem deeply suspect.

In the absence of hard evidence, the intelligence analysts tended to fall back on the underlying assumptions they had begun with. Those assumptions included the belief that Saddam was determined to preserve his extant WMD capabilities and acquire new ones. And now there were no weapons inspectors to hinder him. The inspectors had also been a moderating influence on Western intelligence agencies; the information they provided, and the mere fact of their presence in Iraq, helped those agencies stick to reasonable suppositions and keep unsubstantiated fears at bay. After 1998 many analysts increasingly entertained worst-case scenarios—scenarios that gradually became mainstream estimates.

2927. Wombat - 1/14/2004 11:32:46 AM

Pincher:

I think part of the failure was due to an assessment of Saddam that through his own mendacity, nothing he or his regime said was to be believed.

The other part of the failure ties directly and indirectly into how the Bush adminsitration used and politicized intelligence. To oversimplify: the adminstration was determined on war with Iraq, and was going to either ignore intelligence that didn't back up their case, or pressure intelligence producers to change their assessments to make them fit with what they wanted to hear. More insidious--but understandable--was the intelligence agencies themselves slanting--or giving undue credence to--reports and analyses that they knew the administration would read. An agency that produces unused products will have trouble defending its reason to exist.

2928. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:36:51 AM

Pincher--

Thanks for posting that link. I couldn't do it from the site earlier today, and my first attempt at your link failed.

Do you have a similar way to get the Fallows article up?

2929. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:39:47 AM

I think part of the failure was due to an assessment of Saddam that through his own mendacity, nothing he or his regime said was to be believed.

But they did believe him when he claimed to have dangerous weapons. This is another reason Pollack cites for the failure to analyze the situation accurately. Saddam rattled sabers. As Alistair and I discussed last May, it was easy to think of reasons, both domestic and foreign, for Saddam to lie about his capabilities. Pollack spends more time on internal matters than I've mostly seen, and the discussion is informative, but too nuanced to summarize well here.

2930. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:40:01 AM

toys

2931. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:40:21 AM

Let's try that again.

2932. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 11:40:42 AM

One more time

2933. vonKreedon - 1/14/2004 11:41:46 AM

PM - You are due kudos for coming over and directly addressing the issue and ramifications of the intelligence failures/misuses in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq. Shows your intelligence and integrity.

2934. jexster - 1/14/2004 12:09:17 PM

Actually, PM if fits perfectly. The conflation of objectives (war on terror/the Saddam problem/the democratic domino theory/preemptive war/weapons proliferation) and the failure of post invasion planning is of obe piece with the faith based intellgence. Flights of ideological fantasy combined with an unbounded thirst for domestic political advantage drove all of it.

2935. robertjayb - 1/14/2004 12:35:46 PM

More debunking of Saddam-Al Qaeda link...(NYTimes)

WASHINGTON, Jan. 13 — Saddam Hussein warned his Iraqi supporters to be wary of joining forces with foreign Arab fighters entering Iraq to battle American troops, according to a document found with the former Iraqi leader when he was captured, Bush administration officials said Tuesday.

The document appears to be a directive, written after he lost power, from Mr. Hussein to leaders of the Iraqi resistance, counseling caution against getting too close to Islamic jihadists and other foreign Arabs coming into occupied Iraq, according to American officials.


2936. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 12:48:00 PM

You go hither and thither in your thinking more times than a person can keep track, but I know that at some points along the track you dug up, running between stands, you supported taking Saddam out.

Please. I supported the war on Iraq precisely because it became obvious that the US intended on an old-fashioned colonial-type exercise. I still support it for that reason, and still harbor optimism that the exercise will yield positive dividends.

However, I have simultaneously excoriated the Bushites for mendacity in its war apologia. And now I am outraged that they stick to the mendacious, clearly false, line of apologia. Plus they have added bullying to the arsenal of tricks, and loosed the worst kind of attack rats to try and shout down what should be a reasonable discussion of what happened, what has gone right, what has gone wrong, and where this country needs to go in Iraq.

It's shameful, and they are shameless.

2937. jexster - 1/14/2004 12:53:55 PM

The following is from Sy Hersh's May 2003 New Yorker piece about hou Cheney/Rummy/Wolfie/Feith cooked intelligence in order to play up war fears...

But the facts were reported months earlier as I recall in an article in Newsweek that was prompted by UNMOVIC reports that were showing each discrete allegation provided by the US were not true...

In August, 1995, General Hussein Kamel, who was in charge of Iraq’s weapons program, defected to Jordan, with his brother, Colonel Saddam Kamel. They brought with them crates of documents containing detailed information about Iraqi efforts to develop weapons of mass destruction—much of which was unknown to the U.N. inspection teams that had been on the job since 1991—and were interviewed at length by the U.N. inspectors. In 1996, Saddam Hussein lured the brothers back with a promise of forgiveness, and then had them killed. The Kamels’ information became a major element in the Bush Administration’s campaign to convince the public of the failure of the U.N. inspections.

2938. jexster - 1/14/2004 12:55:12 PM

Last October, in a speech in Cincinnati, the President cited the Kamel defections as the moment when Saddam’s regime “was forced to admit that it had produced more than thirty thousand liters of anthrax and other deadly biological agents. . . . This is a massive stockpile of biological weapons that has never been accounted for, and is capable of killing millions.” A couple of weeks earlier, Vice-President Cheney had declared that Hussein Kamel’s story “should serve as a reminder to all that we often learned more as the result of defections than we learned from the inspection regime itself.”

2939. jexster - 1/14/2004 12:56:14 PM

The full record of Hussein Kamel’s interview with the inspectors reveals, however, that he also said that Iraq’s stockpile of chemical and biological warheads, which were manufactured before the 1991 Gulf War, had been destroyed, in many cases in response to ongoing inspections. The interview, on August 22, 1995,was conducted by Rolf Ekeus, then the executive chairman of the U.N. inspection teams, and two of his senior associates—Nikita Smidovich and Maurizio Zifferaro. “You have an important role in Iraq,” Kamel said, according to the record, which was assembled from notes taken by Smidovich. “You should not underestimate yourself. You are very effective in Iraq.” When Smidovich noted that the U.N. teams had not found “any traces of destruction,” Kamel responded, “Yes, it was done before you came in.” He also said that Iraq had destroyed its arsenal of warheads. “We gave instructions not to produce chemical weapons,” Kamel explained later in the debriefing. “I don’t remember resumption of chemical-weapons production before the Gulf War. Maybe it was only minimal production and filling. . . . All chemical weapons were destroyed. I ordered destruction of all chemical weapons. All weapons—biological, chemical, missile, nuclear—were destroyed.”



2940. jexster - 1/14/2004 12:56:59 PM



".From the beginning of the war propaganda campaign in August 2002 facts began progressively to emerge in the public domain

By December there was ample publically available information to suppot the conclusio that Bush had built an artifice of lies and manipulation. And yes, there's no need to mince words, they "lied".

2941. jexster - 1/14/2004 1:03:22 PM

Why do you think Bush spent the last three months of the Congressoional session jsut past stonewalling the Senate Select Intelligence Committee?

Frontline's "Truth, War and Consequences" vividly portrays the dynamic of deceit that took hold.

2942. jexster - 1/14/2004 1:07:59 PM

Please. I supported the war on Iraq precisely because it became obvious that the US intended on an old-fashioned colonial-type exercise. I still support it for that reason, and still harbor optimism that the exercise will yield positive dividends.

Though I've belted you and flayed you,
By the livin' Gawd that made you,
You're a better man than I am, Gunga Din!

2943. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 1:18:01 PM

Yes, I cannot deny that Jexster's ceaseleess Gunga Dinning of me does have some aptness in this instance.

2944. jexster - 1/14/2004 1:26:07 PM

The American people need to konw that I will be making the decision (to go to war) based on the latest intelligence Kennebunk Golf Course August 2002


There is simply no doubt that Saddam Hussein now posesses weapnns of mass destruction Cheney 3-4 weeks later

Well we now are beginning to get some idea of what that "intelligence" really was. It is becoming increasingly clear with each leak, each tell all, each leak from disruntled DIA and CIA analysts, that the intelligence was uncertain and contradictory. It is becoming increasingly apparent that Cheney lied.

2945. jexster - 1/14/2004 1:30:25 PM

Marj, what would Ghandi say?

2946. jexster - 1/14/2004 1:32:58 PM

CAMP EDEN, Iraq - U.S. tests on mortar shells found in Iraq (news - web sites) and suspected of containing blister agents have turned up negative,

2947. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 1:37:24 PM

Jex--

You may have noticed that the combination of the slate probing liberal hawk discussion, the thoughtful Atlantic articles and interviews, and the return of PincherMartin to discuss the post-mortem might suggest a more nuanced discussion here as well. When people admit they've made mistakes in their assessments, and want to explore those mistakes, that's a good time to recognize that perhaps you too have made mistakes in your analysis, and try to consider a more nuanced view.

At least, I think such an approach would help this discussion and I'm hoping that you and concerned, in particular, can try to help us preserve that tone, for a while at least.

2948. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 1:38:16 PM

"have made" should have been "may have made."

Fuck you, Freud.

2949. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 1:49:59 PM

We cannot discount the fact that until last Saddam's minions behaved as if they had something to hide. We can also not discount the theory that they fabricated phony progress reports to milk the government for funds. So perhaps what they wanted to hide was that there was nothing to hide.

2950. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 1:53:40 PM

That's certainly a theory you would have expected an analyst to explore, as Alistair and I were saying last May. Likewise, it's easy to think up reasons for Saddam to want others to believe that he had these weapons.

2951. vonKreedon - 1/14/2004 1:55:02 PM

Jay - Absolutely right, unfortunately Jex appears to be completely incapable of such nuance. But he sure does post a lot!

2952. jexster - 1/14/2004 1:59:03 PM

I appreciate Pincher's visit, as always, but it wasn't HIS mistake to confess.

His "assessesments" were assessents of assessments of misleading information deliberately provided the public.

Pincher has nothing to be embarrassed about. Ken Pollack..he has no excuse and to think I had planned to skip his CYA Tour.

The Atlantic interview was every bit as pathetic as I had expected.

I hadn't planneed on reading it.

Damn you



2953. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:03:31 PM

How was it pathetic?

2954. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 2:10:32 PM

I see no reason for evryone on this site to self-flagellate.

For one thing, no one else here has been on an ideology-based toot. For another, where is the acknowledgement of the obvious fact that Cheney and gang have been outright lying despite knowing better - in the expectation that they will get away with it. Also, where is the acknowledgement that the attack rats have been using every desperate tactic possible (from faux-patriotism to scurrilous character assasination) to avoid fessing up to certain truths about this campaign in Iraq?

2955. vonKreedon - 1/14/2004 2:21:27 PM

For one thing, no one else here has been on an ideology-based toot.

I would disagree with this statement,; assuming that by "toot" you mean one who will take whatever position on the facts suits one's ideology or party. I think that all of us fit this description at one time or another. Self-congratulatory denial of this behavior only begets more of it from all sides.

2956. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:27:00 PM

No, Banks, I agree with you and jexster, that Cheney outright lied and continues to do so with every opportunity in a duplicitous and shamefully cynical attempt to retain power.

But we all know that I feel this way, that you feel this way, that jexster feels this way and that concerned thinks that there were wmd all along and it doesn't matter if nobody finds them because he knows they were there all along.

But this post-mortem is interesting and is also fairly nuanced. There was another massive intelligence failure wrt Iraq. It led to the provision of pretexts (imo) to an administration that hyped and exploited every bit of raw evidence of whatever provenance to provide a justification for rash, unnecessary action. How did this happen? Pollack was an insider through the key parts of this period, and he was fooled. He did not agree with the need for the invasion at that time, but could not see how one could not be avoided.

I voiced that question here a while ago--okay, so there are no wmd. Does that mean sanctions would have been in place indefinitely? The economy and the citizens were suffering, while Saddam was not. So this easily could become a question not of whether, but when and how.

Raising those questions would have certainly meant "later" as of the middle of 2002 as these plans were being put together and deployment begun. Any later, in my current view, would have endangered the election cycle. So they had to go in March, despite the collapse of their rationale.

2957. jexster - 1/14/2004 2:30:10 PM

Jay he spends at half of it making excuses for himself.

"Why eeryone in the intelligence community thought they had a WMD program..."

Well not Greg Thielman, not Paul O'Neill, not Scott Ritter, and if from readimg his public statements closely as I did, I believe that Blix wsa skeptical even before he first set foot in Iraq.

You have to read Pollack with a jaundiced and very critical eye. Its vital to understand his stake here. Pollack is an out of power, powercrat who works for an out of favor policy player. Washingon policy politics is his life. The Ken Pollacks of the world want to be power players. That book has left his ass hanging and his career with it.

You might recall that Josh Marshall ran a two part interview with him just before the war. I made much the same case to Marshall. We exchanged a few emails even. He is a policy whore..

2958. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 2:32:56 PM

And your point is?

2959. jexster - 1/14/2004 2:33:41 PM

I should add that Marshall thought I was harsh "crude" I think he put it. But Marshall never again ran a Ken Pollack item either.

2960. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:34:15 PM

Well not Greg Thielman, not Paul O'Neill, not Scott Ritter, and if from readimg his public statements closely as I did, I believe that Blix wsa skeptical even before he first set foot in Iraq.


When are you talking about? Just before the war, as I said, the case was falling apart. I agree that he's not gonna say anything nasty about anybody who could help him in the future, because he is sure to want a seat at the table again.

2961. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:35:52 PM

His point, Pelle, is that Pollack provides the desired product to the people in power, and is not an independent analyst searching for truth. And he's screwed the pooch big time here, and he's backing and filling might hard, trying to shed the "massive failure" label.

Right, Jex?

2962. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 2:41:04 PM

Kreedon.

Toot = binge.

I do deny that most of us here have been consciously arguing that black is white, when all evidence available suggests that it is not. I further defy you to find anyone here who has behaved in the shameful manner of the ApeofHades and his small baboon circle jerk, who not only argued contra all available evidence but launched incessant pathetic group attacks on perfectly reasonable adults, using every trick of the two-bit demagogue's arsenal. Now, proven wrong in every aspect of their arguments, we need a bit more than a guarded set of mild admissions.

Pincher Martin, the puffed-up and often ludicrous Friend of Tigers, is the most human face of this tired hack crew, admittedly. And this small set of concessions may be sign that he has found his head at last. But let's see. As the sage among us have been saying from the first, time will tell.

2963. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 2:41:38 PM

I got that but does it devaluate what he says?

2964. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 2:44:48 PM

What is there of any interest in what he said?

2965. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:48:22 PM

It means that he's not reporting facts on the ground, but providing the analyses sought by the policy makers. Or that he practices cya analysis to prevent from being caught out. In this case, it means that he was complicit in the movement of analysis from verbal information through physical corroboration to final report to a simple acceptance of incorrect human intelligence.

That the answer that they came up with was the desired answer, was not studded with caveats that there was no way to corroborate the information directly and was completely wrong leaves him (and everyone else involved in the business) in a bad position. He was wrong, and was politically correct. That looks like cooked intelligence.

Still, it's worth noting that they were much less wrong than the Rummy intelligence sausage factory.

I do think that the liberal hawks were irresponsible in not speaking out more forcefully in support of continued inspections. But they may have done so, and been drowned out by the media.

2966. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:51:19 PM

Banks-

The process by which it happened. One can read it as I'm interpreting jexster to read it, as just one more intelligence player feeding the desired answers to the national security apparatus.

Or you can read it as he presented it, everyone off on a tangent because they had no reliable information. In either case, it's a massive failure. I said a while ago--June maybe--that the reason the press wasn't exploring the question of whether there really just weren't any WMD was because it would have been such a devestating charge.

2967. marjoribanks - 1/14/2004 2:52:47 PM

Has Fareed Zakaria written into that Slate thing yet? I'd like to see what his hair-shirt looks like. Pretty damned skimpy, I'll bet, and that's quite fair enough because he was nuanced from the start.

2968. jexster - 1/14/2004 2:53:19 PM

I am going to make it personal so that I can make the point clear.

I did an analysis of homeleesness policies in San Francisco for a seminar. I gave the presentation which was like the paper itself was awesome, very powerful.

After a couple questions, I stated to sit down. The professor says "Well, John, my only comment is, that your analysis would have been powerful and convincing had you fully disclosed your interests here."

"HuH?"

"Well you work for Gavin Newsom don't you"

"uh..dudh no..I am just a schlocky volunteer"

But she was absolutely correct. One of the twenty odd policy recommendaations happened to support a Newsom initiative we know as "Care Not Cash". I had no contact whatsoever with anyone from the Newsom office, no assistance, and had not done any work of any kind at that point of a policy nature. Yet she was right. I should have disclosed my partisan connection so that the consumer could evaluate my arguments with full knowledge of what my stakes were or weren't.

That of cousre was just an exercise. Washington isn't. Yet that is exactly the sort of information that, by bitter experience, learned was crucial whenever any policy advocate came to my office to pitch legislation, when any think tank type or government "expert" tesitified before a committee, etc.

That clear?

2969. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:55:42 PM

Now if you want to take the jexster Pollack is a whore position more broadly, the press is also complicit in this. The liberal hawks are being given a chance to rehabilitate themselves when they were, in fact, completely wrong. They're getting this chance because it's all a little club up there in DC, and the usual suspects stay around, no matter what.

This is essentially the center of Krugman's criticism of political coverage, that the media is complicit in a series of kabuki theatrical productions.

2970. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 2:58:30 PM

It was just this issue that led to me to cancel my Foreign Policy and Foreign Affairs subscription after the fall of the Wall. All their writers on the subject of the Soviet Union were completely, inalterably, unmistakably, flat out, completely wrong.

And they kept on getting published in the magazines.

2971. jexster - 1/14/2004 2:59:15 PM

Yea you got it Jay...everyone wants to have influence. Some are better at detaching but its particularly difficult when the stakes are THAT high and the war drums are beating that loudly.

CSIS and CEIP turned out highly credible stuff. CEIP had the WMD angle nailed early on while CSIS sniffed out the nuke crap and shredded post war planning weeks before the first shot was fired.

2972. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 3:00:26 PM

No, no Zakaria yet. Lots of column inches, though.

2973. jexster - 1/14/2004 3:03:26 PM

Hell yes they are. A day didn't pass that I didn't read the Guardian and the Finanical Times for Iraq stories. Sometimes I even used Lexis to get foreign sources and during the war, when that purported GRU daily intel brief frm Baghdad appeared, I was on it like a fly on shit.

Bush hatred obsessive compulsive disorder..no known cure

2974. jexster - 1/14/2004 3:20:16 PM

Another timely on topic post!

From Defense and the National Interest - that site where Pentagon and Langley renegade analysts vent their rage at Ruummy and his OSP intel bakers, and other defense scam artists..

The attached CBS news report says that tonight's edition of "60 Minutes" will include a segment where former treasury secretary Paul O'Neill (who was fired by President Bush because of his opposition to tax cuts) alleges that the decision to remove Saddam Hussein via a preemptive war was made well before the 9/11 terrorist attacks [on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon] traumatized our nation's people and the popular press into accepting a nation ruled by the politics of fear.

I asked my good friend Doctor Werther, a frequent contributor to these Comments (see Comment #s 494, 492, 466, 458,453, 441, and 419), for a brief memorandum describing his assessment of O'Neill's stunning allegation. What follows is that memorandum:

Werther Memorandum: 9-11: An American Reichstag Fire?

"The State is not force alone. It depends upon the credulity of man quite as much as upon his docility. Its aim is not merely to make him obey, but also to make him want to obey." — H. L. Mencken Minority Report: H. L. Mencken's Notebooks (New York: Knopf. 1956). p. 217.

Former Secretary of the Treasury Paul O'Neill has provided a significant corrective to the naive — or disingenuous — assertion that 9/11 was a catalyzing event which wrenched the Bush administration from its alleged intention to follow a "humble" foreign policy. Instead, there is an accumulating body of evidence that 9/11 was a suspiciously useful pretext (like the Reichstag fire) rather than a bolt from the blue that "changed everything."



2975. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 3:23:28 PM

The Iraq liberation Act of 1998 makes for interesting reading.

My favorite sections:

SEC. 8. RULE OF CONSTRUCTION.

Nothing in this Act shall be construed to authorize or otherwise speak to the use of United States Armed Forces (except as provided in section 4(a)(2)) in carrying out this Act.

[Sec 4]
(2) MILITARY ASSISTANCE

(A) The President is authorized to direct the drawdown of defense articles from the stocks of the Department of Defense, defense services of the Department of Defense, and military education and training for such organizations.

(B) The aggregate value (as defined in section 644(m) of the Foreign Assistance Act of 1961) of assistance provided under this paragraph may not exceed $97,000,000.




Pretty much the same thing as the Bush administration is doing, right? 97 million total versus a billion a week. 'bout the same.

2976. PelleNilsson - 1/14/2004 3:30:06 PM

Well, I'm on the verge of losing interest again. I thought the Pollock interview provided some valuable insights into how the intelligence bureaucracy works and why the results were so disastrously wrong. jay seems to think that I'm some country hick who has to have things explained in excruciating detail. Of course Pollock has an agenda. Of course he is tendentious. But if you strip away that, there are still things of interest. If jay had half the experience I have of high-level office politics he could count himself lucky.

2977. jexster - 1/14/2004 3:31:05 PM

They tred to pull that one in aarly 2002 ie that Congress had already authorized an invasion. Somehow our spineless Democratic "leaders" pitched enough of a bitch...for all the good it did.

Now they're trotting out that canard again..why I asked Al whether he knew what that nothing of an enactment really provided.

2978. jexster - 1/14/2004 3:34:13 PM

It wasn't worthless, especially the first half. It when the CYA bit started that my hackles got my dander up.

The Greg Thielman interview for Frontline is pretty revealing as well on a personal level I mean.

Thielman was that State department intel analyst who resigned in September 2002

2979. jexster - 1/14/2004 4:14:14 PM

Final item...one you'll find linked as a Relatec Comment in the Werther morandum...an article on the prospects of "Debray disintegraton" ...

Watch the Shiites...watch em..

The Specter of Sectarian and Ethnic Unrest in Iraq Nicholas Blanford January 7, 2004

(Nicholas Blanford is a Beirut-based journalist. He recently spent a month reporting from Iraq.)

The main reason for Shiite magnanimity toward the occupation forces is the expectation that they will reap the rewards in the new Iraq by virtue of their superior numbers. Indeed, it is only the powerful Shiite clergy that is keeping the community in check. The average Iraqi Shiite has as little regard for his occupiers as his Sunni countrymen. It would be a serious mistake to assume that Shiite quiescence is a sign of approval for the occupation. "Patience has its limits and we are waiting because we are tired of seeing tanks and soldiers and listening to the sounds of explosions," Sheikh al-Awadi said. "The existence of the Islamic clerics exerts a spiritual control over the people. If these people were released, there is no one that could stop them. The wisdom of the hawza [the highest institute of Shia religious learning] is holding the people back."

2980. jexster - 1/14/2004 4:14:24 PM

Shiite political ambitions are on a collision course with Sunni Arab fears of being left out. If the Shiites fail to receive what they feel is their due and if the poor state of basic services is not drastically improved, there is a very real risk of a Shiite resistance emerging. That would effectively sound the death knell of the foreign military presence in Iraq. While the current insurgency may be fragmented and ad hoc, the well-organized Shiite groups -- some of which were trained by the Iranian military and have combat experience -- would make the occupation untenable. Yet an Iraq in which the Shiites have a greater say than the Sunnis will feed the latter's fears of isolation and possible persecution, undermining any motivation to cooperate with the new order.

2981. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 9:22:28 PM

pelle,

Please forgive me, and don't mistake my views for my trying to provide an exegisis of jexster's views.

I do agree, completely, that the Pollock interview provided some valuable insights into how the intelligence bureaucracy works and why the results were so disastrously wrong.

But I do also think that jexster's points represent a useful insight into the motivations of people like Pollack. The idea that the Pollack commentary may not be policy oriented, but career oriented is a worthwhile caveat.

And if you want to accuse anybody of naivete on this score, I should be first in line. Like Lily Tomlin said, I try to be cynical, but it is hard to keep up.

2982. jexster - 1/14/2004 10:31:23 PM

I conceded did I that anger blinded me to the "insights", partially and skewed though they are, especially those found in the first half or so of the interview. It is the sweeping exculpatory statements that made me see red not the least of which was his claim to initimate knowlege of the Kamel Hussein "disclosures" and to unanimity in the intelligence community, a unanimity that he gingerly but clearly discredits in the first part.


CYA...you could learn more from Sy Hersh and Greg Thielman and now Paul O'Neill.

But we have more serious concerns than Pollack's power lusts...

White House rethinks Iraq plan

Objections by the Shias' religious leader and the Kurds throw Washington's vital 'smooth transition' plan into confusion


Turkey Warns Kurds Against Breakup of Iraq
Kurd Leader Remains Defiant
"Within a federal Iraq, there will be a region called Kurdistan. And Kirkuk is part of Kurdistan. It is part of our history and identity."

2983. Al D - 1/14/2004 10:35:17 PM

Marj, what would Ghandi say?


"I never over charged for gas when I ran the station in St. Louis."


What were the alternatives to invading and ridding the world of Saddam? Let us agree, arguendo, as Ace like to say, that the inspectors would have eventually certified that Iraq had no WMD. Keep in mind that inspectors would not even have been in Iraq without troops massed on their border.


Would there have been any reason to keep sanctions on, wouldn't Europe have insisted they be lifted. How long would it have taked Saddam to re-start his weapons program? Are you all convinced he had no wish for a nuclear weapon? Could he have purchased a few for Korea, or Pakistan, especially if Musharrif is deposed?


And to oppose what Bush has done, isn't it necessary to insist that to remove a tyranical dictator is not an option except for those under his heal?


One can continualy harp on the Bush administration for the invasion of Iraq; let us not forget it was Congress in 1998 that asked for regime change and Congress that authorized Bush's action.

2984. Al D - 1/14/2004 10:36:28 PM

I have enjoyed the discussion above and also the discussion on Slate.

2985. jayackroyd - 1/14/2004 10:48:25 PM

What were the alternatives to invading and ridding the world of Saddam? Let us agree, arguendo, as Ace like to say, that the inspectors would have eventually certified that Iraq had no WMD.

That is the central point of dispute. It's not a question of whether removing him was in the best interests of the world. It was when, and how. The administration chose a unilateral occupation in March based on false pretexts. There were alternatives. The administration chose to slough them off as nonsense, and bet the farm on candy and flowers.

This, in my opinion, was a serious foreign policy error, and a serious abrogation of the president's responsibility to the American people.

IMO, the latter would not be so, had he pulled it off. Had he the vision, the resources and a plan to lead a movement to create a democratic, capitalist pro American state in Iraq, then I'd forgive him his methods. And maybe I'll change my mind. Time will tell. But I said in March that I strongly doubted this administration's ability to manage the aftermath, and, so far, I've been proven correct.

The deadline doesn't help. It makes it look all the more like cynical electoral politics, rather than the commitment to any ideals.

2986. Al D - 1/14/2004 10:59:15 PM

For anyone to claim that it's not about politics is either naive or stupid. I don't believe Bush went into the war for political gain, but I grant he may try to get out for political gain. However, we really won't be leaving Iraq in June, just putting the Iraqies in charge. Isn't this what his critics want?


Now it is quite easy and glib to say he should have done it differently. Perhaps he should have followed the Bay of Pigs plan, which, by the way, was suggested by some of the so called neo-cons. Now if you can tell me in specifics what should have been done to remove Saddam, please do. It it makes sense to me, I will show you my appreciation.

2987. jexster - 1/14/2004 11:03:36 PM

No it was not necessary for the protection of US interest to remove Saddam Hussein by an aggressive war that has cost this country far more in blood, in treasure, in respect, and in influence than it was worth to this country.

And don't kid yourselves, aside from the fact that Bush explicitly stated that Saddam would not be removed if he came clean (which he had some 8 years earlier), this was never about Saddam nor was it about WMD.

What it was about, what drove them, was a hairbrained theory of a small cadre of marginalized intellectuals that (a) we could install a democratic government - build a wholly foreign polity, and create sufficient stability with indigenous resources so quickly that by the end of last year we would only have 30,000 troops in country. Then as the fantasy goes, the people of the Middle East would the great glories of our Made in USA nation and Little Americas would sprout like the crocus in the winter desert.


In fact, the Administration only began to push the Iraqi Liberation line with any vigor at precisely the point they could no longer sustain the "Imminent Threat" lie.

There were means short of massive invasion and decimation of Iraqi civil government by which we could have toppled the John Gotti of the Tigris and without question, before we even set foot on Iraqi soil, it was clear to Bush et al (if not it was certainly clear to me and countless others) that inspections would likely find nothing.

This is not a question of humanitarian love for the Iraqi people. It never was.

It is a question of irresponsible leadership that used the War Against Al Qaeda as a ruse and in the process compromised what should have been an unrelenting focus on bringing those responsible to justice.

2988. jexster - 1/14/2004 11:09:11 PM

There is a scene in Truth War that says it all. These neocon nuts were so far gone in their infatuation with Chalabi (George Washington of Iraq!) and his INC crowd that they dressed Ahmed in Kafiyeh and robes for his grand entry into Baghdad until intelligence reported that the people would probably shoot him..

The actual footage can be viewed on line part #6 I think.

2989. jexster - 1/14/2004 11:19:56 PM

Blind and deaf is an apt description of these "leaders" of ours.

CSIS wrote two lengthy reports on deficiencies and wishful thinking in the invasion/occupation plan before the first shot.

The Army War College circulated this gem in February, and yet the Bushies spurned any serious effort at assembling a genuine coalition and continue to...

We didn't hear this from the Adminstration did we???

Long-term gratitude is unlikely and suspicion of U.S. motives will increase as the occupation continues. A force initially viewed as liberators can rapidly be relegated to the status of invaders should an unwelcome occupation continue for a prolonged time. Occupation problems may be especially acute if the United States must implement the bulk of the occupation itself rather than turn these duties over to a postwar international force.

They didn't have to be clairvoyants to come up with that on their own. It was in Rummy's in-box if they were to blind and dear to figure it out by themselves.

2990. concerned - 1/15/2004 3:56:56 AM

From the Gulf News:

'Saudi teenager survey findings are shocking'


Thursday, January 15, 2004

The findings of a survey of Saudi teenagers' attitudes toward the sweeping reforms sought by the Kingdom, published in the London-based Asharq Al Awsat, has been criticised by the English daily Arab News on Tuesday.

The results of the survey, which was based on 10 male-only high school classes, "were shocking, puzzling and an accurate indication of what has developed here over the last 20 years", wrote Abeer Mishkhas.

"For the most part, the answers - not surprisingly - reflected an obsession with women, in how they should be treated and their roles in society.

"One of the students made a surprising statement: he thought there should be a prison for women who do not follow society's customs; in other words, he felt that women who do not cover their faces or who wear form-fitting abayas should perhaps serve two weeks in prison," she wrote.

"Another student suggested that women's morals should be carefully checked. How I wonder? And what about men's? And he regretted that women blindly follow Western fashions and trends. I wonder what he thinks about the jean-clad, baseball-cap wearing young men who are all over Jeddah."

She lauded the remarks of one respondent, however, who supported the right of women to drive.

"If women were allowed to ride camels and horses in the past, then how can we prevent them from driving cars today? If each one of us reminded himself that his mother or sister was driving on the same road, maybe we would come to respect other women a little more than we do," Hamad told Asharq Al Awsat.

2991. concerned - 1/15/2004 3:57:29 AM

Other respondents, such as one called Rami, felt that there should be increased segregation of men and women in shopping centres and that this should be done by having different shopping hours for women and men. One 16-year-old called Adel suggested that young men under 25 should not be allowed to travel outside the country lest they be corrupted.

"Does he think that Saudi men only travel abroad to do what they cannot do here in the kingdom?" asked Abeer. Some of the respondents reflected a certain dislike and intolerance for non-Muslims.

"A general look at these opinions shows us what our society suffers from, a fear of the outside world and its effects. Another problem is the obsession with women as objects that have to be controlled all the time," remarked Abeer.

"These are all genuine feelings and comments but there were others who expressed the need for openness, for broadening perceptions and perspectives and beautifying the environment."


The idea of women as chattel is alive and well in the heart of Wahhabi Land. And these are the people who jexster, in effect, keeps standing up for.

2992. concerned - 1/15/2004 10:46:18 AM

US to begin drawdown in Iraq

50,000 sounds close to the number of US personnel that the US probably is intending to pull out of Germany.


2993. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:15:15 AM

Tens of Thousands Take to Streets to Demand End Of Occupation Puppet Regime and Shiite Democracy

Your Emperor little fuck isn't he.


We already knew that my little brown bros...Maybe we go crawfishin together and get each of National Buttholes behind bars for their crimes.

2994. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:17:42 AM

Our National Butthole

2995. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:26:35 AM



Now who in the name of Allah is the bearded fella he pointin too?

The average Iraqi Shiite has as little regard for his occupiers as his Sunni countrymen. It would be a serious mistake to assume that Shiite quiescence is a sign of approval for the occupation

The Deaf, the Blind, and Dead Brain Walkin...right into a tar pit

2996. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:27:57 AM

Allahu Akbar TD cause we gonna need Him

2997. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:33:47 AM

I fond this article pretty remarkable. Peter Beinhart is neojacobin-likootie-in-residence at the New Republic and Peter was no small measure responsible for the magazine's frothing support of this horrible mess.

He made a proposal for Democrats in the latest issue - hey send some troops into Pakistan and finish off AlQ and the Talibees (nice idea, Clark has just proposed a joint US/Nato strike force for just such a purpose). But we don't have the troop, their in Eyerak dodging RPG's...

But that wasn't the interesting point. The interesting thing and I think horribly damning admission is that Iraq had nothing to do with dangers to the US but rather was a cynical manipulation of US public's desire for revenge...something I have said since November 2001..

2998. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 11:36:28 AM

Now if you can tell me in specifics what should have been done to remove Saddam, please do. It it makes sense to me, I will show you my appreciation.


He should have followed through on Blix's proposed six month inspection plan, and used that time period to put pressure on the security council to set an ultimatum, enforced by an international coalition, to step down or be thrown out.

But even in plan he followed--to create pretexts that he could sell domestically for unilateral action--he should have recognized that the aftermath was going to be very difficult, and planned for it. The Fallows article in the Atlantic, like other pieces that have been published, is very damning. There were people planning for the aftermath. There was information available, material prepared, involvement of agencies who had dealt with this kind of thing before.

They were not allowed in the room. That's an appalling failure.

2999. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:43:46 AM

Peter Beinart better watch it. Some folks might start talkin about the International Licootie Conspiracy..

All along, the Bush administration has understood that, while making an empirical connection between Saddam and the September 11 attacks is hard, making an emotional connection is easy. Ever since the World Trade Center fell, Americans have yearned to teach our enemies a lesson, a yearning not nearly sated by the overthrow of the hapless Taliban. Saddam has been public enemy number one since 1990, a decade before most Americans knew who Osama bin Laden was. And, by placing him at the center of its war on terrorism, the Bush administration made him bin Laden's thematic twin, their ideological differences notwithstanding. So, emotionally at least, when American troops dragged a humiliated Saddam from his lair, they were avenging America's humiliation on September 11

3000. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:46:03 AM



Bosom Buddies


Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage has allegedly been breaking bread with the former Taliban foreign minister. Is this the administration's new strategy for winning the peace in Afghanistan?

3001. vonKreedon - 1/15/2004 11:48:10 AM

In Message # 2983, Al D asks several compelling questions:

What were the alternatives to invading and ridding the world of Saddam?
...
Would there have been any reason to keep sanctions on, wouldn't Europe have insisted they be lifted. How long would it have taked Saddam to re-start his weapons program?

The alternative was to let the inspection process continue and to work with the UN to ensure that, should Saddam continue and increase his cooperation AND that no WMDs were found, that there would be continued inspections going forward to ensure that Saddam did not then re-start WMD programs. I believe that, had we worked with the UN instead of bullying it, France et al would have been very willing to agree to lifting most of the sanctions, but institute specific anti-WMD sanctions and inspections.

Of course, this continues to leave us with the problem of Saddam trying to circumvent these structures, and it leaves Saddam in power over the Iraqi people. However, it would have allowed the US to focus more effective on actually combatting terrorist organizations and dealing with other more imminent threats. It also would have not so completely squandered the international good will that was directed toward the US post-9/11. Further, this course would have strengthed the UN, which is or is not a good thing depending on ones views on global constraints on state power.
(Cont.)

3002. vonKreedon - 1/15/2004 11:48:20 AM

Could he have purchased a few [Nukes] for Korea, or Pakistan, especially if Musharrif is deposed?

The fate of Musharref should be a central focus of our anti-terror/anti-WMD policy, and I'm afraid that it is not. Pakistan is a far more immenent threat to provide al Qaeda with nukes than any other country. Unlike Iraq, Pakistan actually has nukes. Should Musharref fall and be replaced either by a radical Islamist government, or by NO effective governmen, then all bets are off on the security of Pakistan's warheads. This is another reason for us to have exercised much more restraint and concensus building that we did.

And to oppose what Bush has done, isn't it necessary to insist that to remove a tyranical dictator is not an option except for those under his heal?

In essence my answer is yes. As long as our global diplomatic system is based upon the sovereignty of nations, then we have assume that nations have the governments they deserve. This of course does not mean that we cannot or should not support those who oppose the government, but it is not our job to impose a different government.

No government can rule for long without the tacit cooperation of the majority of its citizens. Saddam and Hitler, as terrible as they were, did not rule by force alone, but rather were seen as the legitimate ruler by the majority in their country. Now, wrt to Saddam there is evidence that this may have changed or been changing in the final years of his regime. We should have supported the opposition, not imposed a solution.

3003. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 11:50:15 AM

2992

What's the 50,000 number about in your post? in the article, it's a projection for what sounds like the permanent occupation force.

The drawdown is 9000 from the north, which actually had political infrastructure in place, due to the enforcement of the no-fly zones. This is not to minimize the success in the north, which has been widely reported, but it was an easier problem. The bigger problem is going to be explaining to the Kurds why their stable, semi-autonomous state needs to be placed under the authority of a US appointed oligarchy, so that Bush can declare "mission accomplished" in New York in September.

3004. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 11:54:41 AM

vK

So you think a permanent regime of sanctions would have been sustainable?

I don't think that's clear. The sanctions, although weakened by the oil for food program, were causing significant distress for the population, and were not causing any distress for Saddam. Pollack argues that before the oil for food program, Saddam was at risk of a coup (which speaks to your view that there is always something the idea that you get the government you're willing to tolerate), but that afterwards, the privations were not enough to drive him out of power.


3005. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 11:57:20 AM

Al

One can continualy harp on the Bush administration for the invasion of Iraq; let us not forget it was Congress in 1998 that asked for regime change

Stop watching Fox and read the bill, Al. It's linked in post 2975.

3006. vonKreedon - 1/15/2004 12:01:02 PM

The 1998 bill was very much in the vein of supporting the Iraqis in effecting regime change, rather than the Bush action of imposing regime change.

3007. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 12:03:30 PM

Or in the event of. That's why I posted the bill. Distorting that bill was the wingnut^H^H^H^H^H^H^H administration message of the week, in response, I believe, to the O'Neill book.

And it worked. Boom. Al's on message, without having been in on the conference calls.

3008. jexster - 1/15/2004 12:12:08 PM



Up to 30,000 Iraqis join pro-democracy protest
January 15, Audio: Washington may have to rethink its plans for Iraq after a show of support for the Shias' religious leader Ayatollah al-Sistani, reports Rory McCarthy from Baghdad.

3009. robertjayb - 1/15/2004 12:43:38 PM

Two fine pieces from Riverbend...Read all...

On Wednesday our darling Iraqi Puppet Council decided that secular Iraqi family law would no longer be secular- it is now going to be according to Islamic Shari'a. Shari'a is Islamic law, whether from the Quran or quotes of the Prophet or interpretations of modern Islamic law by clerics and people who have dedicated their lives to studying Islam.
.................................
This latest decision is going to be catastrophic for females- we're going backwards.
.................................
.................................
People are asking what the reaction is to the claims of the former American treasurer about Bush planning regime-change before September 11. Why is that such a shock to Americans? I haven't met a single Iraqi who thinks Iraq had ANYTHING to do with September 11. The claims were ridiculous and so blatantly contrived that it was embarrassing to see people actually believed them.

I sometimes wonder how the American people feel. After these last two wars with Afghanistan and Iraq, do the American people feel any safer? We watch the 'terror alerts' announced on television- politicians with somber faces and dramatic pauses alerting the population that at any minute, there might be an explosion or an attack.

3010. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 1:15:00 PM

Zakaria has spoken in the slate discussion group.

3011. PelleNilsson - 1/15/2004 1:24:03 PM

Now we are discussing alternative ways of getting rid of Saddam, but why? The question is highly academic. I supported the war because it would achieve that purpose but certainly Bush's major (overt) motive for the war was to get rid of Saddam, the threat to the US, not Saddam, the oppressor of the Iraqis. In fact I think the wet dream of the planners was that Saddam would capitulate in situ continuing to run Iraq while giving the US free access to the scientists and technocrats.

So, if Bush had been convinced there were no WMD the question of removing Saddam for the benefit of the Iraqis would never have been on the agenda in the first place.

3012. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 1:40:06 PM

No, it is clear at this point that wmd was not a motivating reason for the administration. It is not clear what was, and of course different players have different motives. With this group (visualizing the Rumsfeld/Saddam handshake) I'm sure that the issue was not humanitarian concerns.

I personally believe that the compelling issue was the need to find a stable mid-east military and political base to replace the shaky Saudi base.

Alternatively, it was a very audacious attempt to do what the president has said a few times--to implement the neo-con wet dream of democratic dominoes in the mid-east.

Neither of these two reasons would have drawn the support of the American people. It's not clear that they were in the least bit realistic, either. Time will tell on that, and so far has not been telling a very good story. And I'll continue to claim that one reason the aftermath is going so badly is the decision to proceed unilaterally.

Mind you, if they pull it off, it would be an extraordinary achievement. Establishing a federal state with an essentially secular constitution with a representative government would be a very powerful result, even more than the acceptance of Turkey into the EU (which is also something profoundly to be hoped for).

But these clowns don't stand a chance, especially given how deeply politically motivated this group is. All that matters--more than the lives of the soldiers, the lives of the Iraqis, the future of Iraqi children or any other schmaltzy thing I could think up--is being able to stand up in NYC in September and proclaim the freedom of the Iraqi people and the newfound security of the American people.

3013. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 1:41:55 PM

Oh, I left out Rove's reason, which Dantes outlined before he left--that war is a win-win proposition for the republicans. If it goes well, they should be rewarded for their prowess. If it goes poorly, you can't trust those wuss democrats to stay the course. (The latter argument has already been voiced a few times.)

3014. jexster - 1/15/2004 1:59:13 PM

This Means War

Edward Kennedy yesterday gave a rousing speech against the war:

"By far the most extreme and most dire example of this Administration's reckless pursuit of its single-minded ideology is in foreign policy. In its arrogant disrespect for the United Nations and for other peoples in other lands, this Administration and this Congress have squandered the immense goodwill that other nations extended to our country after the terrorist attacks of September 11. And in the process, they made America a lesser and a less respected land. Nowhere is the danger to our country and to our founding ideals more evident than in the decision to go to war in Iraq."

3015. jexster - 1/15/2004 2:02:26 PM

So much for Rove's "genius"..better watch out what he asks for, cause he's gonna get it

3016. jayackroyd - 1/15/2004 2:21:53 PM

the response to that is quick and easy. "I'm proud to be president of the united states where the senator can express opinions like the ones he expressed. It's because of my commitment to freedom for all people, even those who may disagree with me, that I believe that I am the most qualified candidate to stay the course for the future of the Iraqi people and to provide Americans protection from terror."

Win win.

3017. marjoribanks - 1/15/2004 4:14:54 PM

Thanks for the link to Zakaria's piece, Jay.

I'm pretty strongly in his camp, and phrased my support for the war (before it began) almost exactly as he does in his last line:

If we hadn't tried, we can be sure that it would not succeed and nothing would change.

It was/is one good shot at rectifying some of the horrible cycle that the ME is in. It should be part of other moves - the opportunity was and still is historic.

3018. Al D - 1/15/2004 8:17:40 PM

In essence my answer is yes. As long as our global diplomatic system is based upon the sovereignty of nations, then we have assume that nations have the governments they deserve. This of course does not mean that we cannot or should not support those who oppose the government, but it is not our job to impose a different government.
To be quite honest, I agree. This was my position before inspectors went into Iraq. We might all be glad that Saddam is gone, but to invade a country to chance a government is a dangerous precedent. I probably put most of my thoughts on this over on TPW. But after doing far more reading on Islamic Fundamentalism and Arabs in general, I am nmore confused than ever on what is the correct policy. If a threat came from a specific country, the solution would be easier, but it is from a percentage of individuals in many different countries. And that problem can only be solved, if at all, within those countries.


Bush is criticised often for a failure of leadership in not getting some countries to go along with our policy. But this is more a failure of leadership within those countries; perhaps this is because they have a large muslim population. Whatever, it should be obvious to them that we, for their sake as much as ours, cannot afford to fail in Iraq, but because most of their citizens are anti-American policy, they do nothing.

3019. vonKreedon - 1/15/2004 8:27:03 PM

Al - I agree that other countries also suffered a failure of leadership. France could have been much soother and negotiated for a UN led coercive inspection regime, and potentially the UN would have been strengthened, Iraqi WMD potential would have been held in check, AND Saddam deposed.

But I don't live in France, so my thoughts and commentary tend to focus on the policies for which I bear collective responsibility.

3020. vonKreedon - 1/15/2004 8:28:01 PM

Ooop - ...soother... = smoother

3021. vonKreedon - 1/15/2004 8:35:54 PM

I missed Jay's Message # 3004
So you think a permanent regime of sanctions would have been sustainable

Certainly not the sledgehammer sanctions that were initially imposed, but a very specific and strict regime yes. Remember I am assuming that coercive inspections are occurring and have found nothing for many months before the UN implementation of such a sanction regimen.

3022. wonkers2 - 1/15/2004 8:52:05 PM

We sustained a regime of containment and deterrance against the USSR for 50 years or so. What's the problem with a little pissant country like Iraq?

3023. Al D - 1/15/2004 9:07:39 PM

wonkers2
While you are correct in one sense, it is too much of a simplification. You and others seem to totally reject the possibility of a nation using groups outside national status to further their ends. If we were sure that UBL was led, fionanced, and directed by Saudi Arabia, not an impossibility, we could take action against them to end forever his group. If the attacks come from groups such as Hamas, Islamic Jihad, Hizbollah, the Muslim Brotherhood, etc., who do we go after? Iran, Egypt, Syria? The threat we face today is more insane that even Stalin was, and Khrushchev and those who followed him were totally rational compared to the nuts out there today. U.S.S.R had something to gain. Terrorists have only destruction in mind.

3024. wonkers2 - 1/15/2004 9:11:46 PM

True enough, but the situation doesn't lend itself to military solutions. International cooperation, better intelligence increased security precautions and more foreign aid and trade are needed.

3025. wonkers2 - 1/15/2004 9:13:45 PM

And development of more effective international institutions to promote disarmament, economic development, democracy, labor rights, health care, etc.

3026. jexster - 1/15/2004 9:27:43 PM

Gen Wesley Clark on the Reckless Use of Military Power
CLARK: I would simply observe that in 1973, a few years after you and I were out of college, I was in the Pentagon for a summer as an intern and I wrote a paper on the
possibility of someday deploying U.S. forces to the Persian Gulf and I was warned by an old colonel at the time. He said: "Captain, if you write a paper like that, that
Senator Fulbright is going to have you over testifying before the Congress and us too and we're all going to get fired," and there were no U.S. forces in that region in
1973.

Since then, we've encouraged Saddam Hussein and supported him as he attacked against Iran in an effort to prevent Iranian destabilization of the Gulf. That came back and bit us when Saddam Hussein then moved against Kuwait. We encouraged the Saudis and the Pakistanis to work with the Afghans and build an army of God, the mujahaddin, to oppose the Soviets in Afghanistan. Now we have released tens of
thousands of these Holy warriors, some of whom have turned against us and formedAl Qaida.

My French friends constantly remind me that these are problems that we had a hand in creating. So when it comes to creating another strategy, which is built around the
intrusion into the region by U.S. forces, all the warning signs should be flashing.

There are unintended consequences when force is used. Use it as a last resort. Use it multilaterally if you can. Use it unilaterally only if you must.

3027. jexster - 1/15/2004 9:39:24 PM

TD - With all this vK erudite discussion goin I didn't want you to think was ignoring you or your 235th Jex-You-Saddam-Lover post most especially.

A picture worth a thousand words...



Look at Those Two Smilin At Each Other - Love at First Sight!

3028. jexster - 1/15/2004 9:59:07 PM

ABC News Independently Confirms O'Neill Account of Bush pre-9/11 Iraq War Plans

3029. jexster - 1/15/2004 10:17:36 PM

O'Neill's Iraq allegations confirmed

While the White House has been eager to paint Paul O'Neill as a sore loser, and to some measure succeeded, this ABC News report confirms his claims that the plan to invade Iraq was in the works way before 9/11. ABC reports, " The official, who asked not to be identified, was present in the same National Security Council meetings as O'Neill immediately after Bush's inauguration in January and February of 2001. 'The president told his Pentagon officials to explore the military options, including use of ground forces,' the official told ABC News."

And that may explain Bush's latest half-admission that he indeed was for "regime change" from the beginning, but then describes his approach as similar to Clinton's policy.

3030. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:21:53 PM

Freedom of the Press - Bush League Style

PARIS - U.S. commanders bear "criminal" responsibility in the deaths of two reporters because they didn't tell troops firing from a tank at a Baghdad hotel that the building housed journalists — but the soldiers did not deliberately kill the journalists, a press freedom group said Thursday.

Reporters Without Borders demanded that the deaths of cameramen Jose Couso, of Spanish network Telecinco, and Taras Protsyuk, of Reuters, be investigated again.


The Pentagon (news - web sites) had no immediate comment on the report.


They were killed April 8 when a U.S. tank fired on the Palestine Hotel, which housed correspondents covering the U.S. invasion of Iraq (news - web sites). The U.S. military absolved American forces of wrongdoing, saying they fired in self-defense.

3031. jexster - 1/15/2004 11:25:05 PM

DEMOCRACY LIES
Here Come the Shiites


No flowers, no candy....

BASRA, Iraq - Shouting "no to America!" tens of thousands of Shiite Muslims took to the streets to protest a U.S.-backed formula for choosing Iraq (news - web sites)'s new legislature.


The protest came Thursday as an aide to Iraq's foremost Shiite cleric, Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Husseini al-Sistani, warned that he might issue a fatwa, or religious edict, rejecting a U.S.-backed government if his demands for direct elections are ignored.

3032. jexster - 1/16/2004 11:16:57 AM

Imperial Viceroy Scrambles to Save Plan for Puppet Regime from Democracy Demands

The Ayatollah says "Stay the Course"

3033. jexster - 1/16/2004 11:49:55 AM

The Imperium is baffled...what is it about "We want democracy you promised" that they don't understand?

I understand.

Liberation T. Dantes..he understood (RIP)

After weeks of quiet overtures and secret letters to Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, administration officials say they are baffled over exactly what he wants -- and even more confused about what it will take to get him to back off his demand for direct elections

Oh I know now...baffled...

They can't figure out how to CORRUPT democracy ... how much will it take to buy Sistani off.

Typical.

3034. jexster - 1/16/2004 11:51:07 AM

In Baghdad, clerics are circulating CDs of a sermon given by a local cleric and Sistani follower, Mohammed Yahya, in which he asked: "Does the occupation authority have the right to express the mission and high interests of the Iraqi people? This will mean that American policy will control and manage everything in the country. This will be very dangerous." In the sermon, Yahya insisted that a future constitution must specify Islam as the basis of Iraq's identity.

3035. jexster - 1/16/2004 11:52:16 AM

You get it Mr. Yahya ...

Bush lies, people die

3036. jexster - 1/16/2004 12:02:27 PM

If only the Republicans had read the Clark testimony in September 2002, and the Sludge Fiction in January 2004


Faced with Disintegration, Cheney Regime Begs UN Help to Salvage Puppet Government

3037. jexster - 1/16/2004 12:02:51 PM

and "not"

3038. PelleNilsson - 1/16/2004 12:06:10 PM

Please outline your ideas on

a)why Sistani makes those demands; and

b)how the mechanics of the transtion should be arranged.

3039. jexster - 1/16/2004 12:16:51 PM

Sistani is making his demands because he wants Shiite power.

And I think that the situtation is nearly intractable.

I am beginning to agree with Regis Debray, a viewpoint that frankly had never crossed my mind not even for a second until a month or so ago...Iraq is headed for disintegration and the longer we stay, the worse things will get

Therefore, I have to say that General Clark in 9/2002 and the Army War College in February 2003 were right - internationalize and withdraw substantial numbers of US combat forces before its too late.

And I fear it already is.

3040. jexster - 1/16/2004 12:18:36 PM

The Afghan model - heavy political reliance on the UN for the Constitution, though that state is perilously close to the edge as it is, is the best we can do now but insufficient.

3041. concerned - 1/16/2004 12:21:43 PM

I think that Sistani should be marginalized among Iraqis. Many Shiites consider ayatollahs, imams and their ilk as little better than parasites, anyway.

3042. jexster - 1/16/2004 12:22:19 PM

One more thing....

The White House Muppeteer in charge of Democratic Revolution...shut your pie hole quick

Another thing...

Find a strong man.

3043. vonKreedon - 1/16/2004 12:55:21 PM

Con - Can you provide evidence to support your contention that "Many Shiites consider ayatollahs, imams and their ilk as little better than parasites"? It does not appear that way from what I have seen. And if instead of many only some regard the Imams et al this way, how would you suggest we go about marginalizing these people? Seems like a dangerours tactic to attempt as it could well simply antagonize the Shia community and solidify support for the Imams et al.

3044. Magoseph - 1/16/2004 1:43:29 PM

U.S. Joins Iraqis to Seek U.N. Role in Interim Rule"

As it begins to reach out for help, and as European nations indicate that they may provide some, the administration is also considering reversing itself and allowing businesses in countries that opposed the war, including France, Germany and Russia, to bid on contracts to rebuild Iraq, officials said.

The Bush internal polls must have fallen apart for them to enrage that large segment of their base which is composed of die-hard UN haters. This will make for interesting watching.

3045. PelleNilsson - 1/16/2004 3:01:08 PM

Sistani is making his demands because he wants Shiite power.

Yes, but Shiite as in religion, not as in people. Contrary to what concerned claims, Sistani has a big following. In a popular vote the candidates he endorses will have a big advantage. In the caucus option, by contrast, the proceedings will be dominated by "notables", i.e. tribal leaders and merchant families who are less concerned about religious issues.

I think a popular vote is dangerous at this stage and at any stage in the near future. I said a year ago that the best that can be hoped for is a pseudo-democracy based on traditional power structures and I have seen nothing that would make me change my view.

3046. jayackroyd - 1/16/2004 3:26:19 PM

The standard nation building route is building democratic institutions in concentric circles. First local councils. Then regional authorities. Then provincial government. And then national government.

But this kind of thing can't be done in time for the republican convention. So we are sure to get something half-assed.

3047. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:35:12 PM

Re. 3045 -

I didn't 'say' what Pelle claims to refute. What I posted is that many Shiites think that Imams and Ayatollahs are parasites. For one thing, due to the less than organized nature of Islam, any Muslim who gains a sufficient following can claim to be an Imam with special authority in interpreting the Koran and Hadiths, even though Shiism recognizes only one such valid interpretation. Thus we have a recipe for a Islamic equivalent in some aspects to the self promoting Christian evangelists who have been so derided in the US, but since there is little tendency in Islam to separate the secular and religious spheres, a great deal of internecine religious (and actual) warfare is characteristic among the cults representing the competing Imams and even Ayatollahs who tend to grasp at political power.

To such an extent that rational thought is practicable in such an environment, these religious 'leaders' are often held in contempt, resented and hated among the populace. However, it should be obvious that it is not safe in nations where these religious despots have the upper hand for such feelings to be publicly expressed.

3048. vonKreedon - 1/16/2004 3:38:57 PM

Con - Again, can you cite the basis for your claim that many Shia's hold their Imams etc in contempt?

3049. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:39:45 PM

vK -

I just did.

3050. vonKreedon - 1/16/2004 3:42:18 PM

I see you posting that this is so, but I don't see a citation to a reputable source backing up this assertion. Am I missing something?

3051. PelleNilsson - 1/16/2004 3:45:49 PM

Concerned's observations on Islam is worth less than nothing.

Correct that. They are worth contempt and ridicule.

3052. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:47:36 PM

It's easy to find the animosities and religious faultlines between the self proclaimed Imams and Ayatollahs if one learns only a little. It's an absurdity to pretend that the followers of each of these subgroups don't, at a minimum believe that the leaders of competing subcults aren't parasites, deluded, or worse, given the absolutist religious environment that many Muslims inhabit. Plus, It's hardly reasonable to believe that all Muslims are so stupid that many wouldn't privately prefer a pox on all the houses of such religious figures.

But, maybe it should be chalked up to the fact that I just have a higher opinion of the intellectual sophistication of some Middle Easterners than you do.

3053. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:49:33 PM

Pelle -

Most people who are as ignorant about Islam as you are would display a more appropriate humility on the subject.

3054. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:50:01 PM

And you are abysmally ignorant about Islam.

3055. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:52:22 PM

Twits like Pelle try to fit the realities of Islam into the Procrustean confines of their socialistic dreamworld and affect to be mortally offended by those who refuse to play along with their fatuous charade.

3056. vonKreedon - 1/16/2004 3:52:23 PM

Con - But seriously, you stated that many Shias have contempt or even hatred for their Imams and Ayatollahs. This is not what I am seeing from consuming news. So, could you please cite the evidence for your statement the Shi'ite Imams etc. are viewed as contemptible parasites by many Shias.

3057. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:55:07 PM

Re. 3056 -

That's not what I posted, although I'm sure that some do.

3058. concerned - 1/16/2004 3:56:14 PM

Re. 3056 -

Explaing to me why you should expect to see that 'from consuming news'. I wouldn't expect that to be the case at all & I gave some of the reasons why.

3059. vonKreedon - 1/16/2004 4:01:19 PM

Con, Dude, if your statement is based on a hunch based on what you've seen on al Jazeera just say so, but this wiggling is unbecoming.

What you said:
Message # 3041: Many Shiites consider ayatollahs, imams and their ilk as little better than parasites, anyway.

So, I ask again, please cite the evidence for such a statement.

3060. PelleNilsson - 1/16/2004 4:31:13 PM

Concerned won't cite any evidence because he takes all this stuff off freeper mailing lists.

3061. robertjayb - 1/16/2004 4:35:43 PM

bushies, in a box, seek U.N. help...(Reuters)

UNITED NATIONS - The United States wants U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan to send a team to Iraq to convince Shiites that direct elections are unfeasible or to suggest a workable compromise, diplomats said Friday.



The request for a fact-finding team was expected to be made by head of the coalition provisional authority L. Paul Bremer at a crucial meeting in New York Monday with Annan and members of the U.S.-selected Iraqi Governing Council during an effort to get the United Nations back into Baghdad.


3062. robertjayb - 1/16/2004 4:48:26 PM

Letmeseehere....bushies favor a faith-based fundamentalist government for the U.S.A., but not for Iraq. Is that about it?

3063. concerned - 1/16/2004 5:20:01 PM

Not at all, but I see what your problem is now.

3064. wonkers2 - 1/16/2004 5:38:20 PM

There's a fascinating long article in the Jan 5 New Yorker by Lawrence Wright called "The Kingdom of Silence." The author takes a job at a newspaper and gets a rare look inside a closed society (Saudi Arabia).

As concerned observed about Iraq, there are plenty of people who resent the rule of the Islamist fanatics, but they (especially women) are terrified by the "muttawa'a" Islamic enforcers. Islam is running amok in Saudi Arabia and has strayed far from original concepts embodied in the Koran. As practiced in Saudi Arabia it's the most bullshit religion this side of the U.S. deep south.

3065. robertjayb - 1/16/2004 5:42:14 PM

Good. You watch me while averting your eyes from the pathetic sight of your heroes groveling before the once-despised U.N. and all those silly chocolate makers. It will be better for your mental state.

3066. concerned - 1/16/2004 5:57:52 PM

I read that same depressing article a day or two ago, btw (did I link it here?) and what I think is particularly noteworthy is that there is nothing probably that Saudi women can do to keep from eventually getting shoved into chadors if that's what the Wahhabis want, just like the Iranian women have and the Iraqi women might.

3067. concerned - 1/16/2004 6:03:27 PM

Actually, I think Saudi women have already been shoved into chadors.

Where's feminism when it might do some good?

(rhetorical question)

3068. vonKreedon - 1/16/2004 6:09:19 PM

Con - I'm sure that the chadors will come off as soon as the Imams and Ayatollahs are tossed out like the parasites so many Muslims believe them to be.

Any day now.

3069. concerned - 1/16/2004 6:19:36 PM

You gotta admit that they're doing Jimmuh Cahtuh, the godfather of Islamic Fundamentalism, proud. Back to the eighth century with an AK47 in every pot. Go, Jimmuh!

3070. jexster - 1/16/2004 7:15:16 PM

The most resounding intelligence failure of the whole intervention era has certainly been that of accurately assessing Saddam's holdings of nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons. The US and British governments would not have gone to war if their intelligence chiefs had bluntly said there were no, or very few, such weapons or programmes. You cannot spin a No.


But TD, god love him continues to try...and continues to look foolish

3071. jexster - 1/16/2004 7:16:57 PM

And here I thought TD was a born again supporter of the liberation of the Moslems of Iraq and the newly formed Islamic Republic (by grace of Allah and thw Warlords) of Afghanistan!

No I really didn't

3072. jexster - 1/16/2004 7:24:15 PM

But let's try again..
What's wrong with this sentence?

From the Washington Post: "After weeks of quiet overtures and secret letters to Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, administration officials say they are baffled over exactly what he wants – and even more confused about what it will take to get him to back off his demand for direct elections."

We'll translate: What does he want? Democracy! When does he want it? Now!

Iraqi Women Protest IGC Edict to Cancel Saddam Women's Rights Laws

Iraqi women have been protesting moves to restrict their rights, including the Governing Council's decision to cancel laws that are among the most modern in the Muslim world.

3073. jexster - 1/16/2004 7:28:11 PM

Let's also try a picture just for funzees

3074. concerned - 1/16/2004 7:41:15 PM

JG says those who call GWB a 'liar' wrt WMD while giving themselves a pass for saying the equivalent are full of shit & he's exactly correct.

3075. robertjayb - 1/16/2004 7:48:40 PM

Salam Pax blogs on Iraqi political transition...

3076. jexster - 1/16/2004 8:21:37 PM

I will say it again, without fear of contradiction

The Cheney administration deliberately and maliciously exploited fear and desire for revenge in the US public and lied consciously lied in every justification offered for the war in Iraq and in so doing undermined democracy, dimishied US power, influence and respect in the world

3077. jexster - 1/16/2004 8:23:30 PM

And I'll say it in verse, in large type for the blind and challenge anyone to prove me wrong...anyone..any time..

BRING IT ON

I shake my bones and I shack them well
When I lie you know you can tell

Chorus:
Liar Liar pants on fire hanging from a telephone wire
Sqerming Sqerming pants are burning When I lie my hips start turning.

When I wiggle up and I wiggle down see me twitch because I 'm a fibbing clown

Chorus:
Liar LIar pants on fire hanging from a telephone wire
Sqerming Sqerming pants are burning when I lie my hips start turning.

Squerm Squerm Sqerm...... Squerm Squerm Squerm.......

Chorus:
Liar Liar pants on fire hanging from a telephone wire
sqerming sqerming pants are burning when I lie my hips start turning
Liar Liar pants on fiar.

3078. jexster - 1/16/2004 8:30:47 PM

3079. jexster - 1/16/2004 8:31:10 PM

Was I sufficiently clear TD?

3080. jexster - 1/16/2004 8:31:38 PM

how bout braille?

3081. jexster - 1/16/2004 9:50:29 PM

Appearing on PBS this evening, Juan Cole, Professor of History at the University of Michigan (Ann Arbor), and expert on all things Iraq....

Cole finds the Sistani Shiite Emergence "profoundly disturbing"

As I have so often said "Watch the Shiites"

Honey, I'm home..the Shiites are coming! The Shiites have arrived.

Bookmark Juan Cole's Website "Informed Consent"

3082. jexster - 1/16/2004 9:56:12 PM

Cole:"The Bremmer caucus system was always a sham. The provincial assemblies that form the "electorate" were appointed by the US, they were disproportionately ex-Baathist sunni, they were corrupt and there have widespread demonstrations against their misrule.

Now the Shiites are calling Bremmer on it."

There's your "democracy lie" TD...since you asked

3083. robertjayb - 1/16/2004 11:38:24 PM

Salam Pax is on Nightline...

3084. robertjayb - 1/16/2004 11:47:40 PM

Salam doesn't seem to have missed many meals due to the horrors of war.

3085. wonkers2 - 1/17/2004 7:17:54 AM

Salaam Pax's blog is fascinating. Iraq is going to be a mess for a long time. The more I learn about Islam the less I like it.

3086. jexster - 1/17/2004 2:18:36 PM

TIKRIT, Iraq - A powerful bomb exploded under a U.S. armored vehicle in the cane fields north of Baghdad on Saturday, killing three American soldiers and pushing the U.S. death toll in the Iraq (news - web sites) conflict to 500.


Reaching that threshold underscores the dangers still facing U.S. forces in Iraq as President Bush (news - web sites)'s administration prepares to seek help from the United Nations (news - web sites) in building a new Iraq, after shunning the world organization for months.

3087. robertjayb - 1/17/2004 2:31:37 PM

Hey Kofi, help us out here, will you? All that stuff we said---just joking. C'mon, How about it?

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Bush administration is reaching out to the United Nations to help settle a nagging dispute with Iraqi Shiite leaders about how to choose an interim government by July 1 so the United States can end its political control of postwar Iraq.

The senior U.S. administrator in Baghdad, L. Paul Bremer, and an Iraqi delegation led by Adnan Pachachi, current chairman of the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council, plan to confer with Secretary-General Kofi Annan on Monday in New York.


3088. rdbrewer - 1/17/2004 10:59:46 PM

IAEA Confirms Yellowcake Found in Rotterdam Likely From Iraq

AMSTERDAM, Netherlands — The U.N. nuclear watchdog confirmed Friday that Iraq was the likely source of radioactive material known as yellowcake (search) that was found in a shipment of scrap metal at Rotterdam harbor.

Yellowcake, or uranium oxide, could be used to build a nuclear weapon, although it would take tons of the substance refined with sophisticated technology to harvest enough uranium for a single bomb.

A spokeswoman for the International Atomic Energy Agency (search) said the Rotterdam specimen was scarcely refined at all from natural uranium ore and may have come from a known mine in Iraq that was active before the 1991 Gulf War.

"I wouldn't hype it too much," said spokeswoman Melissa Fleming. "It was a small amount and it wasn't being peddled as a sample."

The yellowcake was uncovered Dec. 16 by Rotterdam-based scrap metal company Jewometaal, which had received it in a shipment of scrap metal from a dealer in Jordan.

Company spokesman Paul de Bruin said the Jordanian dealer didn't know that the scrap metal contained any radioactive material. He said the dealer was confident the yellowcake, which was contained in a small steel industrial container, came from Iraq.

Jewometaal detected the radioactive material during a routine scan and called in the Dutch government, which in turn asked the IAEA to examine it.

Fleming said the agency will compare the chemical composition of the sample to other samples of ore taken from Iraq's al-Qaim mine, which was bombed in 1991 and dismantled in 1996-97.

She estimated that the Rotterdam sample contained around 5 pounds of uranium oxide.
. . .


--via Ace-o-Spades'

3089. robertjayb - 1/18/2004 12:18:20 AM

bushie Iraq plan in deep Shiite...(LATimes)

BAGHDAD — The Bush administration has been backed into a corner on its political plan for Iraq by unexpectedly strident opposition from Shiite Muslim clerics, who played their trump card last week, calling on their followers to stage mass demonstrations.

In the next few days, the administration, along with the U.S.-backed Iraqi Governing Council, plans to craft a new plan for choosing a transitional government that is more satisfactory to all the sects and ethnic groups in the country, including the long-suppressed Shiite majority. But there is every indication that no matter what shape it takes, the proposal could be unacceptable to crucial political players.

"The administration is facing problems on all three fronts — with the Shiites, the Sunnis and the Kurds ... and the situation with the Shiites is looking more and more like a crisis," said Sheba Crocker, a fellow at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. "The picture could get a whole lot uglier."

3090. jexster - 1/18/2004 2:07:55 AM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - A car bomb exploded outside the main gate to the headquarters of the U.S.-led coalition Sunday, wounding several Iraqis and at least one American soldier, a U.S. general said. American officials said there were "estimates" of 17 Iraqi dead.

The blast occurred at about 8 a.m. near the "Assassin's Gate" to Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s former Republican Palace complex, now used by the U.S.-led occupation authority for headquarters. The gate is used by hundreds of Iraqis employed by the Coalition Provisional Authority, the formal name of the U.S.-led occupation authorities, as well as U.S. military vehicles.

3091. jexster - 1/18/2004 2:13:00 AM

Sheba Crocker wrote the damning report cards on Bush war plannning in Feb/March 2003

She's sharp.

Juan Cole:
al-Hayat reported that Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani's representative in Karbala, Shaikh Abdul Mahdi al-Karbala'i, warned that the coming days will witness demonstrations and strikes, and possibly confrontations with the occupation [Coalition] forces if they insist on "their colonialist plot and in designing the politics of this country in ways that serve their interests." Al-Karbala'i called everyone in his Friday sermon before hundreds of worshippers "to support the religious leadership," affirming that "the Shiite leadership in Najaf takes a great interest in the process of transferring sovereignty to the Iraqi people through general elections....

Shiite clergymen throughout Iraq, including the shrine cities of Najaf and Karbala and the slums of East Baghdad (Sadr City) mounted their pulpits on Friday and asked their congregants to support Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani's call for general elections in May. It is interesting that many of these clergymen in East Baghdad are probably followers of Muqtada al-Sadr, and are supporting Sistani's position. The issue of open, one person one vote elections, serves to unite Shiites across the board, even bitter rivals like the Sadrists and the mainstream followers of Sistani. That seems to me bad news for the Coalition Provisional Authority and its plans to have the new government elected by hand-picked provincial councils.

3092. jexster - 1/18/2004 2:58:08 AM

A post script to Pincher's discussion...and some points I made at the time..

From the Carnegie Endowment's' "iraq WMD Evidence & Implications" Key Findings with reference to the relevant pages in body of the report...

3094. jexster - 1/18/2004 3:05:47 AM

WMD in Iraq: evidence and implications pdf

3095. jexster - 1/18/2004 3:20:57 AM

Rummy didn't give Saddam a BJ in the late 80's because he thought he was cute and sweet Wonk. He did it for a reason, i.e. the US feared that given the inherent instability of the Iraqi atate, a loss of any Shiite territory or the collapse of the power of the central regime would lead to the dismemberment of the country into Kurd, Sunni and Shiite states which would themselves be unstable and prone to interference from Turkey, Syria and Iran.


That two ton shit sandwich the United States has been, is and will be chowing down for the next few years at least?

That was the reason Rummy had love in his eyes.

Yet another case of ideology and politics trumping fact and reasoned analysis.

3096. jexster - 1/18/2004 3:40:10 AM

Lies Have Consequences or Why Ace Moved Into His Spiderhole

Intro to Carnegie Report..


If history is any guide, the war and subsequent
occupation and reconstruction of Iraq will shape
U.S. relations with the Arab world—and perhaps
with the whole Muslim world—for decades,...

What happens in Iraq is also likely to profoundly
affect whether and with what degree of effort and
success states choose to work together to constrain the spread of weapons of mass destruction (WMD).

The war and its aftermath will affect U.S. foreign
relations, influence U.S. policies regarding future armed interventions, and alter the international struggle against terrorism. It is a massive understatement, then, to say that a great deal is at stake, on the ground in Iraq, around the world, and in the lessons for the future that will be drawn here at home.

It is not too soon to begin this inquiry into the Iraq experience, because public confusion is widespread and revisionism has already begun.



3097. jexster - 1/18/2004 3:41:21 AM

Some pundits now claim that the war was never about WMD but was undertaken to bring democracy to Iraq or the entire Middle East. Others say it was a response to 9/11 or was the necessary answer to a composite threat posed by Saddam Hussein’s domestic evils, past aggressions, defiance of the United Nations, and desire for WMD. The administration has adjusted its public expectation of what Iraq will be found to have had from actual weapons and massive stockpiles of agent, to weapon programs, to “capabilities,” and even to the “capability that Iraq sought” for weapons of mass destruction.

Notwithstanding these varied views, the definitive
voice of U.S. policy—the president’s—was unequivocal that the reason for going to war was the present threat to U.S. security posed by Iraq’s WMD. From Mr. Bush’s first detailed case for the war on October 7, 2002, to the declaration of war on March 17, 2003, the purpose is always clear: “Saddam Hussein must disarm himself—or for the sake of peace, we will lead a coalition to disarm him.”2

Other than warnings addressed to the Iraqi military and reassurances to the American people regarding homeland security, the declaration of war address was only about WMD until the closing paragraphs, which touched on human liberty and a better future for the Iraqi people.


3098. jexster - 1/18/2004 3:43:24 AM

Stay the course?

What course?

3099. rdbrewer - 1/18/2004 4:11:58 AM

You guys read about the yellow cake upthread? No comment?

I got a tune in my head. It's that old song, MacArthur Park. I gotta sing!

3100. rdbrewer - 1/18/2004 4:13:22 AM

{Intro}

Whimdees were never waiting in Tikrit.
They ran one step ahead,
As we followed in the Humvee.
I recall the yellow colored cake
It fissioned alpha rays
On the Geiger counter by the MRE's.

CHORUS:
JayAkroyd's claims are melting in the dark,
All that glowing green radiation flowing out!
Someone left the cake out in Bahrain.
I don't think that Jay can take it,
'Cause he worked so hard to fake it,
And we'll never have that disagreement again.
Oh, noooo!

{Interlude}

I recall the yellow colored cake.
It fissioned alpha rays
On the Geiger counter by the MRE's.
It burned the tender scabies on your hands
And the old men playing checkers by the trees.

CHORUS:
JayAkroyd's claims are melting in the dark,
All that glowing green radiation flowing out!
Someone left the cake out in Bahrain.
I don't think that Jay can take it,
'Cause he worked so hard to fake it,
And we'll never have that disagreement again.
Oh, noooo!

{Interlude}

Whimdees were never waiting in Tikrit.
They ran one step ahead,
As we followed in the Humvee.
I recall the yellow colored cake
It fissioned alpha rays
On the Geiger counter by the MRE's.

CHORUS:
JayAkroyd's claims are melting in the dark,
All that glowing green radiation flowing out!
Someone left the cake out in Bahrain.
I don't think that Jay can take it,
'Cause he worked so hard to fake it,
And we'll never have that disagreement again.

Oh, noooo!
Oh, nooOoo!

Noooo no nono
Noooo NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

3101. jexster - 1/18/2004 5:19:06 AM

Yea! Some moldy yellowcake circa 1990 found in a pile scrap metal from Jordan which may have come from a mine that Iraq closed in 1997....

That's almost as good as the "tainted" mortar shells that weren't.

The following post might shed some light on why RD thinks that worthy of borrowed verse...

3102. jexster - 1/18/2004 5:28:04 AM

He thinks remarkably like Perle & his gang of schizos


Iraq: When the Deaf lead the blind who lead the schziod Tell the Brain Dead What to Do

REALITY vs. FANTASY.... i just finished reading Charlie Wilson's War, a terrific book about the covert CIA war against the Soviets in Afghanistan during the 1980s that I'll have more to say about later. For now, though, I just want to share an excerpt from the book that's both timely and enlightening.

First some background. Richard Perle is one of the most hawkish neocons around, part of the group that seemed to think that we could waltz into Iraq, be greeted as liberators, and then turn the whole thing over to their favorite exiles within a few months.

It's a crazy idea on its face, and it makes you wonder what kind of people could believe something so transparently out of touch with reality. Well, here's a hint: they believe stuff like this because they are out of touch with reality.

As you read this anecdote, keep in mind that it's being told by a guy who is a very hardline, hardass anti-communist. His idea of fun is to figure out new and better ways to kill Russians, and at the time this is happening he's in charge of an incredibly creative, brutal, and effective buildup of arms to kill those Russians in ever greater numbers. But even he thinks Perle and his pals are loons.

Here's the story:

And to review and refresh...

The extent of WMD discoveries to date:

1. A vial of botox in a freezer
2. Empty Mortar shells buried for more than ten years that had no trace of mustard gas.
3. 20 year old materials on nuclear weapons design buried under a Rose bush since 1991.
4. A mobile hydrogen balloon unit (good for clown shows!)





3103. jexster - 1/18/2004 5:28:32 AM

Close that tag eek!

3104. jexster - 1/18/2004 5:29:42 AM

and that one too...i could use some of that Aunt Condimima Yellow Cake with some of Miss laura's deelish limin icin

3105. jexster - 1/18/2004 5:47:04 AM

Saddam Hussein must disarm himself—or for the sake of peace, we will lead a coalition to disarm him.

Well I guess he did...he put that yellowcake (or was it Iraqi??)in a dumpster sitting in the front yard of Basra's only Okie.

After several years the dumpster's bottom rusted through so the Okie threw it into the back of his 1972 Chevy pick up and drove to Hassan's scrap metal, used camel and Cheap Persian Rug emporium just over the line in Jordan...

From there to Holland and finally to waste disposal in Acie's Own Little World...

Case of nuts

3106. wonkers2 - 1/18/2004 7:33:11 AM

Great link on Richard Perle! I like the idea of trading him to Iran.

3107. rdbrewer - 1/18/2004 11:37:54 AM

If they set off a Iraqi yellow-cake bomb in your city, are you still going to point out that it was old (implying that the old yellow-cake is an insufficient reason to occupy Iraq)?

The half-life is 760 million years.

3108. jexster - 1/18/2004 12:21:48 PM

I am saying that there was no nuclear program. There was some yellowcake 5 pounds possibly from Iraq, if so a leftover from their nuclear program pre-1991 from a mine that was closed in 1997 found in a metal container sold for scrap.

You should give up. David Kay did. Bush has too but he's keepin quiet.

If some folks don't know he lied or forgot or he can convince them he went to war for other reasons, why should he remind them of the truth?

3109. robertjayb - 1/18/2004 12:27:44 PM

jexster,

You left out the combat marmalade and tactical vacuum cleaners.

3110. Al D - 1/18/2004 2:59:51 PM

robertjayb
You really like to gloat in everything that is or might be going wrong in Iraq, don't you. Would it really be a gopod thing for America and the world for Iraq to become a fucking mess? You are some kind of a strange dude. Once Pelle asked you why you posted ervery American death in Iraq and I asked Pelle why he thought you did it. It should be obvious to all, but since many probably agree with you, it is overlooked. After all, as long as the Dems. get back in power, what does it matter how.

3111. wonkers2 - 1/18/2004 3:27:37 PM

Al, some of us who opposed our invasion of Iraq from the beginning are entitled to say "We told you so" without being accused of gloating or lacking patriotism. I never believed Iraq had WMD, but after Bush decided to attack I posted in this forum that I hoped we would find WMD. Well, we haven't. After things started to look like a mess I supported the $87 billion appropriation needed to complete what we started. Nevertheless, IMO, Bush's preemptive strike policy was a horrible mistake and the invasion of Iraq was not even an honest and appropriate application of Bush's own policy. Now, more than 500 Americans have died with no end in sight and little chance that the neo-cons fantasy of transforming the Middle East into a democracy will be realized. Moreover, the invasion has increased, not diminished, our exposure to terrorists in the U.S. and around the world.

3112. robertjayb - 1/18/2004 4:07:37 PM

BTW, Al D, did you hear about the big explosion early this a.m. just outside the U.S. headquarters in Baghdad? All those Iraqis lined up to go to work for Uncle Sam and they got blowed up---20 or more of them (early reports said a couple of U.S. soldiers were killed, then the reports said they were U.S civilians but latest reports said their citizenship is unknown). Say they were U.S. soldiers or civilians, Al D? How should they be weighed out. Do the evil-doers get more points for a soldier than a civilian? I've noticed that you like to ask people what they think so I'm asking you what you think about this. It may seem an obscure point but I think it has relevance now that the Leader of the Free World is sending his minions hats-in-hand to the U.N. for help in getting out of a bloody-awful mess the U.N. warned him about getting into. I find that embarrassing. Do you find it embarrassing, Al D? Anyway, if the U.N. did send help, would most of the people be civilians? Are a lot of U.N. civilians clamoring to go to Iraq? What do you think?

As to gloating, I am firmly anti-gloating (except in a certain few cases where the bastards ask for it and deserve to get it, good and hard). I am also anti-lying. But first and most of all I am anti-bungling.

As to posting deaths of soldiers...I am surprised you ask about that. Don't you think we should take notice? I certainly do. I have read that the U.S. death toll this week passed that of the first four years of the Vietnam experience.




3113. robertjayb - 1/18/2004 4:22:43 PM

After all, as long as the Dems. get back in power, what does it matter how.

I think it matters a great deal. The position you state is that of John Mitchell regarding the importance of reelecting Richard Nixon. I would rather not go that far.

And if the Dems do get back in power I predict a sigh of relief of such magnitude whistling around the globe that it may disturb your well-earned rest, Al D.

3114. jexster - 1/18/2004 8:20:10 PM

I rather think the better question is "Why do those who believed everything that Bush represented to be true, those whom he most played the fool for this guy, why don't aren' they the ones posting the truth?"

Instead of variously peddling the lie du jour one day and trying shame critics into silence the next, why aren't those who played the fool from the get go, angry as hell?

Patriot before the war. Patriot today.


I am sure that many war opponents have experienced mixed emotions - a twinge of joy, moments of some self-satisfaction, at being proved right. But I am here to tell ya Al since you are in no position to know yourself, being proved right so often for so long gets old. Its not all you crack it up to be.

3115. jexster - 1/18/2004 8:30:44 PM

But the expected just keeps on, keepin on. Shut up and stay the course?

That's hardly very patriotic but then, the Bushies said the same thing before the war.

Don't worry about my motives or my patriotism. I can sleep at night.




The administration is facing problems on all three fronts — with the Shiites, the Sunnis and the Kurds and the situation with the Shiites is looking more and more like a crisis," said Bathsheba Crocker, a fellow at the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. "The picture could get a whole lot uglier."

3116. jexster - 1/18/2004 9:13:33 PM

How many times have I been called anti-American Bush hating Saddam lover?

The moment I hear "I am tired of Bush playing us for fools. I am mad as hell and I am gonna take it any more."

I'll be all ears.

Meanwhile

Across the Shiite urban strongholds in southern Iraq last week, clerics close to Sistani prepared their followers for days of demonstrations and possible violence: "peaceful protests, strikes and, as a last resort, possible confrontation with the occupying forces," in the words of Abdel-Mahdi Salami, the senior cleric close to Sistani in Karbala, one of the two most holy Shiite cities in the country.

"The CPA has to start learning lessons. We don't want them to learn lessons the hard way, but if they keep on being pigheaded, they will be hurt," said Mouwafak Rabii, a Shiite and a member of the Governing Council, who has been present during most of the council's discussions with Sistani.


"Once the real political process starts, people grab for power," Carnegie's Carothers said. "They aren't going to stop — they are just going to keep pushing to see how much they can get. They know the door is open to a renegotiation of the process."


The Shiites Are Mad As Hell and They Aren't Going to Let Bush Play Them for Fools No Mo

They want real democratic sovereignty not Bush's warmed over colonial puppet.

3117. wonkers2 - 1/18/2004 9:16:11 PM

The choices are simple a Shiite theocracy or a protectorate.

3118. jexster - 1/18/2004 9:40:26 PM

Strong man wanted...nice digs, nice pay, some health risk..

The Shiites will go for something well short of Iranian style theocracy...but Bush's neocon nirvana...that was ever a fool's errand...that's just more Bush shuck 'n jive..that's Perle in Afghanistan quality camel shit.

The real problem is the Shiites can read and they can count to 60%. They are dead right to see the trap set for them in Bush's run-for-your-lives-who-forgot-the-exit-strategy farce election year farce of self rule.

Whether Iraq can absent a strong man ever secure some semblance of stability..well Saddam was certainly a sadistic butcher and bone headed megalomaniac, but he was no accident. He didn't just come from hell and appear suddenly in Iraq for no reason.

3119. jexster - 1/18/2004 10:03:14 PM


Why the US is running scared of elections in Iraq

Washington's plan to transfer power without a direct vote is a fraud


God damn...what a shock!

Robespierre Bush - Democratic Revolutionary and Nation Builder caught lying again.

3120. jexster - 1/18/2004 10:04:13 PM

I'll never send him money again

3121. jexster - 1/18/2004 10:23:46 PM

At least in Iowa, the Democratic party caucuses involve elections. Not in the US plan for Iraq. The US is proposing that "notables" in each province attend these caucuses to appoint an assembly which would select a government. Not surprisingly, the Shia leadership smells a rat. After generations of being excluded from power, first by the British occupiers in 1920, and then by successive Sunni governments up to the one led by Saddam, they are angry.

Gee, I wonder why.



The Iraqi Shiites: On the history of America’s would-be allies

3122. wonkers2 - 1/18/2004 10:30:24 PM

After the dust settles Iraq will be a theocracy. Or we'll have to stay there for a long time. Or some kind of a UN protectorate will have to be established.

3123. marjoribanks - 1/18/2004 10:40:39 PM

When the dust settles, Iraq will be a kind of protectorate and will remain one for many decades.

I'm guessing that there will be an oligarchy, of a sort, with nods given to elections. But economic power will be consolidated in the hands of a few score individuals and families and all of these will be die-hard pro-American behind the scenes.

And the US Army will be going nowhere, for a very very long time. Even if Clark wins, even if Kerry wins, but maybe possibly not if Dean wins.

3124. jexster - 1/19/2004 12:26:01 AM

Dean is publically committed to troops but all will need a strong man sooner or later ot am I being too pessimistic?

The latest on the Big Shiite Move from Prof. Cole...Forget the ancient Bernard Lewis and Tom Friedman columns make fine birdcage liner

But it comes to Middle Eastern History recent or other that fella Cole knows his onions

3125. jexster - 1/19/2004 12:26:21 AM

Two parallel reports from Baghdad, one from Alissa Rubin of the LA Times and one from Hamza Hendawi of AP, point to the increasing difficulties the US is having in satisfying the Kurds, Sunni Arabs and Shiites in Iraq.

Rubin [reg. req.] emphasizes the dissatisfaction of the Sunni Arabs, and the ways in which the UN might step in to mollify the Shiites. I am quoted expressing pessimism about Sistani's flexibility.

Hamza Hendawi of AP reports from Najaf that an anonymous administration official told him that "there will be no new plan" on Iraqi elections. He says, however, that the present plan will be tinkered with in hopes that will make it acceptable to Grand Ayatollah Sistani.

Hendawi, who quotes me on Sistani, reports enormous anger among Sunni Arabs about the prospect of Shiite rule. But that is what any sort of democracy would produce.

What I don't understand is why they don't just have elections for two houses of parliament. Go back to the old Saddam scheme of 19 provinces (he had created an extra one for Sunnis) and give each province 2 senators. Such a senate would slightly over-represent Sunnis and might help mollify them and convince them that the Shiite-dominated lower house would not be able to excercise a tyranny of the majority. Another benefit of such a province-based senate is that it would give Kurds an incentive to want several provinces instead of just one.

I am hearing rumors, purportedly coming out of Najaf, that there will be big Shiite demonstrations throughout Iraq this coming Friday. One reason I am pessimistic that Sistani will back down is precisely that he has gone to the streets. He must have known that crowds will be hard to rein in if some basic modicum of his demands are not met, even if he himself is willing to compromise.

3126. jexster - 1/19/2004 12:48:26 AM

Remember The Young Ayatollah Sadr? He represents the Khomenist faction and contrary to CPA propaganda his is one of the loyal followings best organized in the country. Sistani was widely assumed to be a go along get along push over with no interest in politics. Sistani did the CPA a big favor a few months back. He was able to quiet down Sadr.

I bet they cut a deal...why that's the democratic thing to do!

Though Sadr is distinguished by his radicalism and the fact that unlike Sistani Shiites he wants a full on theocracy. The two find common ground in 1) distrust and opposition to the Occupation and indeed the US presence 2) they both agree on that an Iraq must be an Islamic State. The only thing separating them is the role of the clergy and of course, each wants to be Numero Uno in Najaf.

About 60% in a recent pols want either an Islamist/Democratic but non-secular state or theocracy. Sistani has the majority of that.(Iff polls mean anything Iraq)

There's your deal...Bush unites them...the uniter not the divider strikes again

3127. robertjayb - 1/19/2004 12:49:35 AM

WARNING: Engage anti-gloat, Disable We-Told-You-So: WMD scam harming foreign policy...(WashPost)

The Bush administration's inability to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq -- after public statements declaring an imminent threat posed by Iraqi President Saddam Hussein -- has begun to harm the credibility abroad of the United States and of American intelligence, according to foreign policy experts in both parties.



In last year's State of the Union address, President Bush used stark imagery to make the case that military action was necessary. Among other claims, Bush said that Hussein had enough anthrax to "kill several million people," enough botulinum toxin to "subject millions of people to death by respiratory failure" and enough chemical agents to "kill untold thousands."




3128. robertjayb - 1/19/2004 1:16:27 AM

Wary U.N. may help with U.S. tangle in Iraq...(WashPost)

U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan is prepared to try to help the United States salvage its Iraq strategy, despite more than a year of rancorous relations over the country, largely due to his deep concern about the potential for a political implosion in Iraq, according to senior U.S. and U.N. officials.

But Annan, who is also wary of U.S. motives, intends to ask some tough and specific questions in talks with L. Paul Bremer, the U.S. governor of Iraq, and the Iraqi Governing Council at their meeting today in New York, U.N. officials say. The key is how much authority the United States is willing to cede on policy, a critical issue because the United Nations does not want to be used simply to give credibility to the troubled U.S. plan to hand over power to Iraq by June 30.

3129. jexster - 1/19/2004 11:51:39 AM

The UN doesn't want to give crebility to Bush....what a segue! We're cookin with Lousiana Natural Gas today

TD might not believe he lied, people die

But the rest of the planet does

Bush's WMD Lies
9 of 10 Bipartisan FP Experts Agree: Bush Lies Hurt US


The Bush administration's inability to find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq (news - web sites) -- after public statements declaring an imminent threat posed by Iraqi President Saddam Hussein (news - web sites) -- has begun to harm the credibility abroad of the United States and of American intelligence, according to foreign policy experts in both parties.

Intelligence on loan from EddieD

3130. jexster - 1/19/2004 11:56:06 AM

THIS does not HAVE to be you!



3131. jayackroyd - 1/19/2004 12:10:37 PM

3099

I saw the source. 'nuff said.

3132. jexster - 1/19/2004 12:15:24 PM

"The foreign policy blow-back is pretty serious," said Kenneth Adelman, a member of the Pentagon's Defense Advisory Board and a supporter of the war>. He said the gaps between the administration's rhetoric and the postwar findings threaten Bush's doctrine of "preemption," which envisions attacking a nation because it is an imminent threat.

The doctrine "rests not just on solid intelligence," Adelman said, but "also on the credibility that the intelligence is solid."




Ladies and gentlemen, forty years ago almost to the day an important Presidential emissary was sent abroad by a beleaguered President of the United States. The United States was facing the prospect of nuclear war. These were the days of the Cuban Missile Crisis.

Several emissaries went to our principal allies. One of them was a tough-minded former Secretary of State, Dean Acheson whose mission was to brief President De Gaulle and to solicit French support in what could be a nuclear war involving not just the United States and the Soviet Union but the entire NATO Alliance and the Warsaw Pact.

The former Secretary of State briefed the French President and then said to him at the end of the briefing, I would now like to show you the evidence, the photographs that we have of Soviet missiles armed with nuclear weapons. The French President responded by saying, I do not wish to see the photographs. The word of the President of the United States is good enough for me. Please tell him that France stands with America.

Would any foreign leader today react the same way to an American emissary who would go abroad and say that country X is armed with weapons of mass destruction which threaten the United States?
Zbigniew Brzezinski

3133. jexster - 1/19/2004 12:22:46 PM

The administration "rid the Iraqi people of a murderous dictator, and rid the world of a menace to our future peace and security," Vice President Cheney said in a speech last week. Cheney -- and other U.S. officials -- increasingly point to Libya's decision last month to give up its weapons of mass destruction as a direct consequence of challenging Iraq.

Bush, when asked by ABC's Diane Sawyer why he said Iraq had weapons of mass destruction when intelligence pointed more to the possibility Hussein would obtain such weapons, dismissed the question: "So, what's the difference?"


I suggest that the D brothers, T, E, and R jointly write a letter to their President and explain to him what the difference is.



3134. jexster - 1/19/2004 12:34:19 PM

Jessica T. Mathews, president of the Carnegie Endowment and co-author of Iraq WMD: Evidence & Implications

she said there is intense interest in the report's findings, with 35,000 copies downloaded from the think tank's Web site in just five days. "It is too soon to say there was no cost" to the failure to find weapons, she said. "I think there is a huge appetite for learning about this."


Looks like quite a few people hit my links..

Say anyone know whether Ace has it up yet???

3135. jexster - 1/19/2004 1:33:00 PM

A nagging question maybe only a Bushie can answer...

The Shiites want democracy now

Bush says there's no time

Shouldn't we make time if there is none???

Isn't Bush our Democratic Revolution Leader???

Or was he lying again?

3136. jexster - 1/19/2004 1:41:19 PM

Operation Iraqi Freedom II - Tens of Thousands of Iraqis Hit the Streets to Demand Democracy

3137. jexster - 1/19/2004 2:01:44 PM

Juan Cole, PhD, Middle Eastern & South Asian Studie, Big Blue has some pretty good sources I'd say

100,000 Angry Shiites Take It to the Streets

3138. jexster - 1/19/2004 4:25:53 PM

Well fancy that. Sistani and I aren't the only one's who smell a rat...

If it slinks like rat, if stinks like a rat...It must be Georgie

UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - The United Nations (news - web sites) considered a request from Iraqi leaders and the U.S. administrator on Monday to send a mission to Baghdad that might salvage plans for putting a provisional government in place by July.



But U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan (news - web sites) told reporters further discussions were necessary before he could make a decision on sending what he called a "technical" team immediately

3139. robertjayb - 1/19/2004 4:41:33 PM

Any speculation on why the bushies sent the boy Bremer on this U.N. mission alone. No room on the plane for Condi, Colin, or the LOFW himself?

3140. vonKreedon - 1/19/2004 5:25:19 PM

LOFW?

3141. vonKreedon - 1/19/2004 5:26:18 PM

Lesser Of Four Weevils?

3142. vonKreedon - 1/19/2004 5:27:02 PM

Lemming Out For War?

3143. judithathome - 1/19/2004 5:27:51 PM

Lord of Fort Worth?

3144. wonkers2 - 1/19/2004 5:29:18 PM

He may be grooming Bremer to take over from Powell as Secretary of State in the unlikely event he is re-elected.
Powell's prostate cancer may be a factor in a decision not to re-up. I didn't see any statements about it saying that it was caught in a very early stage as was announced in the case of Kerry. This is sheer speculation.

3145. arkymalarky - 1/19/2004 5:31:16 PM

Duh, y'all. It's "Leader of the Free World!"

OR is it Lord of the Fascist World?

Sorry. Couldn't resist.

3146. judithathome - 1/19/2004 5:34:51 PM


> Powell's prostate cancer may be a factor in a decision not to re-up

As opposed to the fact he is finding it hard to look himself in face while shaving or that he is made sicker by what is happening than what the chemo is doing to him?

3147. judithathome - 1/19/2004 5:35:39 PM

I wish we could indent with that little caret thingy....

3148. vonKreedon - 1/19/2004 5:51:33 PM

J@H - Try this, replacing the [ ] with angle brackets:

[ul]
> indented
[/ul]

Result:

3149. wonkers2 - 1/19/2004 6:51:00 PM

When all is said and done Bush is going to wish he had Sadaam Hussein instead of the Shiites. I heard on the radio today that the Governing Council or whatever they call it passed a resolution demanded by the Shiites that takes away rights that Iraqi women have had for years under the Baath government. How do they think we or the UN or anyone is going to control those "Sharia fanatics?"

3150. jexster - 1/19/2004 7:50:22 PM

Message # 3139

Can't send Cheney...too high a level at this point besides Cheney hates this deal and will kill it...

But no matter how academic the answer is simple....Annan would trust any of the regular Bushies as far as he can spit and neither should he.

3151. jexster - 1/19/2004 7:51:58 PM

Wonk is now confirmed Regis Debray Decompositionista

If the US does not leave soon, the blowback will make some long for the days of Saddam Hussein Roughly

3152. jexster - 1/19/2004 7:52:32 PM

Kofi "would not"

3153. jexster - 1/19/2004 9:03:21 PM

3154. jexster - 1/19/2004 9:16:35 PM

Brits Fuck Bush in Basra

The Independent reports that 100,000 demonstrators marched through the streets of Baghdad on Monday, as part of Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani s bid to put pressure on Kofi Annan and the United Nations to certify that free and fair elections can be held: This situation reminds me more and more of Algeria; where mass protests played a similar role in involving the UN.
posted by Juan Cole at 1/20/2004 01:33:45 AM



British Say Open Elections Feasible

The Financial Times is reporting that British authorities in Basra now believe that there are no procedural obstacles to holding open elections in Basra of the sort that Grand Ayatollah Sistani has called for: Whether this is true or not, it is hard to see the British announcement as anything but payback for the way the CPA has ordered them about like lackeys since the fall of Saddam. The statement puts Mr. Bremer in a very difficult situation.

The British may in part been driven to this announcement by pure fear. They appear to have upped their estimate of the number of protesters last Thursday from 30,000 to 3 to 10 times that.
posted by Juan Cole at 1/20/2004 01:16:04 AM

3155. Al D - 1/19/2004 11:05:49 PM

robertjayb
There is really very little point for you and I to discuss the war in Iraq, but since you asked what I think about what is going on in Iraq, I will express my opinion. I am happy the Saddam is no longer in power, and I think in the long run, and in the short run, Iraqies are better off. America is in a war not of our choice against Islamic extremists and terrorists. What is happening is not much different than what happened in Germany after WWII. People are being killed, both Americans and Iraqies, and that is the price that is being paid. No one should be happy about that, except the terrorists. Our will can be weakened, and would be if Cassandras like you had your wish.


Perhaps one of the biggest mistakes made is that we declared victory too early. Perhaps we should have continued to bomb the cities where we knew the Baathist melted into until there came out with a white flag and surrendered. Of course, 10's of thousands might have died, but 100's might not be killed now.


And I do not retract my statement that you gloat over every failure in Iraq, because that is what you obviously wish for. Of course you will keep insisting otherwise.

3156. robertjayb - 1/20/2004 12:10:42 AM

Riverbend broods over Sharia...

My head has been spinning these last few days with decision No. 173 on changing Family Law to Shari'a. I've been darkly mulling over the endless possibilities. I'm not the only one- everyone I talk to is shaking their head in dismay. How is this happening? How are we caving in to fundamentalism?
.................................

I'm torn on the topic of elections. While I want elections because it's the 'democratic' thing to do, I'm afraid of the outcome. All the signs lead one to believe that elections will lead to a theocracy (which I dread). The current GC is *not* representative of the Iraqi people- neither Sunnis nor Shi'a approve of them… but will elections bring about a more representative group of would-be leaders? Furthermore, what if the Iraqi 'majority' *do* want a theocracy like the one in Iran? If the choice boils down to a democracy styled like the one in America or a theocracy styled like the one in Iran, how do you think a Muslim country is going to choose?

For more info on Al-Sistani, check out his site- it's in Arabic, Farsi, English, French and Urdu... quite impressive. His biography is here: Sistani's Biography and for those who were *very* interested in temporary marriage, check this out.






3157. robertjayb - 1/20/2004 1:55:52 PM

3158. robertjayb - 1/20/2004 2:07:10 PM

"Hat-in-hand," to U.N...(WashPost)

The Bush administration's plans for post-war Iraq never envisioned anything like yesterday's meeting in New York. U.S. officials asked for the United Nations to help extricate the United States from a country it liberated from Saddam Hussein's thuggish tyranny just nine months ago. The guarded response of U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, as reported by The Washington Post, only underscores how much U.S. policymakers have lost the ability to control events in Iraq, according to international online commentators.

3159. jayackroyd - 1/20/2004 3:21:45 PM

But that is what you want isn't it? UN involvement, greater international participation, and so forth?

3160. jexster - 1/20/2004 3:42:32 PM

Has he no shame?

"I am a long way at this stage from concluding that somehow there was some fundamental flaw in our intelligence," Vice President Dick "Praetorian Guard" Cheney said in an interview with USA TODAY and the Los Angeles Times from his undisclosed location, the first he's given to a newspaper in two years. Cheney suggested that biological weapons are hard to find because they could be produced on short notice. "The stuff is perishable and doesn't last very long anyway," he said. But, he added, intelligence is "never perfect. It's rarely 100% complete." Uh-huh.

3161. PelleNilsson - 1/20/2004 3:55:15 PM

As of now Kofi is calling the shots. He has played it very cool.

3162. concerned - 1/20/2004 3:59:46 PM

Disengaged is a better word.

3163. concerned - 1/20/2004 4:24:26 PM

The primary question is whether the UN is even capable of successfully playing more than a nominal role in Iraq, humanitarian assistance aside, given the UN's demonstrated skittishness in the face of terrorist attacks.

3164. concerned - 1/20/2004 4:44:24 PM

It also looks, from rjb's link, as if France and Germany are attempting to manipulate both the UN and the US in Iraq in order to gain lucrative Iraqi business contracts.

3165. jexster - 1/20/2004 6:30:14 PM

Democracy - The Last Lie to Die as Bush Tries to Intimidate His Way Out

BAGHDAD, Iraq - If an influential Shiite cleric sticks to his demand for early legislative elections, then the coalition may turn sovereignty over to the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council, coalition and Iraqi officials said Tuesday.
Transferring power to the Governing Council was among options under study if the United Nations (news - web sites) fails to convince Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Husseini al-Sistani that early elections are not feasible, coalition officials told The Associated Press on condition of anonymity.

3166. jexster - 1/20/2004 6:33:19 PM

With Shiite's holdin the key to Iraqi stability in one hand and a big shit sandwich in the other, the Cheney regime is no position to be making threats

Of course, concerned has no business yammering either, certainly on the subject of Iraq

3167. jexster - 1/20/2004 6:34:11 PM

certainly "not"

least of all whatever...

an insult to the intelligence

3168. jexster - 1/20/2004 6:42:25 PM

And speaking of corruption...The Cheney Regims sets the gold standard!

Outrage Mounts in GB Over Iraq war whistleblower Case

GCHQ worker Katharine Gun faces jail for exposing American corruption in the run-up to war on Saddam. Now her celebrity supporters insist it is Bush and Blair who should be in the dock. Martin Bright reports

3169. jexster - 1/20/2004 7:59:37 PM

Marj, sucker for the Raj....your little brown bro Fareed sends his regards...

There really should be no contest.

On one side is history's most awesome superpower, victorious in war, ruling Iraq with nearly 150,000 troops and funding its reconstruction to the tune of $20 billion this year. On the other side is an aging cleric with no formal authority, no troops and little money, who is unwilling to even speak in public. Yet last June, when Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani made it known that he didn't like the U.S. proposal to transfer power to Iraqis, the plan collapsed. And last week, when Sistani announced that he is still unhappy with the new U.S. proposal, L. Paul Bremer rushed to Washington for consultations. What does this man have that the United States doesn't?



Legitimacy

3170. jexster - 1/20/2004 8:08:52 PM

The Cheney threat to turn over power to a naked puppet rather than a clothed one, of the collossally stupid moves they have made in propagandizing, planning, and executing this disaster, surpasses all the rest.

The Shiites do not trust the US who applauded while Saddam gassed them and left while Saddam slaughtered them. They don't trust the British who gave Sunnis dominionn over them and sure as hell they don't trust Bush who is desperately scambling for an election year ass covering at their expense.

What a stupid move. What an incompetent bunch of liars.

3171. jexster - 1/20/2004 8:16:52 PM

There Goes the AlD/OsamaB big bad horsie theory of brown control

VIENNA, Austria - Western diplomats and nuclear experts voiced growing concern that Iran has reneged on its promise to fully suspend uranium enrichment — a process that can be used to make nuclear weapons.

3172. jexster - 1/21/2004 11:27:58 AM

Bribes scandal threatens Sharon
Opposition MPs call for Israeli prime minister to resign after businessman is indicted for allegedly bribing him.

3173. jexster - 1/21/2004 11:56:35 AM

Tens of Thousands Take to the Streets to Demand End to Puppet Regime, Iraqi Trial of Hussein

Da noive!

The last thing Bush wants is a trial that will expose the contribution of current Bushies to the gassing of his own people!

What do they think this is about?

Truth, Justice and the American Way?

3174. jexster - 1/21/2004 12:55:40 PM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - Shiites staged a third straight day of protests against US plans for Iraq (news - web sites), as US and Iraqi leaders again snubbed their key demand for general elections ahead of a June power transfer

3175. jexster - 1/21/2004 12:56:00 PM

A nagging question maybe only a Bushie can answer...

The Shiites want democracy now

Bush says there's no time

Shouldn't we make time if there is none???

3176. PelleNilsson - 1/21/2004 1:20:06 PM

You conveniently forget that´there are big problems associated with the Shia version of democracy.

3177. wonkers2 - 1/21/2004 1:27:05 PM

True. They want democracy until they get elected.

3178. vonKreedon - 1/21/2004 1:38:11 PM

Pelle/Wonk - Do we know that the Iranian theocracy is a "Shia version of democracy"? It is certainly possible to view Sistani's call for a direct popular vote through the lense of power politics, but is there any reason to do so other than Iraq's Shia majority and the presence of the Iranian Mullah's next door? I don't know, does anyone have any evidence?

3179. wonkers2 - 1/21/2004 1:43:35 PM

Didn't Sistani call for Sharia to be the law of the land. From what I've seen Sharia isn't particularly democratic. Looks to me like it will be payback time for the Shiites against the Sunnis and the Kurds. Not to mention the Christians and other small groups. Not to mention the women.

3180. PelleNilsson - 1/21/2004 3:18:50 PM

Yes, Wonkers. If an election on the one man one vote principle would be held in Iraq the Shia would win. But the Sunni and the Kurds would certainly boycott an election on those premises. And where are we then?

3181. wonkers2 - 1/21/2004 3:49:17 PM

Starting a western style democracy from scratch after a few thousand years of tribalism and 50?years of strongman rule is no piece of cake.

3182. vonKreedon - 1/21/2004 3:59:44 PM

I'm searching and not finding evidence that Sistani, or the Iraqi Shiites in general, are calling for the Iranian model. See Role of Religion in Iraqi Politics
Contrary to common understanding, the religious revival in Iraq started more than a decade ago. [...] The government printed and distributed five million copies of the Quran, built large and expensive mosques (principally Sunni), and in 1994 Sharia was introduced into the Iraqi penal code.
...
The most important of these is Grand Ayatollah Ali Muhammad Sistani. Sistani does not advocate an Islamic republic or Iranian-style clerical rule. But he does believe that the religious leadership should be closely consulted on critical political issues. The current stalemate over the process of elections and constitution writing has arisen largely because the CPA's latest plan came as a surprise to Sistani who then strongly opposed it.

Sistani and other Shia leaders who oppose an Islamic republic nevertheless want a form of democratic government that gives full expression to the Shia demographic majority. Moreover, they want Islam to play a role in the new forms of governance. There is probably no way to avoid a clause in the Iraq constitution stating that Islam is the state religion, which is part of constitutions throughout the Arab world and has been included in all previous Iraqi constitutions. This will leave open the question of just what this provision means in practice. Sistani will probably also propose that Sharia be one of the sources of Iraqi legislation.


3183. vonKreedon - 1/21/2004 3:59:55 PM

Regarding Sharia as state law (a tangental question to the imposition of Iranian theocratic democracy), the IGC already seems to be well on its way toward this already, so I'm not sure how caucuses are going to change this dynamic. See WP article.

It seems to me that unless the CPA's caucus plan is in fact rigged, the Shi'ite majority is going to end up in power and Sharia will be implemented anyway. Am I missing something?

3184. wonkers2 - 1/21/2004 4:02:07 PM

Bush the nation builder.

3185. vonKreedon - 1/21/2004 4:05:01 PM

Ok, I goofed in Message # 3182, there is a large Shiite party, SCIRI. Sistani is not a member of this party.

3186. jexster - 1/21/2004 6:37:54 PM

That's OK may Obe-Juan Cole be with you.

Poor Turks, day late dollar short....I have the feeling Bremmer already cut this deal...

ANKARA, Turkey - Kurdish control of an autonomous area in a future Iraqi state would threaten the stability of the country, a view shared by northern Iraq (news - web sites)'s neighbors, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Wednesday.



Erdogan, in an exclusive interview with The Associated Press, said he will raise those concerns when he meets President Bush (news - web sites) at the White House on Wednesday.


Turkish leaders have repeatedly said they fear that expanding Kurdish self-rule in northern Iraq could lead to the country breaking apart and could threaten the stability of Iraq's neighbors, which has sizable Kurdish minorities.


"Let me be open and very frank with you," Erdogan said. "Any federal system based on ethnicity is not going to be healthy and will damage the future of Iraq."


"This is the idea that is emerging in countries like Iran and Syria as well," Erdogan added.


Let's put yet another check in the Debray Decomposition Column - a blowback so stupendous, it will make some long for Saddam

3187. jexster - 1/21/2004 6:41:58 PM

vK...you won't find evidence that Sistani favors the Iran model because he doesn't. Sadr does. They both agree on an Islamic state but differ on the Twelfth Jurisprudent.

I highly recommend Prof Cole's The Iraqi Shiites: On the history of America’s would-be allies

It is simply and by far the single best authoritative article I have seen on the subject.

3188. jexster - 1/21/2004 6:49:29 PM

Bush Doomed? Will He Spend Eternity Eating Shiite Sandwiches? and three other articles of interest appear in DNI Comment: Who Is Grand Ayatollah Sistani

If Bush delivers on his democracy promise, the Shi'ites with 60% of the population will be elected, and the country will break out in civil war. If he tries to water down Shi'ite representation with his plan for an assembly elected indirectly by caucuses, the so far peaceful Shi'ites are likely to join the violence.

...

The US military is already so thinly stretched that soon 40% of the occupying troops will be drawn from the National Guard and reservists, resulting in tremendous disruption in the affairs of tens of thousands of families.

Pilots and troops are shunning the cash bonuses offered for reenlistments. The troops recognize a quagmire even if their neocon overlords cannot. The only source of troops is the draft.

...

All of this was perfectly clear well in advance of the ill-considered invasion. If Bush wasn't smart enough to see it, why didn't his National Security Advisor or his Secretary of State? How did a handful of neocon ideologues hijack US foreign policy

Bush did not campaign on a neocon policy of conquest in the Middle East. There was no public debate over this policy. The invasion of Iraq was the private agenda of the neocons.

...

Bush, desperate to be extricated before doom strikes him is experiencing a reality totally different from the chest-thumping of neocon megalomaniacs, such as Charles Krauthammer, who declared the US so powerful as to be able to "reshape, indeed remake, reality on its own."

Bush now knows that he lacks the power to deal with the reality of Iraq. Indeed, Bush cannot even deal with his own appointees.

3189. OhioSTOPAS - 1/21/2004 6:52:32 PM

Young Jonah Goldberg in his most recent syndicated column (appearing yesterday in the Columbus Dispatch, Columbus's finest daily newspaper):

"For Bush to have lied [about Iraq having weapons of mass destruction], he had to have known that there were no WMD's right?"

So when Bush (and others) said there was "no doubt" Iraq had WMD's, that statement is only a lie if he was sure there were NO WMD's? Saying something is 100% probable is only a lie if you KNOW it is 0% probable?

Man. That's quite a stretch, even by conserv/Repub standards. (How'd this guy get his job, anyway? Did his mother get it for him or something?)

3190. jexster - 1/21/2004 6:53:02 PM

Oh hell....at the risk of some twit Marji-nizing me with this post, I will be bold.

We're not going to see a stable, democratic Iraq inside 10 years and perhaps not in our lifetimes.

3191. jexster - 1/21/2004 6:54:41 PM

That's MAMA's boy!

3192. jexster - 1/21/2004 9:04:43 PM

By way of American preemptive wars, the Commander of the American Armed Forces decided to go to war on Iraq and topple its regime. Afterwards, the search for the reasons behind this decision began because all the rhetoric concerning Iraq's possession of weapons of mass destruction and its threat to national security and relation with Al Qaeda turned out to be false. Consequently, more convincing reasons should answer the American voter's big question: When and why did the President make that decision?

Yet, the more central and pressing question is: Is Iraq truly a united and coherent state whose division should be averted? Or is it actually divided and its unity should be sought after?


Iraq... United Or Divided?
Adel Malek Al-Hayat

3193. jexster - 1/22/2004 7:13:36 AM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - Three US soldiers were killed and another wounded near Baquba, while four Iraqi women going to work at a US base were mown down by guerrillas, the US military and survivors revealed.



The violence came as the bloody insurgency, fighting to stay alive after the December 13 capture of Saddam Hussein (news - web sites), sets its sights more and more on civilians working for the US-led coalition.

3194. jexster - 1/22/2004 7:28:44 AM

Occupational hazards

It is not just the Shias. Iraqis of all political, ethnic and religious persuasions want their country back

3195. Magoseph - 1/22/2004 8:30:47 AM

I reposted your last link in Election 2004 to better effect. Do you want to hire me, Jex?

3196. jexster - 1/22/2004 11:09:26 AM

I hear the Likud party's lookin for talent..either in its NH field op or in Jerusalem if you have legal experience

3197. jexster - 1/22/2004 11:12:55 AM

We must keep on topic even if TD refuses to...
Dead Because Bush Lied

2 G.I.'s Killed as Security Is Seen as Obstacle to Iraq Vote

The real barrier to speedier elections is the continuing violence, as even American generals now acknowledge.

3198. jexster - 1/22/2004 12:35:33 PM

The Big Shiite Sandwich; We're Just Getting a Peek into Hell

NAJAF, Iraq - The country's top Shiite Muslim cleric would be willing to drop his demand for early legislative elections if Iraqi and U.N. experts agree such a ballot would not be feasible.

Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Husseini al-Sistani would also want to hear "alternatives" for choosing a new assembly..

Al-Mawsawi said the ayatollah wants to make sure the U.N. experts do not "stay in a Baghdad hotel" and issue their findings but travel around the country


The aide said al-Sistani was adamant that sovereignty must be transferred to Iraqis by July 1, as the coalition plans. If the impasse over choosing a new government cannot be resolved by then, al-Mawsawi said there were several options, including handing over sovereignty to the U.S.-appointed Iraqi Governing Council.


Coalition spokesman Charles Heatly said transferring power to the council, however, was not under serious study.


During the lecture, al-Mawsawi launched into a scathing attack on the Nov. 15 agreement. Al-Mawsawi said the agreement between the coalition and Governing Council was announced in the middle of consultations between al-Sistani and the council.


The aide said the ayatollah believes the main danger of the Nov. 15 formula is that it "will take us from one quagmire of illegitimacy to another" because the members would not be chosen by the Iraqi people.


Al-Sistani believes that only an elected leadership will have the degree of public acceptance needed to guide the country through the difficult transition from Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s dictatorship to democracy, the aide said.


The aide also said al-Sistani fears that the transitional government to be chosen through the caucuses might try to remain in office...

3199. jexster - 1/22/2004 12:35:43 PM

"A transitional government must be built on a sound basis," al-Mawsawi said. "If the basis is not sound, then what comes after will also be unsound."


"A government like that can turn around and tell us that for security, regional and international circumstances, it will extend its terms for several years."

3200. jexster - 1/22/2004 3:04:40 PM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - A wave of attacks left US soldiers and Iraqi policemen and civilians dead in their wake, as a senior US commander warned of a looming threat from both nationalists and foreign fighters.

3201. jexster - 1/23/2004 8:54:20 AM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - A bomb planted in a meeting room exploded after a meeting of the Iraqi Communist Party, killing two men in an an apparent attack on supporters of the U.S.-backed government, officials said Friday.

If as AL would have it, posting US death makes me ghoulishly Anti-american, and by implication, him a patriotm, then it follows that this makes me ghoulishly anti-communist, and him Red.

Right AL?

And as for the slobbering slerb supporter TD, we all know that Saddam sent Slobo advisers to try an shoot down our planes, so that takes care of his "concerns"

3202. jexster - 1/23/2004 10:06:34 AM

This ain't from no "ashamed" Euro Elites

This ain't from no liburul Bush hatin media

This is from The State, "South Carolina's Newspaper"

The Regis Debray Decomposition...


CIA warns of civil war in Iraq
In contrast to Bush’s optimism, officers say tensions mounting


WASHINGTON — CIA officers in Iraq are warning that the country might be on a path to civil war, current and former U.S. officials said Wednesday, starkly contradicting the upbeat assessment President Bush gave in his State of the Union address.

The CIA officers’ bleak assessment was delivered verbally to Washington this week, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity.


3203. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 10:56:25 AM

Great article in this month's Atlantic about how Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Feith, Bremer totally fucked up the occupation of Iraq. Rumsfeld comes off particularly poorly as an arrogant asshole.

3204. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 10:57:17 AM

Add. the long, carefully researched Atlantic article was by James Fallows.

3205. jexster - 1/23/2004 1:57:07 PM

Democracy, Bush Style

United Nations officials, European diplomats, American officials and Iraqi leaders say there is a growing conviction that Ayatollah Sistani has realized that he has considerable power to get his way and cannot be circumvented.

The fear among many is that if he opposes the caucus process, especially with a religious decree, he could effectively prevent the caucuses from being carried out. Some experts say that the ayatollah is mainly interested in gaining power in Iraq, not in democracy, and that he could be bought off in the process.




3206. jexster - 1/23/2004 2:00:00 PM

Link coming next month

The Indispensable Nation
Regis Debray

Harper's is weird....that was in last month's print ed..

3207. jexster - 1/23/2004 2:20:58 PM

Operation Iraqi Freedom???

Not For Women


The Imperal Governor has approved puppet IGC legislation repealing the most progressive women's rights legislation in the Middle East.

From now on, women who want to work or marry must have the approval of muslim clerics

ALLAHU AKBAR suckers

3208. Al D - 1/23/2004 3:14:48 PM

f as AL would have it, posting US death makes me ghoulishly Anti-american, and by implication, him a patriotm, then it follows that this makes me ghoulishly anti-communist, and him Red.


I know from personel experience that you don't really care if you make sense or not, but the above is beyond silly. It is not that I consider you or almost all who are against the war as anti-American. I consider your opposition to the war simply political. You npot only believe that democracy is impossible in Iraq, but you hope you are right. I believe that is almost impossible for democracy to take hold in Iraq and I hope I am wrong. I think wonkers hopes I'm wrong, even if it would help Bush, or am I thinking of wombat.


I printed out that article by Cole and am now off to read it. Thanks.

3209. judithathome - 1/23/2004 3:36:07 PM

Add. the long, carefully researched Atlantic article was by James Fallows.

That's an excellent article.

3210. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 4:21:14 PM

You are correct AlD. Nothing would make me happier than to see the terrorism stop immediately and for democracy to flower in Iraq. As you, I am skeptical that it will happen. Beyond that, I think the invasion was a big mistake based on doctored, exaggerated, erroneous claims about the threat posed by Iraq to the U.S. or other countries in the area. The actual situation in Iraq did not fit Bush's preemption policy, and the invasion inflamed our enemies in the Middle East and did not further our war on terror (I don't like the term "war on terrorism" because it implies that conventional warfare is the answer, which it is not. Aside from Bin Laden, our promises to Afghanistan remain unfulfilled and we are in a big mess in Iraq, resources stretched to the breaking point. Sooner or later Americans will realize how poor Bush's, Cheney's, Rumsfeld's, et al, leadership has been and not reelect him to a second term.

3211. judithathome - 1/23/2004 4:25:28 PM

For a good start on realizing that, they should have watched PBS' Frontline last night on the hunt for Saddam's alleged WMDs. It was excellent and even David Kay, who had supported the war earler and done a lot to push the idea that weapons were over there, ended up referring to the "proof" as "straws of evidence".

3212. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 4:27:49 PM

Bush has backed down from weapons to programs. Cheney still thinks they are there.

3213. jexster - 1/23/2004 4:30:25 PM

Breaking News, On topic, On Time

Ex-Inspection Chief Kay Says Bush Lied

He has the blood of thousands on his hands...

Bush lies, Americans die

And if that's not bad enough, we are just beginning to reap the whirlwind of the biggest foreign policy disaster in US history.

Mark my words - again

3214. jexster - 1/23/2004 4:30:45 PM

Real patriots should be mad as hell

3215. jexster - 1/23/2004 4:33:10 PM

I don't wish to be unfair but some might say that a certain someone is more interested in Bush's political fortunes than in the lives of US servicemen or the interests of this country....

Some might say that, not me of course

3216. vonKreedon - 1/23/2004 4:35:57 PM

Bush has backed down from weapons to programs. Even worse, "...weapons of mass destruction related program activities." Not even full WMD programs, but activity within programs with some relation to WMD.

Man, I sure am feeling safer now.

3217. judithathome - 1/23/2004 4:41:38 PM

ISG analysts were diverted from hunting for weapons of mass destruction to helping in the fight against the insurgency, Kay said.

Evidently whoever sent him over there decided there was not much hope of finding any, either...why else divert the people searching away from what they were doing?

3218. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 4:42:14 PM

Right, "program activities." Someone should ask him to define the term.

3219. judithathome - 1/23/2004 4:45:10 PM

They will extend that term in a few weeks to be "weapons of mass destruction program activities which might have occured to them at some future point in time".

3220. jexster - 1/23/2004 5:01:15 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - A U.S. Army OH-58 Kiowa Warrior helicopter attached to the 101st Airborne Division crashed Friday in northern Iraq (news - web sites), killing the two pilots, the U.S. military said

3221. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 5:01:24 PM

Ha!

3222. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 5:01:38 PM

Sad but true!

3223. jexster - 1/23/2004 5:08:40 PM

Case Closed:
Cheney Cites Leaked Intelligence on Iraq-Al Qaeda



In an interview this month, Vice President Dick Cheney touted a report and leaked classified document that the Administration itself has billed "inaccurate" as the basis for his Iraq-Al Qaeda claims.

When questioned about his assertion of a Saddam-Al Qaeda connection, Cheney said, "you ought to go look [at] an article that Stephen Hayes did in the Weekly Standard here a few weeks ago, that goes through and lays out in some detail, based on an assessment that was done by the Department of Defense and forwarded to the Senate Intelligence Committee some weeks ago. That's your best source of information."1

But the article and document Cheney cites was discredited by the Administration as "inaccurate" two months ago, at the time it was published. The Administration also criticized the leak, saying, "Individuals who leak or purport to leak classified information are doing serious harm to national security; such activity is deplorable and may be illegal."2

The Defense Department is not the only agency objecting to the accuracy of the claim. Cheney raised the connection again yesterday, saying, "There's overwhelming evidence there was a connection between al Qaeda and the Iraqi government. I am very confident that there was an established relationship there."3 But Secretary of State Colin Powell disputed the idea two weeks ago, when he admitted, "I have not seen smoking-gun, concrete evidence about the connection."4

3224. jexster - 1/23/2004 5:08:54 PM

Today's Los Angeles Times reports that improved intelligence has revealed neither the Iraqis nor Al Qaeda trusted one another enough to establish a relationship. September 11th lead planner Khalid-Sheikh Muhammad, the highest ranking Al Qaeda official in custody, has revealed that Al Qaeda saw Iraq as a "corrupt, secular regime."5 Last week, the New York Times reported that documents indicated Saddam Hussein warned his followers to "be wary of joining forces with foreign Arab fighters entering Iraq."6

3225. jexster - 1/23/2004 5:10:53 PM

The Cheney Regime strategy is clear...and just Paul O'Neill described it...

Continue to feed the brainwashed "Base" and hope that they hold up against the barrage of truth until Election Day when it won't matter what they believe..

Or anyone else for that matter

3226. jexster - 1/23/2004 5:15:45 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - The U.S.-backed plan for handing over power to Iraqis is unacceptable as it stands, according to a top Shiite Muslim leader who met with President Bush (news - web sites) this week.

3227. jexster - 1/23/2004 6:20:05 PM

WASHINGTON - The CIA (news - web sites) named a new inspector to lead the search for Iraqi weapons of mass destruction Friday, choosing a veteran investigator who has expressed recent skepticism that Saddam Hussein (news - web sites) possessed banned weapons that posed an immediate threat.

3228. arkymalarky - 1/23/2004 7:01:37 PM

Rumsfeld comes off particularly poorly as an arrogant asshole.

Really? I'd have thought he'd come off particularly well as one.

3229. jexster - 1/23/2004 7:06:51 PM

School teacher

3230. jexster - 1/23/2004 7:09:45 PM

Concern about the founding fathers of Iraq are ya TD??

Don't be..

The Neocon's "George Washington of Iraq" Ahmed of Arabia Pressures Bush for Democracy

Even rats know enuf to jump when the ship is sinking...

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A leading pro-U.S. member of Iraq (news - web sites)'s Governing Council on Friday called for direct elections before a July handover of power, urging Washington to give in to popular demand because its transition plan could destabilize the country.



Ahmad Chalabi, who has close ties to the Bush administration, said elections were possible, increasing pressure on Washington to change its stance that there was no time to organize a vote

3231. arkymalarky - 1/23/2004 8:57:20 PM

Gee, Jex, you really hit below the belt there. ;-)

3232. wonkers2 - 1/23/2004 9:35:42 PM

Maybe Cheney suffered brain damage from his heart attacks/surgery??

3233. jexster - 1/24/2004 8:06:31 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - Two American soldiers were killed on Saturday in a roadside bomb attack on their convoy near the volatile town of Falluja, the U.S. Army said.

3234. jexster - 1/24/2004 8:42:25 AM

http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle_east/story.jsp?story=483202
target=new>Kurds Turn Against Bush As He Renegs on Autonomy Promises


The Independent reports: "Iraqi Kurds, the one Iraqi community that has broadly supported the American occupation, are expressing growing anger at the failure of the United States and its allies to give them full
control of their own affairs and allow the Kurds to expel Arabs placed in Kurdistan by Saddam Hussein. Massoud Barzani, the leader of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, told The Independent in an interview that the Kurds had been offered less autonomy 'than we had agreed in 1974 with the
regime of Saddam Hussein'. There are the seeds here for a savage ethnic conflict. The Arabs and Turkomans in Kirkuk are frightened. Many of the Arab settlers have been there for more than a generation and it is not clear where they would go. The last year has seen a number of small-scale but bloody clashes."

3235. jexster - 1/24/2004 8:48:07 AM

LINK - He Lied to the Kurds, Kurds Pissed, Debray Decomposition Proceeds Apace - Big Shiite Sandwich

Note to AL- The US IS getting into a deeper and deeper mess and you can learn all about it right here.

"AND YE SHALL KNOW THE TRUTH, AND THE TRUTH SHALL MAKE YOU FREE" -

MOTTO
ENTRANCE LOBBY
CIA HEADQUARTERS
LANGLEY, VA
Home of the Langley High Mighty Saxons



3236. jexster - 1/24/2004 9:01:59 AM

Looks like the truth is "relevant" across the pond

New WMD blow for Blair
Survey chief resigns saying Iraq never had stockpiles

Never RD, as in not ever, at least not since 1991 which is essentially what Scott Ritter said.

The RNC and its moronic minions around here of course immediately slandered him, impugning his patriotism(Fancy that AL you old bag of methane you!) and accusing him of having been on Saddam's payroll.

3237. jexster - 1/24/2004 10:16:42 AM

Speaking to Reuters after his departure was announced, Kay voiced deep skepticism that the administration's prewar claims that Iraq was hiding large caches of illegal munitions would be validated

Follow the Yellowcaked Road
The Los Angeles Times

3238. jexster - 1/24/2004 1:08:28 PM

JANUARY 19, 2003
SAN FRANCISCO, CA
















3239. rdbrewer - 1/24/2004 1:15:03 PM

Walking for stupidity.

3240. judithathome - 1/24/2004 1:16:23 PM

Because god knows, what we really need in this world is more WAR.

3241. jexster - 1/24/2004 1:25:18 PM

Walking because we refused to be led down the primrosed path of yellowcaked lies

Walking against lies, against corruption, against death...

Walking to keep 500+ US soldiers alive

Walking to keep the limbs on thousands


Walking so that tens of thousands of Iraqis might live

Walking to stay out of a tar pit, a hell that we've just had a first glimpse of

Walking to keep this country true to its principles and out of a preventive war of choice

Walking so that the US would not make one of the worst foreign policy blunders in its history

3242. jexster - 1/24/2004 1:26:08 PM



Walking because we are patriots not parrots

3243. jexster - 1/24/2004 1:31:54 PM


Forrest Gump: Stupid is as stupid does.

3244. judithathome - 1/24/2004 1:51:04 PM

So, is it true that the total death countof US soldiers does not include those wounded who die later at hospitals out of Iraq? That those wounded who are sent to Weisbaden or Landstuhl or back to the US and die of complications later are not "counted" as fatalities?

3245. vonKreedon - 1/24/2004 2:31:39 PM

Walking because we are patriots not parrots

Oooh, that is a sweet pithy line for a sign! I hope to make use of it.

3246. jexster - 1/24/2004 2:55:17 PM

I dunno JAH..we're not supposed to think or speak of those who die..

3247. rdbrewer - 1/24/2004 3:30:41 PM

"Walking because we are patriots not parrots"

Oooh, that is a sweet pithy line for a sign! I hope to make use of it.


Why? They're all parroting one another. You don't see independent-minded people showing up for groupthink spirituality rallies and herd identification posturing and display fests. When have you ever seen a throng of Libertarians chanting something--or just a throng of Libertarians, for that matter? These people are being guided by their penguin motivator neurons. So they are parrots. They have an instinctive need to stand around together, imitating one another, all squawking and strutting alike to get that feeling of affirmation and security in numbers.

3248. rdbrewer - 1/24/2004 3:37:27 PM



But the penguins are better dressed.

3249. arkymalarky - 1/24/2004 3:49:37 PM

When have you ever seen a throng of Libertarians chanting something--or just a throng of Libertarians, for that matter?

No wonder they never get anywhere in politics. That's kind of like the Monty Python race for people with no sense of direction. Who wins?

3250. judithathome - 1/24/2004 3:55:01 PM

You don't see independent-minded people showing up for groupthink spirituality rallies and herd identification posturing and display fests.

Sure you do...at a Republican Primary or in the audience for a Rush Limbaugh appearence. At least they claim to be thinking independently; I seriously doubt their claims but whatever.....

3251. robertjayb - 1/24/2004 7:50:27 PM

The butcher's bill grows...

(CBS/AP) Iraqi insurgents struck Saturday in the volatile Sunni Triangle west of Baghdad, killing five U.S. soldiers in separate bombings and narrowly missing an American convoy with a blast that killed four Iraqis and wounded about 40 others north of the capital.

...as the lies unravel...

TBLISI, Georgia Jan. 24 — Secretary of State Colin Powell held out the possibility Saturday that prewar Iraq may not have possessed weapons of mass destruction.
Powell was asked about comments last week by David Kay, the outgoing leader of a U.S. weapons search team in Iraq, that he did not believe Iraq had large quantities of chemical or biological weapons.


Who wants to be next to die for the glory of the bushie dynasty?





3252. wonkers2 - 1/24/2004 11:34:47 PM

If Powell were Japanese he would be falling on his sword out of shame. I guess that's not part of our culture. McNamara claims in Fog of War that he became disillusioned about our war in Vietnam, but he had no answer when Errol Morris asked him why he didn't speak out after Lyndon Johnson sacked him from Secretary of Defense. The resemblance between McNamara during Vietnam and Rumsfeld today is uncanny.

3253. arkymalarky - 1/24/2004 11:43:07 PM

I guess that's not part of our culture.

That would require him to host a program on Fox or talk radio.

3254. robertjayb - 1/25/2004 12:33:56 AM

Pssst! Wanna' see our new plan?

WashPost---The Bush administration has produced a list of possible changes for Iraq's political transition, with some U.S. and British officials acknowledging for the first time that the original plan could even be scrapped altogether if the United States is to preempt the growing clamor for election.
....................................

The administration insists there is no sense of panic, despite the mounting opposition to the current U.S. transition plan.
....................................

....in a sign of how much control the United States has lost since the Nov. 15 accord, U.S. officials concede that the most important calculations in ending the political crisis will be the positions of two players excluded from the original agreement: the United Nations and an aging ayatollah who has not left his home in six years.
..................................


Already, the preeminent body of Sunnis, the Association of Muslim Clergy, has come out against elections. Sunni clerics have used their Friday prayer sermons to make clear they will not give in to a plan that ends up with Shiite domination -- and that all methods of resistance will be allowed to prevent it.


Panic may be an entirely appropriate response...

3255. jexster - 1/25/2004 10:06:20 AM

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - An American soldier died on Sunday following a rocket-propelled grenade attack in Iraq (news - web sites), the latest in a series of weekend ambushes that had already killed five U.S. troops and four Iraqi civilians.

3256. robertjayb - 1/25/2004 11:21:57 AM

Unintended Consequences of Unheeded Warnings...

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - The top U.S. military commander in Iraq said Sunday there was evidence ties might be growing between al Qaeda and Saddam Hussein loyalists waging a bloody insurgency in the country.
....................................

Such an alliance would be a new one. The secular nature of Saddam's Iraq ran counter to the radical Muslim views of groups like Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda.
....................................

3257. wonkers2 - 1/25/2004 12:02:20 PM

That's just great. Bush, Cheney, Rumsfeld, Riceroni, Wolfowitz have created an Iraqi-Al Qaeda alliance where none existed before!! Talking about blow-back! First in Afghanistan, now in Iraq.

3258. judithathome - 1/25/2004 12:12:59 PM

toys?

3259. jexster - 1/25/2004 12:43:55 PM

3260. jexster - 1/25/2004 12:47:56 PM

Grand Ayatollah Sistani's Website

3261. rdbrewer - 1/25/2004 12:50:11 PM

3262. rdbrewer - 1/25/2004 12:51:22 PM

undercover brothers

Hey, Jex, how 'bout those penguins!

3263. jexster - 1/25/2004 12:56:37 PM

Message # 3247

BOOMEr SOONER


Boomer Sooner, Boomer Sooner,
Boomer Sooner, Boomer Sooner,
Boomer Sooner, Boomer Sooner,
Boomer Sooner, OK-U!

Oklahoma, Oklahoma,
Oklahoma, Oklahoma,
Oklahoma, Oklahoma,
Oklahoma, OK-U!

I'm a Sooner born,
And a Sooner bred,
And when I die
I'll be Sooner dead!

Rah, Oklahoma! Rah, Oklahoma!
Rah, Oklahoma! OK-U!

3264. rdbrewer - 1/25/2004 1:02:00 PM

oxymoron of the day: Libertarian rally

3265. judithathome - 1/25/2004 1:20:01 PM

Little Point in WMDs Search

...The sharp change in emphasis by the CIA-directed Iraq Survey Group follows the admission on Friday by its outgoing leader, Dr David Kay, that his 1,000-man organisation had not found evidence of stockpiles, and that he now believed they had never existed.

The CIA has announced that Kay will be replaced by Charles Duelfer, a former senior weapons inspector, who has said that in the past that the Bush administration's prewar allegations on Iraq's weapons were 'far off the mark'. 'My goal is to find out what happened on the ground. What was the status of the Iraqi weapons programme? What was their game plan? What were the goals of the regime? To find out what is the ground truth,' said Duelfer.

In a deeply embarrassing reverse for both the Bush administration and Tony Blair, Duelfer indicated on Friday that he regarded his primary task as attempting to reconstruct a 'complete, credible and openly demonstrable picture of what Iraq had, what their programmes were and where they were headed' before the war.



3266. rdbrewer - 1/25/2004 2:44:50 PM

Who is to blame?

Asked whether he feels President Bush owes the American people an apology for starting the war on the basis of apparently flawed intelligence, Kay said: "I actually think the intelligence community owes the president rather than the president owing the American people.

"You have to remember that this view of Iraq was held during the Clinton administration and didn't change in the Bush administration. It is not a political `got you' issue. It is a serious issue of how you could come to the conclusion that is not matched by the future."

"It's not a political issue. Its an issue of the capabilities of one's intelligence service to collect valid, truthful information."


And, as PincherMartin points out elswhere, "[T]he intelligence community is not an objective observer when critiquing the Bush administration's handling of the intelligence, that they might have good reasons to play up the White House's culpability in the fiasco[.] Kay makes the point briefly and somewhat obliquely, but well."

(All quotes Molly Ivinsed with permission.)

3267. robertjayb - 1/25/2004 5:48:58 PM

What horseshit! The bushies got the lies they demanded. Now it is easy to see why they don't want a world court. They would be hauled before it for sure. Maybe it's just me but I think flim-flaming a good part of the world into an unnecessary war is criminal and if we don't boot their sorry asses out of office then we deserve them.

3268. rdbrewer - 1/25/2004 8:43:02 PM

The bushies got the lies they demanded.

It's interesting how Kay can be both upheld and rejected depending upon utility in the moment.

3269. jexster - 1/26/2004 5:24:41 AM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - The U.S. military lost its fifth helicopter this month in Iraq (news - web sites), which crashed in the Tigris river while searching for a soldier whose boat had capsized. The aircraft's two crew members and the soldier remained missing Monday.


"We have no news about the progress of the search" or the fate of the missing service members, a military spokeswoman at the central command in Baghdad said Monday.

3270. jexster - 1/26/2004 5:44:42 AM

When they didn't get the lies they demanded, they made shit up.

The emblishments, misrepresentations, and out right lies are documented in the Carnegie Report up thread.

THe most damning part of Kay's interviews tell of his conversion from a WMD believer when he started to his present view that no weapons existed after 1991.

The Cheney Regime repeatedly assured the public and the Congress that it would make the decision for war only upon the best intelligence that Saddam had failed to disarm.


UNMOVIC was very close to discovering the truth of Kay's epiphany months earlier and without the subtanstial costs to US power, security, lives and dollars.

The only reason that $700 million search continues is that Bush wants to postpone investigation into how he managed to perpetrate such a collosal fraud until after the election.

Ironically, Tom Daschle initially proposed that the Senate not consider the Iraq War Resolution until after the 2002 election just as Bush I requested and Congress granted in Gulf War I. Tragically Daschle caved in the face of Bush's relentless warmongering/mid term election campaign.



3271. jexster - 1/26/2004 8:49:33 AM

"T]he intelligence community is not an objective observer when critiquing the Bush administration's handling of the intelligence, that they might have good reasons to play up the White House's culpability in the fiasco[.] Kay makes the point briefly and somewhat obliquely, but well."

Kay didn't make the point briefly or obliquely. Kay didn't make that point at all or even come close - certainly not in that quote and from what I gather from the reviews, not in his report either.

Did you read your post?

Yes the CIA is not an impartial observer. So what? There must be more. Try as I might, I can't connect one dot.

3272. jayackroyd - 1/26/2004 9:23:41 AM

3268

So which is it for you, rdb? Upheld, or rejected?

3273. jexster - 1/26/2004 10:25:33 AM

Blix said the United States should have known the intelligence was flawed last year when leads followed up by U.N. inspectors didn't produce any results.


"I was beginning to wonder what was going on. Weren't they wondering too?" he told The Associated Press by telephone. Speaking of Kay's resignation, Blix said, "If you find yourself on a train that's going in the wrong direction, its best to get off at the next stop."


3274. quakeii - 1/26/2004 10:28:23 AM

"Maybe it's just me but I think flim-flaming a good part of the world into an unnecessary war is criminal and if we don't boot their sorry asses out of office then we deserve them."

robertjayb--

I'm afraid the American voting public will prove that they indeed deserve them in ten months.

3275. judithathome - 1/26/2004 10:31:42 AM

I agree with Quakeii.

3276. robertjayb - 1/26/2004 11:06:28 AM

Yes, I fear we lack the wisdom of Hans Blix:

"If you find yourself on a train that's going in the wrong direction, its best to get off at the next stop."


3277. robertjayb - 1/26/2004 11:11:22 AM

Riverbend has trouble sleeping---and doing laundry...

3278. jexster - 1/26/2004 11:28:08 AM

He should be thankful he doesn't live here:

Tensions Bring Kirkuk's Ethnic Meltiing Pot to a Boil
US Officials Fear Kurd Nationalism Will Spark Nationwide Civil War

3279. jexster - 1/26/2004 11:31:17 AM

Why do you think I would deserve an elected George Bush robert?

3280. jayackroyd - 1/26/2004 9:34:58 PM

rdb, still waiting for a response to 3272. Should Kay be relied upon, or not, in your view?

3281. jexster - 1/26/2004 10:46:03 PM

David Kay is no fool..he's a Company Man....Company Cover for Operation Bush Root and Branch...

The MO interview is identical to MO Kay report. Its also Company SOP...Tenant's pattern is no different...

Daming with faint praise with a CIA twist...Damning with feint praise...

Follow carefully...so devilishly clever it is almost Asiatic!


ITEM 1 - Kay's Conversion..Arsenic and Old Cake

WASHINGTON - The White House retreated Monday from its once-confident claims that Iraq (news - web sites) had weapons of mass destruction, and Democrats swiftly sought to turn the about-face into an election-year issue against President Bush (news - web sites). The administration's switch came after retired chief U.S. weapons inspector David Kay said he had concluded, after nine months of searching, that Saddam Hussein (news - web sites) did not have stockpiles of forbidden weapons and its WMD production likely ended in 1991. Asked about Kay's remarks, White House spokesman Scott McClellan refused to repeat oft-stated assertions that prohibited weapons eventually would be found.


McClellan said the inspectors should continue their work "so that they can draw as complete a picture as possible. And then we can learn — it will help us learn the truth."


Kay, meanwhile, was called to appear at a public hearing of the Senate Armed Services Committee (news - web sites) on Wednesday and agreed to attend, a Senate aide said.

3282. jexster - 1/26/2004 10:47:00 PM


ITEM #2 - First Feint - All The CIA's fault
See RD's quote Message # 3266 Double Dark Chocolate Butter Cream Frosting


Item 3 - Teary Eyed CIA Analysts Wracked with Guilt Confess to Dr. Kay, Company Confessor

Dr. Kay said the fundamental errors in prewar intelligence assessments were so grave that he would recommend that the Central Intelligence Agency and other organizations overhaul their intelligence collection and analytical efforts.

Dr. Kay said analysts had come to him, "almost in tears, saying they felt so badly that we weren't finding what they had thought we were going to find — I have had analysts apologizing for reaching the conclusions that they did."

In response to Dr. Kay's comments, an intelligence official said Sunday that while some prewar assessments may have been wrong, "it is premature to say that the intelligence community's judgments were completely wrong or largely wrong — there are still a lot of answers we need." The official added, however, that the C.I.A. had already begun an internal review to determine whether its analytical processes were sound.
So reasonable!! So contrite!!!

Uriah Heap Humility

3283. jexster - 1/26/2004 10:48:29 PM


Item #4 - The Syrian Mirage - Pretty Sprinkles to Finish
Demcrats.com ITS A SET UP!
David Kay Now Says WMDs are in Syria


We here at Democrats.com, who have followed Bush toady David Kay's career with much interest (not to mention fear and loathing), were stunned when he recently stated there were no WMDs in Iraq. Was this the same man who kept making the media rounds to push Iraq's guilt before any new
inspectors had even set foot in Baghdad? Ya know what they say: If it sounds too good to be true.... Turns out Kay was using his "media moment" last week simply as the "run up" to his Bush-scripted statement this week: the WMDs are not in Iraq, 'cause they are in SYRIA. So let's invade and connect those oil pipeline dots from Iraq to the Mediterranean!


Diabolical Bush Dupes Media Again!

LITTLE PROBLEM: Kay never said that. He juxstaposed but never connected two factual conclusions - Chaos in first weeks stymied Inspection...Syria couldn't wouldn't seal its borders..its all in the mind...

BIG PROBLEM: Kay induced short term amnesia at Democrats.com....No weapons to smuggle!!! ITEM #1 HELLO!!

3284. robertjayb - 1/26/2004 11:39:57 PM

You get a line and I'll get a pole...

We'll go down to the crawdad hole...

Crawfishin'

3285. jexster - 1/26/2004 11:51:48 PM

Let's take another look in slow motion...

Let's do a slow mo instant replay:

1. No weapons since 1995, No production since 1991 - The Poison
2. All CiA;s fault - Attracts Republicans
3. CIA Agents Confess Sins Against Bush - Attracts More Republicans
4. WMD's in Syria - Democrats.com not fooled for one second...Deno Shit Fit Attracts Republican Flies


Outcome: Republicans see what they want, Democrats see what they want & cry foul, Republicans like shrieking democrats see

Sooo....


That Intel Commmitee Investigation that DeLay labored mightly to postpone for another year or so...two days ago in DeLay Election Year Deep Freezer



Well ITS BAAACK


PRESTO - Armed Services Committee - Let's get to the bottom of this right now!

The CIA threw the spotlight on selected faults, all right, theirs! "Come please expose us, shame on us all Mr. Bush"

Perfect indirection leads directly to Bush. The CIA cannot escape responsibilty for their intelligence and their evaluation but they can damn well nail Bush's ass to the wall for lying; make Bush's election year very uncomfortable...

If Kay's sleight of hand sounds familiar, it should.

Tenant Yellow Cake...leaps on sword... accepts full blame for yellow cake lies...

Such loyal servants of Our Leader keeping friends close and enemies closer

Days later, with all the lights switched on, that sword took a whack out of Bush.

Again....9-1-1 Tenant selflessly rolls...and guess who Gov Kean is focusing on today

And again, judiciously chosen insider leaks every onec in a while...no big deal...ah but what about all those chatty retired analysts, agents, station chiefs?

Deniabilty and diversion is their game...its why they're called spooks!

3286. jayackroyd - 1/27/2004 2:09:44 AM

Well, I'm still waiting for rdb's response.

3287. jexster - 1/27/2004 10:33:56 AM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - Three US soldiers were killed and one wounded in a large explosion in the restive Euphrates valley town of Khaldiya, west of Baghdad.


AFP/File Photo




Latest headlines:
· White House brushes off Kay comments
AFP - 21 minutes ago
· Key players get early copies of Hutton report
AFP - 23 minutes ago
· 3 U.S. Soldiers Killed in Iraq Blasts
AP - 50 minutes ago
Special Coverage





"We are aware of an incident in the 82nd Airborne Division area at 13:30 pm (1030 GMT) involving a large explosion in Khaldiya," a US military spokesman said Tuesday.


"Early reports indicate three killed, one wounded US soldiers

3288. robertjayb - 1/27/2004 11:40:34 AM

Kofi leaps in...(WashPost)

U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan announced Tuesday in Paris that he is sending a team of U.N. experts to Iraq to determine whether elections can be organized to choose a transitional Iraqi government by this summer.



The decision, which Annan made in a statement released this morning in Paris, where he was meeting with French President Jacques Chirac, marks the most significant expansion of the United Nations' role in Iraq since Annan evacuated most staffers from the country in late October. The move also increased prospects that the United Nations will emerge as a mediator between U.S. authorities and critics in Iraq over how the country will make the transition to self-rule.


3289. wonkers2 - 1/27/2004 11:43:07 AM

The biggest factor in Iraq at present is not Iraq elections but U.S. elections!

3290. robertjayb - 1/27/2004 4:28:30 PM

Bloody Tuesday...

(CBS/AP) A roadside bomb exploded south of Baghdad late Tuesday, killing three U.S. soldiers and wounding three others, the U.S. military said.

The attack occurred about 8 p.m. near Iskandariyah, some 25 miles south of the Iraqi capital, a military statement said.

Earlier Tuesday, three other U.S. soldiers were killed in a bombing near Khaldiyah, west of Baghdad. Two Iraqi civilians also were killed in the ambush — including one who was shot in the stomach as he stood in his office nearby, hospital staff said.

3291. jexster - 1/27/2004 4:35:28 PM

This will shatter the hearts and hopes of our Moral Morons newly converted Human Rights Activists ...you can almost here the Ba-Ba-Bush Sheep bleating ..."OOO baa baaaaa he gaaa-aaa-aaaased hiiii-iiiz people"



Unholy sheep shit: Iraq war unjustified says human rights group

The US and British governments cannot justify the Iraq war on humanitarian grounds, according to the annual report of Human Rights Watch published yesterday.

3292. wonkers2 - 1/27/2004 5:02:18 PM

Well, that means Bush will have to drop his claim to having done more for human rights than any other president. That leaves having done more for the environment, the middle class taxpayer, homeland security, etc, etc.

3293. jexster - 1/27/2004 5:44:05 PM

More on The Big Bunker Busting Bomb


Bush's State of the Union (SOTU) address failed to generate the traditional post-speech bounce in presidential support. Today more results of the poll have been released and further illustrate his lack of success in moving public opinion.

they asked voters who selected a given issue as "very important" whether they thought a Democratic president would do a better job than Bush on that issue. Here are the same issues with the percentage point lead (or deficit) for a Democratic president among these voters: economy and jobs (+22); health care (+34); education (+22); terrorism and homeland security (-18); situation in Iraq (dead even); and Social Security/Medicare (+32).

Then, they asked voters who selected a given issue as "very important" whether they thought a Democratic president would do a better job than Bush on that issue. Here are the same issues with the percentage point lead (or deficit) for a Democratic president among these voters: economy and jobs (+22); health care (+34); education (+22); terrorism and homeland security (-18); situation in Iraq (dead even); and Social Security/Medicare (+32).


Pretty interesting! Despite how much Bush dwelt on terrorism and Iraq in his SOTU address, his lead on the former, his area of greatest strength, is actually less than the Democratic leads on the four domestic issues. And he has no lead whatsoever on Iraq, the front line, according to him, of the war against terror



Finally, how about this one: "Do you think going to war with Iraq has made Americans safer from terrorism?". Yes: 44 percent. No: 53 percent. Since this is exactly the case Bush was trying to make in the SOTU, disagreement here is a telling indicator that his speech should be considered "mission not accomplished".

3294. jexster - 1/27/2004 5:45:49 PM

OOOPs Bush Big Bombs are going off all around..I know ahark feels like when chum

hits the water..

FEEDIN TIME..bring it on

3295. robertjayb - 1/28/2004 10:41:14 AM

Shazaam! A new pre-election offensive...Generals Rove and Rumsfeld will take the point...Lt. dubya will fly cover

WASHINGTON (AP) - The Pentagon is planning a new offensive to foil the expected movement of Taliban figures and Al-Qaida terrorists in still-troubled regions of Afghanistan, officials said Wednesday.

Defense officials have issued an order alerting troops to the planned ``spring offensive'' so forces can start working on logistics and getting equipment in place, one official said on condition of anonymity.


3296. judithathome - 1/28/2004 10:48:44 AM



They might have done this earlier...it's not like the opportunity hasn't been there. But I suppose they think the elections in Iraq and pulling out of there will be almost done by June so a little diversionary action in the spring will take up the slack.

I wonder how many Americans are getting tired of seeing the totals of dead soldiers every day? They reached a limit during Viet Nam; maybe they have a limit now, too.

3297. jexster - 1/28/2004 11:03:19 AM

BAGHDAD (AFP) - Five Iraqis plus a suicide bomber were killed when a powerful car bomb tore off the front of a hotel in central Baghdad.

Bush's "Win-win".

3298. jexster - 1/28/2004 11:10:42 AM

WASHINGTON - Senators want to speak with the former top U.S. weapons inspector who said he couldn't find evidence that Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction, a primary justification by President Bush for the war in Iraq

3299. jexster - 1/28/2004 11:20:14 AM

Kurds & Whey - BIG Win-Win

The crisis over elections in Iraq is destabilising the north of the country, where thousands of Kurds were yesterday campaigning for the right to remain autonomous amid fears they would be "sold out" by the coalition authoritie


Two major things to look for in February:

1. Pitchers and catchers report to Spring Training Camp
2. Regis Debray's "Indispensilbe Nation" will appear on the Harper's Website and we'll be rubbing TD's nose in the Tricolor.


Hell I might even trot it over to the PerfectSpider hole just for funnzies

3300. jexster - 1/28/2004 11:33:19 AM

WMD Were Quietly Destroyed
Ex-weapons inspector Kay says new evidence shows Iraqis got rid of chemical and bio weapons in the '90s


So you can stop looking now RD.

3301. jexster - 1/28/2004 11:42:43 AM

RD...Now that you no longer need search for figments of Emperor Georgie's fevered imagination, you'll have alot of time on your hands.

I've given some thought to how you, a Libertarian, might profitably wile away the hours.

I picked out a selection of readings from the CATO INSTITUTE that I am sure you will enjoy. Ronksi too if he ever comes out from under his bed...Hey Ronsk no UAV's overhead its safe now.

How to Exit Iraq, Dump Neo-Con Policy, and Win Re-election


Iraq: Exit Rather Than Spend

Washington's Peter Pan Strategy for Iraq

Now you boyz enjoy your Libertarian reading rally and lemme know when you finish. There's more where that came from.

Seconds even thirds on King Georgie's Shiite Sandwiches

3302. robertjayb - 1/28/2004 12:00:41 PM

Hoo Boy! Talk about leading a witness. Looks like the GOP senators are lining up to give blowjobs if Kay gives the right answers.

3303. marjoribanks - 1/28/2004 12:47:37 PM

The War on Terrorism, the campaign against the jihadis who have disrupted normal life in a huge swathe of the world, has been on the back-burner for a while as the US set off on its colonial adventure in Iraq.

From the first, I have pointed out here that there has been a ridiculous and uncomfortable silence about the some of the real breeding-grounds for the most dangerous terrorists. The nexus that spawned the direct links between Mohammed Atta as well as the killer of Daniel Pearl, and - pehaps - the distribution of nuclear technology to extrmist groups, the nexus that bred the Taliban on one end. In short, the extremist element in Pakistan that Washington refuses to mention even as it lied about Saddam Hussein's potential in these areas.

Now, with ample warning, the US appears ready to act on the side of the Pakistani majority. This is the story, and it will be a huge deal in the spring if it goes forward.

Is it too late? I suspect it may be.

3304. robertjayb - 1/28/2004 2:03:03 PM

Won't you be my friend?

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan expects $400-500 million debt write-off from the United States, said Finance Minister Shaukat Aziz.

Speaking at a joint press conference with Commerce Minister Humayun Akhtar Khan here on Tuesday, Shaukat said the agreement to this effect would be signed shortly between the two countries under $395 million package for the US financial year 2004 that began on October 1, 2003.


3305. judithathome - 1/28/2004 4:08:40 PM

Where Did Iraq Get Weapons?

The Senate committee's reports on 'US Chemical and Biological Warfare-Related Dual-Use Exports to Iraq', undertaken in 1992 in the wake of the Gulf war, give the date and destination of all US exports. The reports show, for example, that on May 2, 1986, two batches of bacillus anthracis -- the micro-organism that causes anthrax -- were shipped to the Iraqi Ministry of Higher Education, along with two batches of the bacterium clostridium botulinum, the agent that causes deadly botulism poisoning.

One batch each of salmonella and E coli were shipped to the Iraqi State Company for Drug Industries on August 31, 1987. Other shipments went from the US to the Iraq Atomic Energy Commission on July 11, 1988; the Department of Biology at the University of Basrah in November 1989; the Department of Microbiology at Baghdad University in June 1985; the Ministry of Health in April 1985 and Officers' City, a military complex in Baghdad, in March and April 1986.

The shipments to Iraq went on even after Saddam Hussein ordered the gassing of the Kurdish town of Halabja, in which at least 5000 men, women and children died. The atrocity, which shocked the world, took place in March 1988, but a month later the components and materials of weapons of mass destruction were continuing to arrive in Baghdad from the US.



3306. vonKreedon - 1/28/2004 4:37:21 PM

Marj - You say, Now, with ample warning, the US appears ready to act on the side of the Pakistani majority. Are you so sure that we will be acting with the majority? The article you cite says, ...his [Musharraf] cooperation with U.S. anti-terrorism efforts is widely unpopular among average Pakistanis. It is certainly my understanding that this move will be very unpopular, and likely meet with armed resistance in the FATA that would be the main area of operation. It seems to me that this operation would have to be primarily Pakistani, at least on the ground, with the US providing intelligence, logistics, fire support and advice.

The thing that worries me about this is Pak's nukes. To me they are the single biggest threat with regards to the use of WMD against the US. If Musharraf falls and is replaced by a Taliban-like regime, or by a chaotic power struggle, then all bets are off on the security of Pak's nukes. Unlike Iraq, we know that Pak possesses them and keeping them from falling into the hands of alQaeda should be a top priority, even over the killing/capturing of Osama.

3307. jexster - 1/28/2004 8:10:52 PM

THANK YOU SPECIAL AGENT KAY!!!

Special K has unleashed the rats of war...Congressmen are running to the nearest TV camera and saying such things as...

".not only did Bush lie but members of the Intelligence Committee looked me in the face and told me lies before I cast my vote."

3308. OhioSTOPAS - 1/28/2004 9:13:07 PM

On Monday morning our local Clear Channel radio station had nothing to say about Kay's conclusions except (as close to verbatim as I can remember): "Kay tells the London Telegraph that Saddam sent his weapons of mass destruction programs to Syria."

Clear Channel, bringing "fair and balanced" news (sic) coverage to your ears.

3309. wonkers2 - 1/28/2004 10:23:42 PM

Where did Iraq get the weapons? The ugly truth is one reason why some were so sure that Iraq had WMD--because we knew what the U.S. had shipped to Iraq.

3311. angel-five - 1/28/2004 11:32:03 PM

I'll say it even though it's unpopular, especially in my wing of American politics -- Iraq did not give up WMD. Iraq had WMD, it was a shit-stupid reason to invade and the Bush administration is now reaping that whirlwind although thousands of Iraqi civilians aren't breathing and hence cannot, it was indelibly retarded of our commander in chief the draft dodging coke snorting fratboy monkey to make the case in this vein, let alone ties to al-Qaeda. But let's not pretend that Iraq really went out into the desert and dumped all their WMD and then abandoned the program. As I have said before, it doesn't take much at all to hide a WMD program especially if you're not producing weapons stocks, and that's what Iraq did.

3312. jexster - 1/29/2004 1:03:00 AM



Guess what they're sayin on Capitol Hill now?

"WOW, why in the hell do we have to wait while Bushie roots around Iraq with 700 Milliono of the taxpayers money just so he can delay the investigation into his lies? "


Special K, Agent CIA

Did ole Jex hit another out of the park?

We're not worthy...we're not worthy!

3313. jexster - 1/29/2004 1:09:57 AM

Hey Acie, Hey Al, Take a Bite of Georgie's Big Shiite Sandwich


BAQUBA, Iraq (Reuters) - An explosion hit an Iraqi security patrol in the restive town of Baquba, north of Baghdad, Thursday and witnesses said they feared many casualties.

The blast struck members of the Iraqi Civil Defense Force as they were conducting an early morning patrol through the town, 40 miles north of Baghdad, which has been the scene of repeated attacks against Iraqi forces in recent weeks.

3314. OhioSTOPAS - 1/29/2004 6:30:14 AM

Although David Kay's recent statements are generally embarrassing to the Bush Administration, the celebrated Mr. Kay is nevertheless being a loyal political soldier and insisting that the fault was with our intelligence agencies, not the Resident.

However, this chronology refutes any argument that Bush, Cheney, Powell et al were honestly and in good faith relaying intelligence findings to the American people.

3315. wonkers2 - 1/29/2004 6:37:49 AM

Everyone should read the excellent and damning chronology. I subscribe to several of the publications cited and, as a result, never believed Bush's assertions about WMD.

3316. wonkers2 - 1/29/2004 6:40:12 AM

Moreover, the real issue is whatever weapons Iraq had, whether it was an iminent threat to the United States. It clearly wasn't.

3317. jexster - 1/29/2004 11:35:08 AM

BUSH Tries to Block Independent Investigation of Lies



WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Bush (news - web sites)'s national security advisor tried on Thursday to head off calls for an independent investigation into flawed intelligence about Iraq (news - web sites)'s weapons programs and said the United States may never learn the truth because of post-war looting

SURPRISE SURPRISE: When Bush Tries to Hide, He Has Something TO Hide

And they trotted out a new lie to cover the first. Just like a 5 year old might.

3318. robertjayb - 1/29/2004 11:36:29 AM

Oops! No G.I.'s for Pakistan...(CBS/AP)

Pakistan will not allow U.S. troops to use its soil for a planned "spring offensive" against Taliban or al Qaeda fugitives, officials said Thursday.

Brig. Javed Iqbal Cheema, who as chief of the National Crisis Management Cell coordinates with U.S. officials in the war against terrorism, said Pakistan's policy did not allow U.S. troops to operate inside the country.

3319. jexster - 1/29/2004 11:40:54 AM

Bush was just tryin to save Ole Pervez's butt and that's the thanks he gets!

3320. jexster - 1/29/2004 11:42:13 AM

Guess what

BAGHDAD, Iraq - Osama bin Laden (news - web sites)'s terror network is seeking a foothold in Iraq (news - web sites) as evidenced by the recent arrest of a top al-Qaida operative trying to enter northern Iraq, the commander of coalition forces said Thursday.

The colonia is headed to hell in a handbasket and takin us with it.

3321. jexster - 1/29/2004 11:46:33 AM

Message # 3314


I don't buy the "good soldier" argument for a minute principally because as Ohio points out, it is so demonstrably untrue based just on the scattered mostly CIA leaked portions of the NIE 2002 and other stuff too.


Special K is CIA...the "good soldier" routine does double duty - the obvious (prove loyalty) and the not so obvious (make a charge that invites investigation which leads to BUsh's ass)....if any are familiar with that chronology and know where the bodies are buried its the CIA

3322. jexster - 1/29/2004 11:46:55 AM

The Company is layin herbicide to the Bush

3323. jexster - 1/29/2004 12:14:00 PM

Deja Vu All Over Again - The Democracy Lie
Bush Fully Disengaged
White House split over self-rule


The White House is deeply divided over plans to hand over power to the Iraqis. Cheney and Rumsfeld, unsurprisingly, would rather hand the baton as early as April to the unelected Iraqi Governing Council. The move would allow Bush to run on claims of having restored sovereignty to Iraq while still keeping his favorite lackeys in power. And in keeping with previous battles, the plan is being opposed by the State Department and the CIA, who would prefer to broker a compromise with the leading Shiite cleric, Ayatollah Sistani, who is calling for direct elections.

3324. jexster - 1/29/2004 12:22:31 PM

NOTA BENE in the SJ Merc article that The George Washington of Iraq has reared his vile head in the debate again. Just as he poisoned the well going into this mess...

Who can forget?

To paraphrase:

Q: Aren't you a bit ashamed that your bogus intel played such a huge role in conning the US public?

A: Fuck no. We're in Baghdad

3325. marjoribanks - 1/29/2004 12:30:19 PM

Are you so sure that we will be acting with the majority? The article you cite says, ...his [Musharraf] cooperation with U.S. anti-terrorism efforts is widely unpopular among average Pakistanis. It is certainly my understanding that this move will be very unpopular, and likely meet with armed resistance in the FATA that would be the main area of operation.

Reasonable question.

It is possible, Kreedon, to be fiercely nationalistic (and very suspicious of US motivations) and simultaneously oppose the jihadis and the extremist element that roils Pakistani politics. One bit of evidence for this is the continual poor showing of extremist Islamic parties (though this has improved in the last go-around) in the national elections.

The NWFP (FATA) and Baluchistan are exceptional, in this regard, because they are much less centrally-controlled. And when these two regions vote, they vote for the Taliban. Not friends of the Taliban, not associates of the Taliban, the Taliban itself.

There is a hard line to be walked here. The majority of Pakistanis do want the corrosive influence of the extremists to be reduced or eliminated. But they are also highly suspicious of the US and would certainly be suspicious of any US military actions within Pak. So your surmise about the potential make-up of a serious military attempt to take out the more extreme elements in Pakistan may in fact be correct.

For a piece illustrating the thinking of educated Paks in the majority I'm talking about, read this.

3326. marjoribanks - 1/29/2004 12:37:10 PM

Cheney and Rumsfeld, unsurprisingly, would rather hand the baton as early as April to the unelected Iraqi Governing Council.

I might have commented on this earlier.

Seymour Hersh (I think) wrote that, a few months into the occupation of Iraq when Powell was running around trying to get diplomatic support, he and Cheney ran into each other at the WH.

Apparently (Hersh has been reliable in these matters) Cheney barrelled up to the SofS, jabbed a finger into his chest, and barked out something like "if you hadn't stopped us from putting Chalabi in charge right after the statue fell, we wouldn't be in the mess we're in now."

It's breathtaking, it's staggering. This is a hard, hard man, a dangerous person, a hard-boiled ideologue to the core. He wanted to effect a coup, have his boy in charge, let his boy be the figurehead for a bloodbath of retribution, and then jimmy things so that his boy would be in control forever. Forget the rhetoric, forget the sunny babbling about democracy, this was meant to be an old-fashioned, muscle-power, coup. And Cheney still wants to see if he can pull it off.

3327. jexster - 1/29/2004 1:29:39 PM

Marjie this is SOS that's been happening and public since the very first weeks of the Bush admin..

Deep divisions, unrestrained internecine bureaucratic political warfare are warning signs of, as O'Neil so aptly put it, a "disengaged" president and invariably result in policy confusion and unpleasant outcomes.. entirely predictable and predicted.

3328. jexster - 1/29/2004 1:31:56 PM

When Wolfowitz candidly admitted that the Cheney Regime used the WMD lie for "bureaucratic reasons" what he was really admitting was that the above confused policy dynamic had the Regime in a rut.



Followed Bush Roadmap

3329. jexster - 1/29/2004 1:50:19 PM

The shadow of Iraq
Who will pay the price for war and occupation?

3330. wonkers2 - 1/29/2004 1:50:32 PM

Cheney is suffering from hardening of the arteries of the brain.

3331. jexster - 1/29/2004 1:50:53 PM

Big shiite sandwich and we're all gonna have to take a bite...

3332. robertjayb - 1/29/2004 1:59:26 PM

dailykos.com has a long list of quotes refuting the bushies' claim of not calling Saddam an imminent threat.

3333. robertjayb - 1/29/2004 2:08:59 PM

Seven soldiers killed today...

KABUL (Reuters) - An explosion in southern Afghanistan killed seven U.S. soldiers and wounded three others on Thursday, the U.S. army said.



U.S. central command said in a statement the soldiers were killed when working near an arms cache in the southern province of Ghazni on Thursday afternoon. An interpreter was also injured and another soldier was missing, the statement said.




3334. jexster - 1/29/2004 2:09:57 PM

Meanwhile, the misery of the occupation of Iraq grows, as US and British claims to have liberated the country are exposed as a fraud. While the resistance continues to inflict daily casualties on the occupation forces in the centre and north of Iraq - regardless of the capture of Saddam Hussein - the Shia religious leader Ayatollah Ali Sistani has put himself at the head of a mass popular movement for democracy, opposed by the very US occupiers who insisted they were invading to trigger a democratic revolution across the Middle East.

There are now around 13,000 Iraqis imprisoned without trial; evidence of torture and brutality by US and British occupation forces is growing; and the CIA has warned that Iraq is at risk of slipping into a three-way civil war. For most Iraqis, life has got worse under the occupation and even on the crudest calculus, many more have been killed since Saddam Hussein was overthrown than in his last period in power: as the US-based Human Rights Watch pointed out this week, Saddam's worst atrocities date from the days when he was backed by the west.

This is the legacy of the decision by Tony Blair and George Bush to invade a country that posed no threat either to Britain or to the US. There is no way in which the Iraq war can somehow be put behind us.


There are those 3 initials again....leading one to ask, why are they talking at all?????

Why didn't Special K just keep silent? Let his report, damning as it was, speak for itself????


The answer is as plain as the nose on your face.

3335. wonkers2 - 1/29/2004 7:00:38 PM

I wonder what the Hutton Commission's evidence for it's whitewash of Tony Blair and his PR man and for its censure of BBC?

3336. jexster - 1/29/2004 9:23:55 PM

Special K on Newshour, the show that makes you smarter:

"I'm just a technician. I don't know anything about politics.

Layin it on thick

3337. jexster - 1/30/2004 12:07:33 AM

Iraq is steadily coming apart...the latest from Prof Cole

10,000 Shiites Protest in Nasiriyah, seek Resignation of Provincial Council

Looks like the Shiites are hard at work...not only on the national level but they're trying to take the whole rotten edifice of the Colonial Puppet Regime down at its foundations

3338. jexster - 1/30/2004 12:16:47 AM

And let it never be said that I only press tendentious argument..

Prof. Cole's Wombatian answer to Human Rights Watch (I don't agree but I concede its a closer call than HRW):

I deeply disagree with the way the Bush administration pursued the war against Iraq. The hyping of unfounded 'intelligence,' the backroom deals with corrupt or authoritarian expatriates, the spying on the UNSC ambassadors and then the discarding of them, the disregard for the United
Nations Charter, the undermining of international law and the law of occupation--all of these steps and policies made our world so much more shoddy and dangerous and mistrustful.

That said, I simply must disagree with HRW and Mr. Roth that there were no humanitarian grounds for such a war. I believe that what Saddam was doing to the Marsh Arabs from the mid-1990s could legitimately qualify as a genocide. Likewise, the Anfal campaign against the Kurds. Although the
latter was carried out some years ago, the former had been recent and ongoing. Moreover, there is not in most legal systems any statute of limitations on murder, so I am not sure why there should be one on genocide or mass murder.

In short, I believe that the United Nations Security Council was obliged to remove Saddam Hussein from power on the basis of egregious violations of the UN Convention on Genocide

3339. jexster - 1/30/2004 6:23:18 PM

BAGHDAD, Iraq - Attackers fired two rocket-propelled grenades at the Dutch Embassy in Iraq (news - web sites) on Friday night, hitting the roof with one and setting it on fire. The blaze was quickly extinguished, and there were no injuries.

3340. Magoseph - 1/31/2004 6:07:14 AM

At Least 9 Killed in Blast at Police Station in Iraq
BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) -- A car bomb exploded Saturday outside a police station in Iraq's third largest city, killing at least nine people and wounding 45, witnesses and hospital staff said.

Witnesses in Mosul saw severed limbs and decapitated bodies on the street in front of the police station. Windows of buildings were shattered and plumes of smoke could be seen in the area.

Staff at the Republican Hospital in Mosul said nine people including civilians and policemen were killed and 45 others were injured.

Saturday was a pay day and the police station was crowded with staff at the time of the midmorning attack, said police Lt. Mohammed Fadil.

A U.S. military spokesman said: ``We are aware of a report of an IED (improvised explosive device) or a car bomb that exploded near the Mosul police station this morning.'' He said he had no other details.

Al-Jazeera television network said the pieces of the car apparently carrying the bomb were found 300 yards away. At least five nearby cars were damaged.

It said no American troops were in the vicinity at the time of the blast.

3341. wonkers2 - 1/31/2004 9:40:29 AM

Iraqis don't count. Bush is only keeping track of Americans and trying to bury those numbers.

3342. robertjayb - 1/31/2004 2:31:34 PM

Three deadly months:

Iraq Coalition Casualty Count...

3343. TheWizardOfWhimsy - 1/31/2004 3:27:42 PM

3344. robertjayb - 1/31/2004 8:13:12 PM

Mirror Imaging...Maureen Dowd

...They (the bushies) had come into office itching to replay the '91 war and try out their democracy domino theory in the Middle East — mirror imaging writ large. They grabbed 9/11 as an opening, yanked power away from Colin Powell and persuaded the popular diplomat to compromise his integrity by touting sketchy evidence at the U.N., with the puppet Tenet as his wingman.

The moral of Vietnam was supposed to be that we would never again go to war without understanding the culture of our antagonists, or exaggerate their threat to us.


3345. arkymalarky - 1/31/2004 8:30:01 PM

quick off-topic question for Robert: Did I email you info on what I've been working on in AR?

3346. robertjayb - 1/31/2004 9:09:05 PM

Haven't seen such. My ISP email has been rejecting email with attachments. Try robertxb@yahoo.com.

3347. robertjayb - 1/31/2004 10:54:35 PM

The Washington Post says dubya has okayed an intelligence query and that an announcement is imminent. My advice to the bushies is stay away from that word imminent.

Anyone know where whitewash and stonewall futures are traded?

(Dana Milbank and Dana Priest)--President Bush has agreed to support an independent inquiry into the prewar intelligence that he used to assert that Saddam Hussein was stockpiling weapons of mass destruction, Republican and congressional sources said today.

The shift by the White House, which had previously maintained that any such inquiry should wait until a more exhaustive weapons search has been complete, came after pressure from lawmakers in both parties and from the former chief U.S. weapons inspector in Iraq.


3348. jexster - 2/1/2004 6:44:15 AM

He couldn't have that dispute fester a minute longer. Good move..

Just watch though, he'll jerk them around on procedures, time limits and materials esp. White House materials just as he did with 9-1-1.

3349. jexster - 2/1/2004 7:24:13 AM

Robert...

Vietnam is a model of statecraft compared to this. The WMD fearmongering isn't even the worst of it. The Domino Theory of Asian Communism enjoyed near universal public support and broad support in academic circles too.

For the Cheney Regime to have made a Democracy Domino Theory a foundational premise of their War on Iraq is appalling.

O'Neill's formulation fits perfectly as once again ideology and politics trump fact and sound analysis in what passes for Bush policymaking.

3350. Magoseph - 2/1/2004 7:39:46 AM

RBIL, Iraq (AP) -- Two suicide bombers blew themselves up at the offices of two rival Kurdish parties in this northern Iraqi city, killing at least 57 people and injuring more than 235. One Kurdish minister said the death toll could rise above 100.
The dead included the governor of the region, ministers in the local administration and several senior officials, Mohammed Ihsan, the human rights minister for the Kurdish regional government, told The Associated Press.

3351. wonkers2 - 2/1/2004 8:42:54 AM

Cheney's interest in democracy is relatively recent. He opposed U.S. efforts to unseat the apartheid government in South Africa. Of course, there were only diamonds in South Africa, not oil. And Israel wasn't a factor.

3352. wonkers2 - 2/1/2004 11:40:31 AM

Here's what Bush, Cheney, Powell, Rumsfeld have to answer to the American public on, on WMD, in my opinion. They took intelligence reports and conclusions which they knew were qualified and controversial in many respects (eg the aluminum tubes, etc.) and based on untested human intelligence from Iraqi refugees referred by Chalabi and they spoke to the American public and to the United Nations with great certainty and assurance about Iraq's weapons programs, certainty that exceeded the intelligence evidence. They owe us a mea culpa. In Powell's case I hope we don't have to wait 40 years as in the case of Robert McNamara. (Check the slow thread for a rather pointed comment on McNamara by Howell Rains. I'll post it shortly.)

3353. judithathome - 2/1/2004 1:45:27 PM

Very interesting discussion on ABC this morning with James Woolsey, Richard Holbrooke, George Will, and Fareed whose last name I always screw up. Woolsey was outclassed by everyone.

Bottom line...the 150 day timeline for a new Iraqi government is ridiculous and won't be met. Woolsey seemed to think it was possible but the others pointed out that was whistling in the wind.

3354. wonkers2 - 2/1/2004 2:31:33 PM

Woolsey was one of the earliest talking heads on Television supporting the invasion of Iraq. He is a big ally of the neo-cons.

3355. judithathome - 2/1/2004 3:21:11 PM

Wasn't he in line early on to become head PoohBah in Iraq, too?

3356. wonkers2 - 2/1/2004 3:32:18 PM

I'm sure he was considered. He was also probably one of the first links to Chalabi. All I remember is seeing Woolsey flacking for Bush's regime change policy about once a week on one talk show or another starting shortly after the inauguration.

3357. OhioSTOPAS - 2/1/2004 5:03:15 PM

Today's Repub talking point, "Bush was misled by the CIA's overestimation of Iraq WMD's," is just a little bit undercut by the fact that the same conservatives now parroting this point were previously complaining that the CIA was UNDERESTIMATING the true danger of Iraq WMD's. The blogger Atrios (atrios.blogspot.com) has some good then-and-now quotes. Also, as Matthew Yglesias (www.matthewyglesias.com) notes,

"God -- the spin machine really is good. Suddenly over the past 48 hours every single figure on the right seems to have come to a unanimous decision that the CIA and the CIA alone is wholly to blame for the intelligence mishaps. But then why did Dick Cheney need to create an entire parallel intelligence apparatus under Doug Feith dedicated exclusively to explaining why the CIA was underestimating Iraq's WMD capacity?"

3358. wonkers2 - 2/1/2004 6:14:55 PM

Bye, Bye, George Tenet! I'm surprised he's lasted this long.

3359. robertjayb - 2/1/2004 7:34:11 PM

President to Order Inquiry Into Iraq Intelligence Lapses

WASHINGTON, Feb. 1 — President Bush will establish a bipartisan commission in the next few days to examine a broad overhaul of American intelligence operations, using the case of what went wrong in their assessments of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction as part of a look at the difficulties in penetrating secretive regimes and stateless groups that target the United States, senior administration officials said today.

And the result is...

It's all Bill Clinton's fault...

3360. jexster - 2/1/2004 8:52:39 PM

June 5, 2003 Post reported..."Cheney and his most senior aide [Scooter Libby] made multiple trips to the CIA over the past year to question analysts studying Iraq's weapons programs and alleged links to al Qaeda, creating an environment in which some analysts felt they were being pressured to make their assessments fit with the Bush administration's policy objectives, according to senior intelligence officials... They felt a continual drumbeat, not only from Cheney and Libby, but also from Deputy Defense Secretary Paul D. Wolfowitz, Feith, and less so from CIA Director George J. Tenet, to find information or write reports in a way that would help the administration make the case that going into Iraq was urgent."

Today we learned that the CIA didn't bend to the pressure.

That makes it easy. The buck doesn't stop bouncing around the Repsonsibility Regime but rather drops a nime here, a nickel there...

3361. jexster - 2/1/2004 8:59:38 PM

Yesterday" "President Bush has agreed to support an independent inquiry"

Today: "No independent inquiry. Blue Ribbon commission of Bush appointees"

3362. jexster - 2/1/2004 11:10:03 PM

Senior US Officials Knew in May there was no WMD in Iraq

The Observer reports that "US military survey teams sent to visit suspected sites of WMD, and intelligence interviews with Iraqi scientists and officials, had concluded" . . . as early as last May that there were no chemical or biological weapons stockpiles in Iraq, and nothing nuclear, either.

The Observer interviewed someone it identified as "a very senior US intelligence official" who served during the war against Iraq, and knew the WMD issue thoroughly. He said, "We had enough evidence at the beginning of May to start asking, 'where did we go wrong?' . . . We had already made the judgment that something very wrong had happened [in May] and our confidence was shaken to its foundations." The source asserted that the intelligence community had "suppressed dissenting views and intelligence."

This allegation directly contradicts the repeated assertions by the Bush administration and by the intelligence services themselves that no pressure was exerted on analysts.

The account was confirmed by former UN nuclear inspector David Albright: "It was known in May that no one was going to find large stockpiles of chemical and biological weapons. The only people who did not know that fact was the public."

Actually, some of the "public" wasn't unaware of at least some of these facts either. See the first entry for the Informed Comment column of June 11 and the March 18 email i cited there.

One obvious conclusion is that the Bush administration has known since May that its assertions that WMD may yet be found in Iraq were false or highly unlikely, and this is another area in which they have been willing to deliberately mislead the public. If you know that each time a coin is tossed there is a 50/50 chance it will come up heads, and you tell people the chance is 10/90, you are in effect lying to them.
Juan Cole

3363. jexster - 2/1/2004 11:48:22 PM

Ohio...

Josh Marshall was struck by the same and latest revisionist flimflam from Bush apologists ....The Base Cult of the Bush isn't very different from those Space Alien Suicides in San Diego a few years back or Jim Jones's suicides..they'll literally swallow anything

A pearl. Lapidary. As Churchill might have said, hypocrisy wrapped in mendacity, bundled up in ridiculousness. A true gem. Richard Perle tells the Times that the CIA did indeed sell the president a bill of goods. “The president is a consumer of intelligence, not a producer of it," Perle told the Times. "I have long thought our intelligence in the gulf has been woefully inadequate."

Right. Perle has long been a staunch critic of the CIA. His argument was that they understated the scope of Saddam’s WMD programs, naively discounted his ties to terrorist organizations and had an overly pessimistic vision of post-war Iraq.

In other words, if the CIA is all wet, Perle is all wet squared. Or probably even cubed.

The skeptical voices in the Intelligence Community --- the ones who are now vindicated in spades --- were the objects of his greatest derision. And his solution was to give even more credence to the unreliable defector testimony which played such a key role in our bamboozlement.

-- Josh Marshall

3364. jexster - 2/2/2004 3:53:56 PM

From the Kaleej Times, United Arab Emirates...


Wolfowitz Visit Detonates Escalation of Violence, Raising US Troop Death Toll to 250 Since May 1


Sending a man as despised by Iraqis as Paul Wolfowitz to Baghdad is like throwing gasoline on a smoldering fire. The last time he was there, on October 26, a rocket pounded the Rashid Hotel while he was in the building, killing one US soldier and wounding 17 other people. Now this weekend, immediately before and after Wolfowitz's arrival, some of the most deadly attacks yet have rocked Iraq, bringing the death toll of US soldiers killed since Bush declared an end to major conflict in May to 250. Scores of Iraqis died in attacks over the weekend, including 50-100 Kurds in an attack on the Kurdish Party Office.

ONLY A DEAD BRAIN WALKIN led by the deaf and the blind...

3365. Absensia - 2/2/2004 5:07:09 PM

Pakistan's Nuclear Kahn Confesses

Dr A.Q. Khan, who is credited to have set up Pakistan's nuclear programme, has admitted to having transferred nuclear technology to North Korea, Iran and Libya , authoritative sources disclosed in a background briefing to Dawn on Sunday.

Abundant evidence to the effect is also said to have been extracted during the almost two-month-long 'debriefing' of most of the top scientists and officials of the Khan Research Laboratories (KRL), the sources said.

The government is said to have also concluded that it was a huge intelligence lapse as those who were charged with safeguarding the country's nuclear secrets were found to have failed miserably to detect such a massive leak over such a long period.

"Everybody knew ours was a covert programme and every successive government and security agencies overlooked allegations about Dr Khan's assets in the interest of the programme and because of the trust in his person, who without any doubt was a towering personality," the sources said.

Newspaper reports have already given a long list of property and bank accounts alleging that Dr Khan had owned all of them in his own name.


Apparently, when Kahn was in charge of the nuclear development, the work was kept so secret that none of the Prime Ministers from Bhuto (father) through Sharif) were allowed on the premises and given only vague information.

3366. Absensia - 2/2/2004 5:21:54 PM

This should probably be in the International thread. Please move it, if you wish, Jay.

3367. wonkers2 - 2/2/2004 6:27:32 PM

Khan & Kissinger, two of a kind.

3368. robertjayb - 2/2/2004 6:37:24 PM

Whistle-ass now whimpers, "We know Saddam had the intent and capability to cause great harm."

No, you don't know that.

You're still making shit up.

3369. judithathome - 2/2/2004 6:42:24 PM

The president is a consumer of intelligence, not a producer of it," Perle told the Times.

Another embarrassing understatement.

3370. jexster - 2/3/2004 12:09:13 PM

a href=http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1802&e=1&u=/washpost/20040203/ts_washpost/a6995_2004feb2 target=new>Powell: Oh My If We Only Knew Then What We Know Now...

Oh my

Oh why

Oh that we may soon say "goodbye".

3371. jexster - 2/3/2004 12:10:17 PM

I oughta know better than to link before coffee

Oh damn

Powell: Oh My If We Only Knew Then What We Know Now...

3372. jexster - 2/3/2004 2:27:13 PM

Ace don't know squat but he sure knows when its time to skeeedaddle....



"WMD lies will become increasingly irrelevant...its a win-win for King Georgie" Eddie Dantes (RIP)

LONDON (AFP) - British Prime Minister Tony Blair (news - web sites) ordered an inquiry into the intelligence on Iraq (news - web sites)'s weapons programs used to justify war, bowing to intense political pressure after the United States agreed a similar probe.

3373. jayackroyd - 2/3/2004 4:00:31 PM

This newsweek article points out, kind of in sum in the middle of the article an interesting, and ironic fact.

Remember when Powell was saying that we know they have wmd and we know where they are? And remember Blix complaining that he had looked in all the places the CIA had told them to look, and hadn't found anything, and wanted the real list that led to Powell's assurances?

We now know, as in the Pollack piece in the Atlantic, or any number of other places, that the source for the CIA's knowledge of wmd in Iraq was the UN inspectors themselves from the previous inspection regime. (David Kay calls it the "CIA's crack cocaine")

And, just by the way, now that we do know for sure that the source of the intelligence was the inspectors, it sure as heck, with hindsight would have made a great deal of sense to have kept on inspecting. Oh, but that's our hindsight. The agency, otoh, knew where the information had come from.

I hope. I guess I hope so.

But if they did, then why did they say they knew where the stuff was, and that they were assisting the inspection teams, when they knew they were just feeding them back their own information.

And if they didn't remember their sources, that's even worse, isn't it?

3374. jexster - 2/3/2004 4:16:38 PM

"We went to war because of Iraqi 'intent'"

Buffalo Soldier, Porch Monkey Powell

Shit now they're mind readers which makes sense, in a psychotic sort of way..after all, Georgie hears voices from God and peered into Pooty Poot's very soul

3375. jexster - 2/3/2004 4:22:33 PM

Straw Launches British Intelligence Inquiry

But stop the presses, guess what?

It all a scam! Shocker eh?

Testing Washington's intelligence
Analysis: If true to history, the Bush administration may scupper the inquiry it has just announced into the quality of information it received on Saddam's WMDs


MAYBE?? There's no maybe about it. The Bush executive order lays the predicate for another flimflam whitewash.

These people are criminally incompetent and mostly likely insane

3376. jexster - 2/3/2004 4:23:05 PM

The Madness of King George

3377. wonkers2 - 2/3/2004 4:25:55 PM

Whatever happened to "The buck stops here?" Oh I forgot, Bush doesn't read!

3378. jayackroyd - 2/3/2004 4:35:43 PM

Sure he does. Bassmaster.

Although I guess that is really just looking at pictures, isn't it?

3379. jexster - 2/3/2004 7:51:43 PM

ARBIL, Iraq (AFP) - The death toll from twin suicide bombings in Arbil rose to at least 100, making them the deadliest attacks in post-war Iraq (news - web sites) and dealing a crushing blow to the US-led occupation

3380. jexster - 2/3/2004 8:02:02 PM

HUMILIATED BLAIR FORCED TO ORDER WMD INQUIRY

3381. robertjayb - 2/3/2004 11:49:47 PM

dubya surrenders to Kofi and the U.N. (NYTimes)

WASHINGTON, Feb. 3 — President Bush pressed Kofi Annan, the United Nations secretary general, on Tuesday to have his aides mediate among quarreling factions in Iraq and forge a consensus behind a plan that would allow the transfer of sovereignty to a government in Baghdad by June 30, administration officials said.
.................................................

We are trying to put this issue in Kofi Annan's lap and let him run with it," one official said. "There's still very much the intention to stick with the date of June 30. But there's a lot of pressure on Kofi Annan to come up with the right solution."


Pressure on Kofi?

3382. robertjayb - 2/4/2004 12:39:38 PM

The Desert Mirage...A longish USA Today piece describes intelligence blunders concerning Iraq's weapons...

...In July 1998, a commission led by Donald Rumsfeld, who would become Bush's Defense secretary, cautioned that U.S. intelligence might not be able to warn of emerging ballistic-missile threats from states such as North Korea, Iran and Iraq. The solution, the panel advised, was a new kind of analysis to "extrapolate a program's scope, scale, pace and direction beyond what the hard evidence at hand unequivocally supports."

As Defense secretary, Rumsfeld would insist that war in Iraq was waged on solid intelligence. Increasingly, however, it appears that U.S. intelligence followed the course set by Rumsfeld's 1998 panel in extrapolating the scope of the Iraqi threat "beyond ... the hard evidence at hand."
.................................................


U.S. intelligence merged debatable intelligence about chemical and biological agents with equally debatable intelligence about weapons delivery systems. Iraq, the CIA said, still had 20 Scud missiles and was developing drone aircraft that might be launched, possibly off a merchant ship, to strike the United States.

Bush administration officials then translated the CIA's worst-case calculations into potential mass casualties. Bush cited the U.N. figures in saying that the anthrax would be enough "to kill several million people" and that the chemical weapons could "kill untold thousands."

Powell told the U.N. Security Council even a conservative estimate would give Saddam enough chemical agent to attack "an area five times the size of Manhattan."

No Scud missiles have been found. The drone aircraft U.S. search teams have found in Iraq were too small to deliver chemical or biological weapons.



3383. robertjayb - 2/4/2004 12:40:35 PM

toys?

3384. jexster - 2/4/2004 12:54:24 PM

Intelligence chiefs 'ignored WMD warnings'

February 4: Intelligence chiefs ignored warnings from their own leading experts that they could not be certain Iraq had chemical and biological weapons, a former intelligence official who gave crucial evidence to the Hutton inquiry claimed today



3385. jexster - 2/4/2004 12:56:40 PM

Further to the above, meet the latest to blow the whistle on the Liars...

New dossier claim fuels WMD doubts


February 4: The claim by former Ministry of Defence scientist Brian Jones that intelligence officials were overruled on the Iraq dossier has inflamed the controversy about Iraq's alleged weapons of mass destruction ahead of the debate on the Hutton report.

3386. jexster - 2/4/2004 1:26:43 PM

Iraq: To Hell in a Handbasket



"A US soldier was killed and another injured on Tuesday by a roadside bomb in Iraq, the US military said in a statement. The roadside bomb exploded at about 10.30 a.m. (0730 GMT) when the US soldiers were carrying out an operation to clear such weapons near Iskandariya, 56 km south Baghdad, it added. The death brings to at least 367 the number of US soldiers killed in combat in Iraq since the start of the US-led war on Iraq."

Despite the capture of Saddam, more US troops were killed in January (47) than in December.

Meanwhile, the deaths from Sunday's massive suicide bombings in Irbil have mounted to about 101, as those gravely wounded have died. Kurds are shocked and angry, and the outcome of the tragedy has yet to unfold. Jeffrey Gettelman of the NYT cannily suggests, based on an interview with Joost Hilterman, that some of the high Iraqi officials killed were among the more pragmatic in recognizing the need for restraint in demands for Kurdish autonomy. If so, the bombing may have helped radicalize the Kurds.

3387. jexster - 2/4/2004 1:31:32 PM

Did I mention that no occupying power survived a nationalist insurgency in the 20th century?

3388. jayackroyd - 2/4/2004 2:40:18 PM

Sometime ago, when Bush announced that the real goal was democracy dominoes, I (and Banks among others) applauded the audacity of the vision, but feared that this was entirely insincere. The imposition of the June 30 deadline shortly thereafter proved that our fears were well-founded.

Now, as jexster has kept saying, the shi-ites are messing things up. Sistani is essentially saying "put up or get out."

Sistani is a deeply religious man who is also a survivor. Living in Najaf, a holy city and burial place haunted by Shiite passion for martyrdom, he has emerged as a leader through quiet rationalism. When his fatwa summoned thousands into the streets of Baghdad, Sistani crossed the line from scholar to activist. In many ways, we're all lucky that he is the voice of Iraq's Shiites, but by playing politics, he is entering a dangerous arena. A powerful Shiite cleric is calling for a peaceful, internationally moderated democracy in Iraq. Just across the border, Iran's theocracy is wrestling with the same issues, and from Egypt to Malaysia leaders struggle to integrate Islam and democracy. Behind the rhetoric of regime change George Bush added the promise that America would make that integration happen in Afghanistan and Iraq. Sistani has dared him to do it.


From Slate.

3389. jexster - 2/4/2004 6:49:01 PM

Iraqi Insurgency Is as Lethal as Ever Since Hussein's Capture

You were saying TD???

3390. jexster - 2/4/2004 6:53:27 PM

L'audace...toujours l'audace!

Jay....when folks stop applauding the audacity of Bush's lies and start laughing...he'll be back where he belongs and we can start cleaning up the mess he's made



3391. jexster - 2/5/2004 12:37:27 PM

Dead for Bush's Lies

BAGHDAD (Reuters) - One U.S. soldier was killed and another wounded in a mortar attack on U.S. military installations near Baghdad airport on Thursday, a U.S. Army spokesman said.





Tenet: Analysts Never Claimed Imminent Threat

3392. jexster - 2/5/2004 12:43:56 PM

Rats, Poodles, Sinking Ships
Blair caught in Iraqi arms row


Tony Blair yesterday said that at the time of the Iraq war he was personally unaware that Saddam Hussein did not have the ability to fire long-range chemical and biological weapons.

3393. jexster - 2/5/2004 1:39:49 PM

Sistani Aide: Loose Federalism not in Iraq's Interests


Kurds will LOVE that

3394. jexster - 2/5/2004 1:45:01 PM

CNN: THERE HAS BEEN A SERIOUS ATTEMPT ON THE LIFE OF THE GRAHD AYATOLLAH

3395. jayackroyd - 2/5/2004 2:00:39 PM

More detail, please.

3396. robertjayb - 2/5/2004 2:14:46 PM

Sistani survives assassination attempt...(Reuters)

NAJAF, Iraq (Reuters) - Iraq's most powerful Shi'ite cleric, Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, survived an assassination attempt on Thursday when gunmen opened fire on his entourage, a security official in his office said.
"At 10 o'clock this morning, gunmen opened fire on Ayatollah Sistani as he greeted people in Najaf, but he was not hurt," the official told Reuters on condition of anonymity.

Sistani, revered by Iraq's Shi'ite community, which makes up about 60 percent of the population, is rarely seen in public and seldom leaves the holy city of Najaf, about 160 km (100 miles) south of Baghdad.


3397. jexster - 2/5/2004 3:21:47 PM

The Shiites won't like THAT one bit


Bush's Big Shiite Sandwich

Open wide

3398. robertjayb - 2/5/2004 6:03:56 PM

McCain on Intelligence panel?

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Bush is expected to name
Arizona Republican Sen. John McCain to a bipartisan commission that will investigate flaws in U.S. intelligence used to justify the Iraq war, Republican sources said on Thursday.

Bush is expected to announce the establishment of the commission on Friday with a timetable of reporting back next year, after the November election.


Bob Kerrey?

Sam Nunn?

3399. jexster - 2/5/2004 8:17:00 PM

Sam Nunn in VP running

3400. robertjayb - 2/5/2004 11:35:16 PM

No failure of intelligence...(Sydney Blumenthal)--The Guardian

...On virtually every single important claim made by the Bush administration in its case for war, there was serious dissension. Discordant views - not from individual analysts but from several intelligence agencies as a whole - were kept from the public as momentum was built for a congressional vote on the war resolution.

Precisely because of the qualms the administration encountered, it created a rogue intelligence operation, the Office of Special Plans, located within the Pentagon and under the control of neo-conservatives. The OSP roamed outside the ordinary inter-agency process, stamping its approval on stories from Iraqi exiles that the other agencies dismissed as lacking credibility, and feeding them to the president.

..................................................

No news here for webheads...except to note the play the Brits give the story.


3401. robertjayb - 2/5/2004 11:40:00 PM

Tory leader wants Blair resignation...(The Guardian)


Ministers have angrily dismissed a call from Tory leader Michael Howard for Tony Blair to resign over the Government's Iraq weapons dossier.

His call for the Prime Minister to consider his position followed Mr Blair's admission that he did not know that the so-called "45 minute claim" only referred to battlefield weapons when he asked MPs to vote for war.

Mr Howa